Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 12, 2003

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Jun. 27, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $33.8200 (0.54%) ($33.0500 - $33.8400) on Fri. Sep. 12, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.43% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $33.8200(0.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(92%)    SPY(91%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(82%)    EEM(76%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.715% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-20%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(15%)    XLU(51%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.715% (StdDev 1.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.86(-0.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.85(-0.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.16(1.99%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   14.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. QQQ price fluctuates within 2.56% (three month std-dev: 1.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20031012

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_12_2003	30.65	33.16	33.85	33.86			33.82(0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	17	-10000	-1	70	105.04	54%	0.2	94.5	1.43%	0	0.8	69	0
2	Sep_11_2003	30.59	33.03	33.79	33.89			33.64(1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	-10000	-4	77	96.98	54%	0.2	88	1.43%	0	0.6	64	0
3	Sep_10_2003	30.53	32.89	33.72	33.99			33.27(-2.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	19	-10000	-5	92	111.72	56%	0.2	87.5	1.43%	0	0.4	65	0
4	Sep_9_2003	30.47	32.78	33.66	34.11			34.09(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	-10000	2	110	88.04	59%	0.26	87.8	1.4%	0	1.2	75	0
5	Sep_8_2003	30.39	32.6	33.51	34.06			34.5(1.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	37	-10000	9	119	69.38	59%	0.13	79.2	1.4%	0	1.6	85	0

6	Sep_5_2003	30.35	32.38	33.3	33.84			33.94(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	7	120	91.06	57%	0.23	67.9	1.4%	0	1.3	87	0
7	Sep_4_2003	30.28	32.2	33.17	33.67			34.16(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	43	-10000	12	135	63.96	61%	0.3	57.9	1.39%	0	1.6	92	0
8	Sep_3_2003	30.19	32	32.97	33.4			33.85(-0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	41	-10000	11	132	85.27	61%	0.23	48.5	1.43%	0	1.5	92	0
9	Sep_2_2003	30.12	31.82	32.82	33.14			33.87(1.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	42	-10000	11	134	80.53	61%	0.43	38.3	1.43%	0	1.8	92	0
10	Aug_29_2003	29.99	31.68	32.63	32.87			33.39(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	40	-10000	8	135	53.2	61%	0.27	34.1	1.43%	0	1.6	93	0

11	Aug_28_2003	29.91	31.58	32.41	32.68			33.09(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	37	-10000	4	137	55.37	61%	0.27	29.9	1.42%	0	1.6	93	0
12	Aug_27_2003	29.83	31.5	32.19	32.59			32.8(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	39	-10000	5	141	47.29	64%	0.2	32.5	1.42%	0	1.4	85	0
13	Aug_26_2003	29.77	31.43	32.01	32.48			32.54(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	36	-10000	1	139	79.93	64%	0.24	30.7	1.48%	0	1.3	85	0
14	Aug_25_2003	29.7	31.37	31.84	32.45			32.51(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	41	-10000	5	149	43.09	64%	0.24	32.6	1.49%	0	1.4	84	0
15	Aug_22_2003	29.63	31.33	31.64	32.34			32.44(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	-10000	10	134	93.04	64%	0.2	36.1	1.49%	0	1.4	58	0

16	Aug_21_2003	29.57	31.29	31.4	32.09			32.64(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	-10000	15	103	77.28	64%	0.2	31.7	1.49%	0	1.8	60	0
17	Aug_20_2003	29.51	31.21	31.16	31.73			32.29(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	-10000	12	60	58.29	64%	0.24	20.4	1.49%	0	1.6	52	0
18	Aug_19_2003	29.44	31.17	30.95	31.45			32.37(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	16	-10000	13	26	68.43	59%	0.1	5.7	1.49%	0	1.8	57	0
19	Aug_18_2003	29.41	31.11	30.72	31.15			31.97(2.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	7	-10000	13	-12	67.54	59%	0.1	-14.7	1.56%	0	1.5	51	0
20	Aug_15_2003	29.38	31.05	30.65	30.83			31.17(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	-10000	9	-41	28.14	57%	0.07	-42.2	1.53%	0	0.2	39	0

21	Aug_14_2003	29.36	31.06	30.66	30.61			30.87(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-12	-10000	5	-63	0	57%	0.03	-57.8	1.53%	0	-0.3	37	0
22	Aug_13_2003	29.35	31.07	30.74	30.5			30.87(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-12	-10000	6	-65	58.08	57%	0.07	-62.7	1.53%	0	-0.3	47	0
23	Aug_12_2003	29.33	31.13	30.79	30.37			30.86(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-15	-10000	6	-77	59.79	58%	0.07	-65	1.54%	0	-0.4	42	0
24	Aug_11_2003	29.31	31.2	30.86	30.24			30.4(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-29	-10000	-9	-90	63.75	58%	0.03	-68.4	1.54%	0	-1.2	41	0
25	Aug_8_2003	29.3	31.29	31	30.45			30.07(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-10000	-11	-66	66.71	58%		-60.1	1.56%	0	-1.9	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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