Trading Signals: PTON Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 4, 2019

Trading Signals: PTON Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 26, 2019 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Peloton Interactive, Inc.)
PTON latest price $32.9600 (-1.55%) ($31.2200 - $35.3000) on Wed. Dec. 4, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.52% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $32.9600(-1.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PTON advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PTON advances 11.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PTON advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(54%)    IPO(51%)    ONLN(50%)    SKYY(43%)    ARKK(41%)
Factors Impacting PTON price   PTON will decline at least -2.26% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-9%)    VXX(-6%)    TBT(-5%)    DRIV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.26% (StdDev 4.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -5.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.13(-3.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.2(2.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.11(13.23%)
To recent high   -10.5%
To recent low   56.4%
Market Cap   $9.494b

Peloton Interactive, Inc. operates at-home fitness platform for live and on-demand indoor cycling classes. The company pioneered connected, technology-enabled fitness, and the streaming of immersive, instructor-led boutique classes for its Members. It operates through three reportable segments: Connected Fitness Products, Subscription and Other. The Connected Fitness Product segment consists of sales of bike, tread & related accessories. The Subscription segment involves in the monthly subscription and credits from live studio classes. The Other segment consists of boutique and apparel sales. The Peloton Interactive was founded on by John Foley, Graham Stanton, Thomas Cortese, Yony Feng and Hisao Kushi in 2012 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. PTON price fluctuates within 13.88% (three month std-dev: 4.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 7.03%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.2%(50%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 9.19%(70%) Average negative next three day return: -5.03%(30%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 12.53%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.24%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_4_2019	25.47	29.11	32.2	34.13	34.44	34.1	32.96(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	35	-40	-2	147	8.63	59%	0.59	71.2	4.52%	0	1	74	0.4
2	Dec_3_2019	25.32	28.61	31.84	33.73	33.93	35.08	33.48(-9.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	54	260	16	168	7.87	59%	0.72	66.6	4.56%	0	1.2	78	-0.5
3	Dec_2_2019	25.14	28.15	31.51	33.21	33	34.78	36.84(4.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	93	360	53	211	6.61	64%	1	69	4.37%	0	2.2	90	0.6
4	Nov_29_2019	24.89	27.53	30.53	31.72	31.68	32.79	35.23(9.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	79	240	42	189	5.68	62%	0.93	70.1	4.38%	0	2.2	90	1.5
5	Nov_27_2019	24.66	26.93	29.58	30.63	30.61	31.22	32.16(3.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	61	140	21	179	4.23	58%	0.69	73.9	4.22%	0	1.7	89	1.9

6	Nov_26_2019	24.49	26.49	28.97	30.02	30.07	30.57	30.96(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	57	120	16	180	2.22	58%	0.62	77.3	4.24%	0	1.5	84	2
7	Nov_25_2019	24.34	26.09	28.36	29.67	29.59	30	30.87(5.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	51	90	7	182	2.92	58%	0.66	79.2	4.29%	0	1.7	85	2.1
8	Nov_22_2019	24.18	25.62	27.69	29.55	29.54	29.58	29.36(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	57	10	14	187	1.65	56%	0.5	82	4.28%	0	1.4	68	1.6
9	Nov_21_2019	24.06	25.26	27.12	29.12	29.23	29.19	29.8(2.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	52	0	13	169	1.73	56%	0.63	76.7	4.33%	0	1.7	67	1.3
10	Nov_20_2019	23.91	24.83	26.41	28.35	28.62	29.5	29.1(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	50	240	18	144	2.57	56%	0.55	66.2	4.37%	0	1.7	70	1.3

11	Nov_19_2019	23.78	24.42	25.8	27.73	27.86	29.28	29.24(-3.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	64	370	41	132	6.98	56%	0.59	58.2	4.42%	0	2	71	1.5
12	Nov_18_2019	23.64	24.01	25.14	26.82	26.7	27.75	30.25(11.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	58	260	43	104	9.09	56%	0.77	47.5	4.44%	0	2.9	76	1.8
13	Nov_15_2019	23.46	23.58	24.51	25.57	25.7	26.45	27.23(5.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	43	220	30	82	7.31	49%	0.47	43.7	4.13%	0	2.2	76	2
14	Nov_14_2019	23.35	23.37	24.25	24.83	24.85	25.65	25.93(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	38	230	27	72	3.04	45%	0.3	39.3	4.11%	0	1.8	66	1.5
15	Nov_13_2019	23.28	23.25	24.03	24.17	24.09	24.95	25.98(5.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	36	240	27	64	6.3	45%	0.34	31.4	4.17%	0	2.1	70	1.3

16	Nov_12_2019	23.2	23.09	23.78	23.58	23.46	24.04	24.69(2.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	30	160	21	57	2.37	41%	0.17	17.3	4.13%	0	1.4	68	1.5
17	Nov_11_2019	23.16	23.02	23.62	23.19	23.04	23.23	24.04(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	40	2	49	2.92	41%	0.13	8.7	4.17%	0	0.9	66	1.4
18	Nov_8_2019	23.13	22.89	23.38	23.3	22.99	22.89	23.52(3.93%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	5	-70	-9	45	2.92	41%	0.04	3.4	4.22%	0	0.6	57	1.2
19	Nov_7_2019	23.12	22.83	23.28	23.6	23.5	22.85	22.63(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	4	-210	-11	49	2.84	41%	-0.04	8.5	4.22%	0	-0.2	47	1.1
20	Nov_6_2019	23.13	22.86	23.18	23.85	23.91	23.09	23.02(1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-1	-230	-16	43	3.8	41%	-0.04	17.9	4.28%	0	0.1	47	1

21	Nov_5_2019	23.14	22.9	23	23.99	23.91	24.16	22.74(-7.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	4	30	-8	40	13.5	41%	-0.04	27.4	4.35%	0	-0.1	50	1
22	Nov_4_2019	23.15	22.92	22.87	24.07	24.09	24.73	24.61(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	190	26	46	6.02	46%	0.22	32.5	4.19%	0	1.5	55	1.3
23	Nov_1_2019	23.1	22.85	22.61	23.44	23.49	24.02	24.99(4.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	22	160	21	26	4.89	46%	0.35	11.1	4.26%	0	2	65	1.5
24	Oct_31_2019	23.02	22.74	22.43	22.93	22.88	23.46	23.87(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	18	170	19	14	1.91	42%	0.13	-13.6	4.24%	0	1.2	56	1.2
25	Oct_30_2019	22.99	22.66	22.39	22.42	22.47	22.97	23.72(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	18	160	23	2	2.5	42%		-45.8	4.32%	0	1.2	52	1.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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