Trading Signals: PSX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 28, 2014

Trading Signals: PSX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Phillips 66)
PSX latest price $75.6725 (0.2%) ($74.9822 - $75.9433) on Thu. Aug. 28, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.04% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $75.6725(0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PSX advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PSX advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PSX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(78%)    OIH(72%)    XOP(69%)    IWM(60%)    XLF(60%)
Factors Impacting PSX price   PSX will decline at least -0.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-7%)    BNDX(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.52% (StdDev 1.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $75.61(0.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $75.26(0.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $73.52(2.93%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   9.9%
Market Cap   $33.046b

Phillips 66 engages in the processing, transportation, storage, and marketing of fuels and other related products. The company operates through the following segments: Midstream, Chemicals, Refining and Marketing & Specialties. The Midstream segment provides crude oil and refined products transportation, terminaling and processing services, as well as natural gas, natural gas liquids and liquefied petroleum gas transportation, storage, processing and marketing services. The Chemicals segment produces and markets petrochemicals and plastics on a worldwide basis. The Refining segment Refines crude oil and other feedstocks into petroleum products such as gasoline, distillates and aviation fuels. The Marketing and Specialties segment purchases for resale and markets refined petroleum products such as base oils and lubricants, as well as power generation operations. Phillips 66 was founded on April 30, 2012 and is headquartered in Houston, TX.

$. PSX price fluctuates within 2.76% (three month std-dev: 1.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140928

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_28_2014	71.73	73.52	75.26	75.61			75.67(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	35	-10000	2	132	1.19	50%	0.11	55.8	1.04%	0	1.1	78	0
2	Aug_27_2014	71.65	73.26	75.02	75.55			75.52(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	36	-10000	-1	148	1.83	50%	0.13	54	1.04%	0	1.1	82	0
3	Aug_26_2014	71.56	73.03	74.72	75.58			75.72(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	-10000	3	161	1.87	50%	0.11	57.1	1.04%	0	1.4	76	0
4	Aug_25_2014	71.48	72.81	74.34	75.47			75.93(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	47	-10000	6	170	1.9	50%	0.11	63.5	1.05%	0	1.7	81	0
5	Aug_22_2014	71.4	72.59	73.91	75.25			75.22(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	50	-10000	10	170	1.63	50%	0.08	71.6	1.05%	0	1.5	72	0

6	Aug_21_2014	71.34	72.4	73.6	74.85			75.35(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	49	-10000	11	164	1.77	50%	0.1	74.3	1.05%	0	1.8	73	0
7	Aug_20_2014	71.27	72.19	73.15	74.4			75.66(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	51	-10000	17	153	2.13	50%	0.1	78.8	1.05%	0	2.3	77	0
8	Aug_19_2014	71.2	71.92	72.71	73.73			75.22(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	46	-10000	18	129	2.68	50%	0.13	76.8	1.06%	0	2.5	71	0
9	Aug_18_2014	71.11	71.65	72.21	73.03			74.8(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	36	-10000	17	91	3.35	50%	0.11	69.8	1.06%	0	2.7	64	0
10	Aug_15_2014	71.03	71.38	71.82	72.38			73.21(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-10000	6	56	4.76	45%	0.1	69.2	1.03%	0	2	57	0

11	Aug_14_2014	70.96	71.23	71.6	72.16			73.12(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	20	-10000	12	44	2.85	45%	0.1	64.4	1.04%	0	2	57	0
12	Aug_13_2014	70.89	71.02	71.33	71.7			72.33(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	8	-10000	5	15	2.41	42%	0.07	57.3	1.04%	0	1.6	56	0
13	Aug_12_2014	70.84	70.91	71.18	71.52			71.7(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-10000	7	10	2.11	47%	0.07	60.9	1.04%	0	1	58	0
14	Aug_11_2014	70.79	70.85	71.16	71.25			71.55(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	-10000	2	9	2.29	47%	0.06	58.8	1.07%	0	0.9	61	0
15	Aug_8_2014	70.75	70.75	71.17	71.17			72.12(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	10	-10000	6	21	2.29	42%	0.07	52.6	1.07%	0	1.7	67	0

16	Aug_7_2014	70.7	70.62	71.12	70.96			70.79(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	-10000	2	22	2.53	37%	0.04	40.9	1.09%	0	0.2	55	0
17	Aug_6_2014	70.67	70.55	71.17	70.89			71.45(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	-10000	3	36	2.73	37%	0.03	31.7	1.09%	0	1.1	67	0
18	Aug_5_2014	70.65	70.45	71.09	70.79			70.35(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-10000	-7	31	2.74	32%	0.03	24	1.08%	0	-0.1	52	0
19	Aug_4_2014	70.63	70.38	71.06	71.05			71.11(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	-10000	-3	41	2.93	32%	0	27.2	1.07%	0	0.8	54	0
20	Aug_1_2014	70.63	70.32	70.93	71.17			71.11(0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-10000	-4	49	2.84	32%	0.01	26.8	1.07%	0	0.9	61	0

21	Jul_31_2014	70.62	70.32	70.84	71.31			70.44(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	12	-10000	-4	60	3.12	32%	0	28.8	1.07%	0	0.2	55	0
22	Jul_30_2014	70.62	70.29	70.73	71.48			70.97(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	19	-10000	2	70	2.66	32%	0	33.9	1.08%	0	0.8	62	0
23	Jul_29_2014	70.62	70.23	70.65	71.4			71.62(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	9	78	3.17	32%	0.01	12.3	1.07%	0	1.6	65	0
24	Jul_28_2014	70.61	70.14	70.52	71.06			71.74(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	-10000	11	76	2.36	38%	0.01	-27.2	1.08%	0	2	69	0
25	Jul_25_2014	70.6	70.08	70.29	70.63			71.78(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	19	-10000	8	53	2.06	38%		-70.9	1.1%	0	2.4	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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