Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 5, 2017

Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Philip Morris International Inc.)
PM latest price $109.3250 (-0.14%) ($108.3587 - $109.3993) on Tue. Sep. 5, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.82% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $109.3250(-0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PM advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PM advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(62%)    IWD(59%)    SDY(59%)    SPLV(59%)    IVE(58%)
Factors Impacting PM price   PM will decline at least -0.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-13%)    TLT(-11%)    DIA(-9%)    VIXM(-8%)    GDXJ(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.41% (StdDev 0.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $108.78(0.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $108(1.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $107.71(1.5%)
To recent high   -3.4%
To recent low   3%
Market Cap   $170.25b

Philip Morris International, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in manufacturing and sale of cigarettes, tobacco and nicotine-containing products. It operates through the following geographical segments: European Union, Eastern Europe, Middles East & Africa, South & Southeast Asia, East Asia & Australia and Latin America & Canada. The company was founded by Philip Morris in 1847 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. PM price fluctuates within 0.94% (three month std-dev: 0.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171005

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_5_2017	107.89	107.71	108	108.78			109.33(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-10000	9	31	3.06	46%	0.04	53.2	0.82%	0	1.6	53	0
2	Sep_1_2017	107.85	107.62	107.86	108.38			109.47(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	16	-10000	13	26	3.04	48%	0.06	42.5	0.82%	0	2	63	0
3	Aug_31_2017	107.79	107.47	107.61	107.82			108.64(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	-10000	10	6	4.28	48%	0.03	9.9	0.82%	0	1.3	60	0
4	Aug_30_2017	107.76	107.36	107.5	107.37			108.17(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	-10000	4	-4	2.9	48%	0.04	-22.8	0.82%	0	1	61	0
5	Aug_29_2017	107.72	107.27	107.5	107.19			108.28(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	1	-10000	1	2	2.74	48%	0.04	-44.9	0.82%	0	1.2	54	0

6	Aug_28_2017	107.68	107.18	107.6	107.13			107.35(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	1	-10000	-3	11	2.74	46%	0.03	-62.8	0.82%	0	0.2	55	0
7	Aug_25_2017	107.65	107.23	107.55	107.26			106.66(0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	1	-10000	-2	10	3.11	50%	0.03	-56.7	0.81%	0	-0.5	46	0
8	Aug_24_2017	107.62	107.39	107.55	107.36			106.4(-0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-1	-10000	-6	13	2.81	50%	0.02	-53.3	0.84%	0	-0.9	51	0
9	Aug_23_2017	107.6	107.55	107.57	107.62			107.27(-0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-10000	-10	20	2.19	50%	0.03	-51.4	0.84%	0	-0.2	55	0
10	Aug_22_2017	107.57	107.65	107.58	108.05			107.99(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	10	-10000	-2	45	1.88	52%	0.04	-53.9	0.84%	0	0.3	58	0

11	Aug_21_2017	107.53	107.71	107.44	108.16			108.01(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	6	52	2.44	52%	0.04	-52.8	0.85%	0	0.2	57	0
12	Aug_18_2017	107.49	107.82	107.39	107.88			107.15(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	11	-10000	2	36	4.18	54%	0.03	-52.4	0.86%	0	-0.4	44	0
13	Aug_17_2017	107.46	108	107.35	107.8			107.71(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	9	-10000	7	15	3.27	54%	0.03	-48.7	0.86%	0	-0.2	39	0
14	Aug_16_2017	107.43	108.17	107.22	107.48			109.38(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	4	-10000	10	-16	3.11	59%	0.06	-42	0.83%	0	0.6	45	0
15	Aug_15_2017	107.37	108.32	106.89	107.05			108.54(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-6	-10000	9	-51	4.01	59%	0.05	-40.1	0.84%	0	0.1	45	0

16	Aug_14_2017	107.32	108.43	106.69	106.65			106.62(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-27	-10000	-5	-92	3.25	56%	0.04	-40.1	0.81%	0	-0.9	35	0
17	Aug_11_2017	107.28	108.63	106.85	106.85			106.73(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-10000	0	-96	2.65	56%	0.02	-36.1	0.81%	0	-0.9	31	0
18	Aug_10_2017	107.26	108.83	107.16	106.83			106.12(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	-10000	-1	-106	3.52	54%	0.03	-35.7	0.81%	0	-1.3	26	0
19	Aug_9_2017	107.23	109	107.51	106.88			107.23(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-25	-10000	4	-113	2.51	56%	0.02	-38.6	0.81%	0	-0.9	27	0
20	Aug_8_2017	107.21	109.13	107.71	106.7			106.54(-1.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-37	-10000	-0	-146	2.81	56%	0.03	-43.3	0.81%	0	-1.4	19	0

21	Aug_7_2017	107.18	109.27	108	106.72			107.64(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-43	-10000	-4	-161	3.85	58%	0.04	-45.1	0.8%	0	-0.9	35	0
22	Aug_4_2017	107.14	109.38	108.26	106.88			106.62(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-53	-10000	-16	-164	4.57	58%	0.04	-42.4	0.8%	0	-1.6	34	0
23	Aug_3_2017	107.1	109.55	108.7	107.57			106.37(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-47	-10000	-16	-138	4.27	58%	0.04	-32	0.8%	0	-2	32	0
24	Aug_2_2017	107.06	109.74	109.21	108.26			106.34(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-36	-10000	-14	-101	5.7	58%	0.05	-24.4	0.8%	0	-2.4	42	0
25	Aug_1_2017	107.01	109.95	109.87	108.85			106.62(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-25	-10000	-13	-61	4.46	58%		-14	0.8%	0	-2.7	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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