Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 29, 2017

Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Philip Morris International Inc.)
PM latest price $100.0841 (0.8%) ($99.4683 - $100.9082) on Fri. Dec. 29, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.98% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $100.0841(0.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PM advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PM declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(62%)    SDY(60%)    SPLV(60%)    IVE(59%)    IWD(59%)
Factors Impacting PM price   PM will decline at least -0.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-13%)    TLT(-12%)    DIA(-9%)    VIXM(-8%)    GDXJ(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.49% (StdDev 0.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $99.27(0.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $99.95(0.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $99.9(0.18%)
To recent high   -7.3%
To recent low   4.6%
Market Cap   $155.859b

Philip Morris International, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in manufacturing and sale of cigarettes, tobacco and nicotine-containing products. It operates through the following geographical segments: European Union, Eastern Europe, Middles East & Africa, South & Southeast Asia, East Asia & Australia and Latin America & Canada. The company was founded by Philip Morris in 1847 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. PM price fluctuates within 1.31% (three month std-dev: 0.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180129

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_29_2017	102.69	99.9	99.95	99.27			100.08(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	-10000	3	-40	4.25	53%	-0.06	46.6	0.98%	0	0.1	51	0
2	Dec_28_2017	102.75	99.74	100.03	99.1			99.29(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-9	-10000	2	-42	2.38	53%	-0.08	35.5	0.97%	0	-0.3	48	0
3	Dec_27_2017	102.83	99.61	100.24	99.02			99.19(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-10000	-9	-46	2.01	53%	-0.07	29.4	0.98%	0	-0.2	43	0
4	Dec_26_2017	102.9	99.49	100.4	99.46			98.63(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10000	-11	-24	2.31	53%	-0.13	35.7	0.97%	0	-0.5	51	0
5	Dec_22_2017	103.03	99.4	100.52	99.99			99.14(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-11	-10000	-15	0	2.5	53%	-0.08	41.1	0.97%	0	-0.1	56	0

6	Dec_21_2017	103.11	99.29	100.62	100.74			99.26(0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	6	-10000	-7	44	3.83	53%	-0.07	52	0.97%	0	-0	60	0
7	Dec_20_2017	103.18	99.2	100.73	101.08			98.87(-2.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	11	-10000	-11	77	7.36	49%	-0.08	59.1	0.97%	0	-0.2	62	0
8	Dec_19_2017	103.26	99.11	100.95	101.61			101.41(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	-10000	3	134	4.37	54%	-0.07	67.1	0.94%	0	1.1	73	0
9	Dec_18_2017	103.33	98.85	100.72	101.46			101.27(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	43	-10000	8	148	4.54	54%	-0.09	63.6	0.94%	0	1.1	71	0
10	Dec_15_2017	103.42	98.6	100.42	101.1			102.87(1.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	47	-10000	12	152	11.08	58%	-0.07	59.2	0.93%	0	2	80	0

11	Dec_14_2017	103.49	98.26	99.86	100.52			101(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	-10000	4	138	4.65	54%	-0.08	58.3	0.9%	0	1.4	73	0
12	Dec_13_2017	103.57	97.99	99.41	100.34			101.52(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	-10000	3	130	5.9	54%	-0.08	54.8	0.9%	0	1.9	73	0
13	Dec_12_2017	103.65	97.72	98.9	100.22			100.64(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	-10000	8	128	4.43	54%	-0.1	58.5	0.89%	0	1.7	71	0
14	Dec_11_2017	103.75	97.53	98.48	99.87			99.46(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	35	-10000	6	120	3.05	52%	-0.12	62.2	0.88%	0	1.3	71	0
15	Dec_8_2017	103.87	97.38	98.18	99.6			99.98(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	-10000	13	116	4.61	48%	-0.11	61.3	0.88%	0	1.8	74	0

16	Dec_7_2017	103.98	97.17	97.85	99.06			100.08(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	38	-10000	17	99	4.04	48%	-0.12	55.1	0.9%	0	2.2	74	0
17	Dec_6_2017	104.11	96.99	97.53	98.32			100.92(2.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.2	37	-10000	21	83	5.11	48%	-0.11	43.3	0.9%	0	3.4	84	0
18	Dec_5_2017	104.22	96.75	97.1	97.4			98.92(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	22	-10000	12	51	4.92	42%	-0.11	26	0.86%	0	3.1	69	0
19	Dec_4_2017	104.33	96.59	96.81	96.91			98.12(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	12	-10000	8	25	5.18	42%	-0.12	-10.7	0.85%	0	2.8	56	0
20	Dec_1_2017	104.46	96.49	96.61	96.56			97.27(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	3	-10000	2	6	6.32	39%	-0.11	-75.6	0.85%	0	2	55	0

21	Nov_30_2017	104.58	96.44	96.51	96.46			96.37(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-10000	-4	1	7.12	36%	-0.13	-140.5	0.84%	0	-0.2	54	0
22	Nov_29_2017	104.72	96.49	96.45	96.61			96.31(-0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-10000	-3	1	4.34	39%	-0.11	-147.6	0.84%	0	-0.4	47	0
23	Nov_28_2017	104.84	96.57	96.46	96.74			96.5(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	3	-10000	2	6	4.69	39%	-0.13	-135.7	0.85%	0	-0.1	49	0
24	Nov_27_2017	104.98	96.65	96.51	96.67			96.35(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	3	-10000	0	11	3.38	39%	-0.12	-146.3	0.86%	0	-0.5	56	0
25	Nov_24_2017	105.11	96.79	96.54	96.66			96.78(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-10000	2	14	1.97	39%		-127.8	0.86%	0	-0	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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