Trading Signals: PSX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 1, 2016

Trading Signals: PSX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Phillips 66)
PSX latest price $75.9088 (5.06%) ($72.5325 - $76.2547) on Tue. Mar. 1, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.27% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $75.9088(5.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PSX advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PSX advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PSX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(78%)    OIH(73%)    XOP(70%)    IWD(65%)    IWN(65%)
Factors Impacting PSX price   PSX will decline at least -1.135% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    VIXM(-17%)    UUP(-14%)    IGOV(-5%)    BNDX(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.135% (StdDev 2.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $72.76(4.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $72.76(4.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $71.26(6.52%)
To recent high   -9.3%
To recent low   14.4%
Market Cap   $33.149b

Phillips 66 engages in the processing, transportation, storage, and marketing of fuels and other related products. The company operates through the following segments: Midstream, Chemicals, Refining and Marketing & Specialties. The Midstream segment provides crude oil and refined products transportation, terminaling and processing services, as well as natural gas, natural gas liquids and liquefied petroleum gas transportation, storage, processing and marketing services. The Chemicals segment produces and markets petrochemicals and plastics on a worldwide basis. The Refining segment Refines crude oil and other feedstocks into petroleum products such as gasoline, distillates and aviation fuels. The Marketing and Specialties segment purchases for resale and markets refined petroleum products such as base oils and lubricants, as well as power generation operations. Phillips 66 was founded on April 30, 2012 and is headquartered in Houston, TX.

$. PSX price fluctuates within 3.09% (three month std-dev: 2.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_1_2016	75.19	71.26	72.76	72.76			75.91(5.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	29	-10000	11	81	6.03	45%	0.01	21	2.27%	0	2.1	71	0
2	Feb_29_2016	75.18	71.26	72.26	71.88			72.25(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	15	-10000	-3	70	3.11	41%	-0.04	18.1	2.17%	0	0.6	61	0
3	Feb_26_2016	75.21	71.02	71.92	72.15			71.99(0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	16	-10000	-2	70	2.49	41%	-0.05	22.6	2.17%	0	0.5	53	0
4	Feb_25_2016	75.25	70.97	71.41	72.33			71.68(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-10000	-2	55	3.3	41%	-0.04	31.2	2.18%	0	0.4	48	0
5	Feb_24_2016	75.28	70.89	71.07	72.45			71.98(0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10000	-3	46	3.67	41%	-0.04	35.3	2.18%	0	0.6	51	0

6	Feb_23_2016	75.31	70.8	70.7	72.72			71.5(-2.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	12	-10000	1	45	3.32	41%	-0.03	38.1	2.19%	0	0.4	52	0
7	Feb_22_2016	75.33	70.68	70.45	72.67			73.6(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10000	13	40	3.28	43%	0.04	32.2	2.16%	0	1.5	54	0
8	Feb_19_2016	75.3	70.59	70.12	71.64			72.89(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	17	13	3.17	43%	0.04	19.8	2.16%	0	1.2	50	0
9	Feb_18_2016	75.27	70.37	69.99	70.33			72.3(-1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	6	-10000	12	-14	4.61	43%	0.04	1.9	2.15%	0	1.1	53	0
10	Feb_17_2016	75.24	70.23	69.87	69.47			73.34(2.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.2	3	-10000	14	-29	4.47	43%	0.09	-13.5	2.16%	0	1.8	58	0

11	Feb_16_2016	75.17	70.09	69.57	68.43			71.21(4.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-9	-10000	6	-54	5.69	42%	0.13	-26.1	2.12%	0	0.7	53	0
12	Feb_12_2016	75.07	70.06	69.59	67.97			68.44(3.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-21	-10000	-7	-62	4.22	38%	-0.01	-26.6	2.06%	0	-1	51	0
13	Feb_11_2016	75.08	70.22	69.97	68.43			66.34(-2.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-27	-10000	-17	-57	7.72	35%	-0.05	-12.2	2.02%	0	-2.4	33	0
14	Feb_10_2016	75.12	70.34	70.48	69.59			68.01(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-12	-10000	-10	-19	5.69	37%	-0.03	1	2%	0	-1.6	51	0
15	Feb_9_2016	75.14	70.47	70.74	70.28			68.14(-1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-6	-10000	-8	1	4.35	37%	-0.04	5.8	2.01%	0	-1.7	49	0

16	Feb_8_2016	75.17	70.52	70.98	70.83			68.9(-2.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-3	-10000	-8	11	7.98	37%	-0.03	6	2.01%	0	-1.3	46	0
17	Feb_5_2016	75.19	70.5	71.03	71.41			70.76(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-10000	-5	19	4.65	38%	-0.01	-2.1	1.99%	0	0.2	50	0
18	Feb_4_2016	75.2	70.42	71.17	71.74			72.16(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	3	33	5.66	38%	0.03	-11.6	1.98%	0	1.2	51	0
19	Feb_3_2016	75.18	70.32	70.83	71.53			71.45(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	-10000	4	32	7.34	41%	0	-30.9	1.97%	0	0.8	60	0
20	Feb_2_2016	75.18	70.39	70.64	71.28			70.91(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	-10000	2	22	4.3	41%	0.01	-37.2	2%	0	0.4	52	0

21	Feb_1_2016	75.17	70.44	70.65	71.15			71.79(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	8	31	4.49	41%	-0.01	-50	2.01%	0	0.9	58	0
22	Jan_29_2016	75.18	70.52	70.54	70.56			72.4(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	6	-10000	0	25	7.45	44%	0	-68.5	2.04%	0	1.2	61	0
23	Jan_28_2016	75.18	70.58	70.43	70.54			71.09(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	7	38	5.16	44%	-0.03	-63.4	2.04%	0	0.3	55	0
24	Jan_27_2016	75.2	70.74	70.13	70.06			70.21(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-10000	2	15	4.78	44%	-0.01	-60.4	2.05%	0	-0.3	50	0
25	Jan_26_2016	75.21	70.94	70.14	69.91			70.24(2.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-2	-10000	-2	-0	3.18	44%		-52.8	2.05%	0	-0.3	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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