Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 20, 2004

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 28, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $38.5400 (-0.08%) ($38.3100 - $39.0000) on Tue. Jan. 20, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.18% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $38.5400(-0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(92%)    SPY(91%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(82%)    EEM(76%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.59% (StdDev 1.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.26(0.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.06(1.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.16(3.71%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   13.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.5
One Month Target Price   > $38.54
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $36.27

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.1% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -2% away from the target price of 38.54.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 2.53% (three month std-dev: 1.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_20_2004	35.15	37.16	38.06	38.26			38.54(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	2	113	82.08	67%	0.14	86.6	1.18%	0	1.5	78	0
2	Jan_16_2004	35.1	37.01	37.92	38.22			38.57(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	37	-10000	7	126	77.37	62%	0.17	81.7	1.22%	0	1.5	82	0
3	Jan_15_2004	35.04	36.83	37.7	38.05			38.18(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	32	-10000	2	120	104.6	62%	0.17	81	1.22%	0	1.4	79	0
4	Jan_14_2004	34.98	36.66	37.54	38.01			38.08(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	35	-10000	3	129	69.07	62%	0.14	79.4	1.22%	0	1.4	79	0
5	Jan_13_2004	34.93	36.5	37.39	37.93			37.95(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	39	-10000	5	139	93.06	62%	0.17	74.3	1.22%	0	1.4	81	0

6	Jan_12_2004	34.87	36.36	37.24	37.81			38.33(1.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	45	-10000	11	148	77.72	62%	0.17	71.9	1.22%	0	1.9	88	0
7	Jan_9_2004	34.81	36.2	36.99	37.56			37.73(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	-10000	12	138	94.33	60%	0.14	70.1	1.21%	0	1.6	83	0
8	Jan_8_2004	34.76	36.04	36.81	37.29			37.98(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	44	-10000	14	134	78.27	60%	0.17	62.8	1.2%	0	2.1	91	0
9	Jan_7_2004	34.7	35.86	36.59	36.99			37.68(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	40	-10000	11	125	71.9	60%	0.17	51	1.2%	0	2.1	90	0
10	Jan_6_2004	34.64	35.73	36.37	36.76			37.34(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	36	-10000	8	119	60.08	60%	0.14	43.6	1.2%	0	2	90	0

11	Jan_5_2004	34.59	35.61	36.18	36.58			37.09(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	-10000	12	112	69.76	60%	0.17	40.6	1.2%	0	2.1	75	0
12	Jan_2_2004	34.53	35.53	36.02	36.33			36.36(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	26	-10000	4	93	55.26	61%	0.29	36.7	1.23%	0	1.3	68	0
13	Dec_31_2003	34.43	35.47	35.88	36.24			36.46(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	-10000	5	93	60.53	64%	0.15	36.7	1.23%	0	1.7	77	0
14	Dec_30_2003	34.38	35.43	35.73	36.12			36.56(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	30	-10000	9	91	48.28	60%	0.2	37.4	1.25%	0	2.1	80	0
15	Dec_29_2003	34.31	35.38	35.55	35.92			36.44(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24	-10000	9	70	63.37	62%	0.18	45.4	1.29%	0	2.1	62	0

16	Dec_26_2003	34.25	35.32	35.42	35.72			35.85(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	2	57	25.5	60%	0.29	56.6	1.29%	0	1.2	60	0
17	Dec_24_2003	34.15	35.3	35.36	35.67			35.9(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10000	9	52	44.84	54%	0.18	67.2	1.29%	0	1.4	51	0
18	Dec_23_2003	34.09	35.26	35.23	35.47			35.84(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	13	-10000	8	28	67.06	56%	0.12	73	1.38%	0	1.5	55	0
19	Dec_22_2003	34.05	35.22	35.08	35.27			35.57(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	6	-10000	7	1	63.62	54%	0.12	69.5	1.39%	0	0.9	47	0
20	Dec_19_2003	34.01	35.16	35.04	35.11			35.46(-0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-3	-10000	2	-19	89.77	54%	0.12	42.9	1.42%	0	0.7	44	0

21	Dec_18_2003	33.97	35.08	35	35.07			35.56(1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-5	-10000	2	-27	90.03	55%	0.12	16.8	1.42%	0	1	51	0
22	Dec_17_2003	33.93	35.02	34.99	35.02			34.91(0.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-5	-10000	3	-27	68.58	54%	0.09	-0.7	1.41%	0	-0.2	46	0
23	Dec_16_2003	33.9	35.02	35.02	34.95			34.85(0.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-5	-10000	4	-32	89.9	56%	0.09	-12.9	1.41%	0	-0.2	47	0
24	Dec_15_2003	33.87	34.97	35.1	34.86			34.78(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10000	-4	-34	106.26	56%	0.09	-21.1	1.45%	0	-0.3	47	0
25	Dec_12_2003	33.84	34.98	35.21	34.95			35.24(-0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	-10000	2	-9	72.23	56%		-21.1	1.45%	0	0.4	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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