Trading Signals: PSX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 25, 2014

Trading Signals: PSX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Phillips 66)
PSX latest price $71.7752 (0.67%) ($71.0631 - $71.9663) on Fri. Jul. 25, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.1% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $71.7752(0.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PSX advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PSX advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PSX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(78%)    OIH(72%)    XOP(69%)    XLF(60%)    IWM(59%)
Factors Impacting PSX price   PSX will decline at least -0.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-7%)    BNDX(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.55% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $70.63(1.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $70.29(2.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $70.08(2.42%)
To recent high   -4.3%
To recent low   4.3%
Market Cap   $31.344b

Phillips 66 engages in the processing, transportation, storage, and marketing of fuels and other related products. The company operates through the following segments: Midstream, Chemicals, Refining and Marketing & Specialties. The Midstream segment provides crude oil and refined products transportation, terminaling and processing services, as well as natural gas, natural gas liquids and liquefied petroleum gas transportation, storage, processing and marketing services. The Chemicals segment produces and markets petrochemicals and plastics on a worldwide basis. The Refining segment Refines crude oil and other feedstocks into petroleum products such as gasoline, distillates and aviation fuels. The Marketing and Specialties segment purchases for resale and markets refined petroleum products such as base oils and lubricants, as well as power generation operations. Phillips 66 was founded on April 30, 2012 and is headquartered in Houston, TX.

$. PSX price fluctuates within 1.03% (three month std-dev: 1.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140825

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_25_2014	70.6	70.08	70.29	70.63			71.78(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	19	-10000	8	53	2.06	38%	0.03	-70.9	1.1%	0	2.4	59	0
2	Jul_24_2014	70.58	70.04	70.07	70.32			71.3(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	18	-10000	12	35	3.52	38%	0	-108.3	1.09%	0	1.9	51	0
3	Jul_23_2014	70.58	70	69.86	69.88			70.58(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	3	-10000	2	4	2.12	38%	0	-154.4	1.09%	0	0.9	50	0
4	Jul_22_2014	70.58	70.13	69.73	69.8			69.91(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	-10000	-3	-6	2.73	38%	0	-94.6	1.08%	0	-0.2	49	0
5	Jul_21_2014	70.58	70.36	69.63	69.91			69.61(-0.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-1	-10000	1	-7	2.1	43%	-0.01	-57.7	1.08%	0	-0.5	49	0

6	Jul_18_2014	70.59	70.59	69.65	69.88			70.22(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	-10000	3	-14	3.13	43%	-0.01	-45	1.1%	0	-0.2	46	0
7	Jul_17_2014	70.6	70.77	69.69	69.78			69.07(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7	-10000	-1	-25	2.37	39%	-0.03	-38.4	1.09%	0	-0.9	36	0
8	Jul_16_2014	70.62	70.98	69.82	69.81			70.2(-0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	-10000	5	-24	2.89	49%	0	-34.6	1.08%	0	-0.4	46	0
9	Jul_15_2014	70.62	71.12	69.79	69.63			70.45(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	-10000	8	-54	8.65	49%	0	-34.4	1.15%	0	-0.3	32	0
10	Jul_14_2014	70.62	71.22	69.72	69.31			69.43(-0.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0.1	-28	-10000	-2	-107	8.39	49%	-0.03	-39.9	1.14%	0	-0.9	23	0

11	Jul_11_2014	70.64	71.38	69.85	69.41			69.73(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-36	-10000	-5	-130	2.24	49%	-0.01	-41	1.15%	0	-0.9	26	0
12	Jul_10_2014	70.65	71.49	70	69.62			69.24(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-10000	-6	-142	2.72	45%	-0.03	-40.8	1.15%	0	-1.2	28	0
13	Jul_9_2014	70.67	71.64	70.14	69.84			69.31(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-40	-10000	-3	-149	3.28	45%	-0.01	-41.5	1.18%	0	-1.3	33	0
14	Jul_8_2014	70.68	71.79	70.56	69.97			68.85(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-39	-10000	-5	-141	3.01	45%	-0.04	-46	1.19%	0	-1.7	33	0
15	Jul_7_2014	70.71	71.99	71.15	70.17			69.91(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-10000	-4	-121	2.23	45%	-0.01	-50.7	1.17%	0	-1.3	40	0

16	Jul_3_2014	70.72	72.16	71.61	70.35			70.78(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-27	-10000	-2	-101	1.71	50%	0	-52	1.19%	0	-0.9	43	0
17	Jul_2_2014	70.72	72.26	71.92	70.45			70.34(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-10000	-1	-84	2.44	50%	0	-54.3	1.21%	0	-1.4	44	0
18	Jul_1_2014	70.72	72.39	72.23	70.51			70(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-34	-10000	-18	-81	3.13	55%	-0.01	-53.4	1.21%	0	-1.7	42	0
19	Jun_30_2014	70.73	72.57	72.56	71.27			69.85(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-28	-10000	-22	-47	3.41	55%	-0.01	-34.3	1.26%	0	-2.1	42	0
20	Jun_27_2014	70.74	72.78	72.85	72.29			70.77(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-15	-10000	-17	-10	5.49	58%	0	-3.8	1.25%	0	-1.8	41	0

21	Jun_26_2014	70.74	72.93	73.06	73.06			71.3(0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-5	-10000	-12	16	5.31	55%	0	25.9	1.25%	0	-1.6	41	0
22	Jun_25_2014	70.74	73.04	73.15	73.61			70.66(-4.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-3	-1	-10000	-12	33	10.14	55%	0	53.7	1.26%	0	-2.4	43	0
23	Jun_24_2014	70.74	73.13	73.32	74.16			73.76(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	19	-10000	4	62	2.8	64%	0.07	80.2	1.14%	0	0.7	58	0
24	Jun_23_2014	70.69	73.01	73.15	74.01			74.97(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	-10000	12	51	2.32	68%	0.08	73.2	1.12%	0	2.1	59	0
25	Jun_20_2014	70.63	72.82	72.9	73.51			74.63(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	13	-10000	10	22	7.28	68%		62.3	1.13%	0	2	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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