Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Philip Morris International Inc.)
PM latest price $89.8948 (1.45%) ($88.4747 - $90.1628) on Wed. Sep. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.18% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $89.8948(1.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PM advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PM declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(63%)    SPLV(59%)    SDY(58%)    IVE(57%)    IWD(57%)
Factors Impacting PM price   PM will decline at least -0.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-13%)    VIXM(-9%)    TLT(-9%)    DIA(-7%)    GDXJ(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.59% (StdDev 1.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $88.83(1.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $88.8(1.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $89.31(0.65%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   3.4%
Market Cap   $139.992b

Philip Morris International, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in manufacturing and sale of cigarettes, tobacco and nicotine-containing products. It operates through the following geographical segments: European Union, Eastern Europe, Middles East & Africa, South & Southeast Asia, East Asia & Australia and Latin America & Canada. The company was founded by Philip Morris in 1847 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. PM price fluctuates within 1.21% (three month std-dev: 1.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161021

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_21_2016	89.16	89.31	88.8	88.83			89.89(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-6	-10000	7	-43	4.49	52%	0.02	-16.5	1.18%	0	0.5	53	0
2	Sep_20_2016	89.14	89.3	88.9	88.46			88.61(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-12	-10000	1	-49	2.76	51%	0.02	-23.1	1.17%	0	-0.6	49	0
3	Sep_19_2016	89.12	89.34	89.16	88.41			88.26(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10000	-6	-44	2.53	51%	0.01	-19.2	1.17%	0	-1	46	0
4	Sep_16_2016	89.11	89.4	89.42	88.74			88.28(-0.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-2	-10000	4	-18	5.85	51%	0.03	-7.8	1.17%	0	-1.1	51	0
5	Sep_15_2016	89.08	89.47	89.59	88.51			89.09(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-10	-10000	-5	-26	3.92	51%	0.03	-8	1.17%	0	-0.4	51	0

6	Sep_14_2016	89.05	89.5	89.61	88.79			88.08(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-10000	-12	-22	4.13	51%	0.02	3.6	1.16%	0	-1.4	46	0
7	Sep_13_2016	89.03	89.5	89.76	89.41			88.36(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-10	-10000	-12	-4	4.38	51%	0.02	27.1	1.16%	0	-1.2	46	0
8	Sep_12_2016	89.01	89.55	89.89	90.02			89.89(3.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-10000	-4	20	6.34	54%	0.04	44	1.15%	0	0.3	53	0
9	Sep_9_2016	88.97	89.48	89.77	90.22			87.12(-3.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-3.1	-3	-10000	-11	22	7.23	48%	0.02	50	1.08%	0	-2.4	41	0
10	Sep_8_2016	88.95	89.56	90.01	90.77			90.49(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	-10000	6	51	3.73	59%	0.04	73.7	0.97%	0	1	56	0

11	Sep_7_2016	88.91	89.46	89.91	90.52			91.18(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	9	42	2.96	59%	0.05	67.7	0.98%	0	1.9	62	0
12	Sep_6_2016	88.87	89.29	89.74	90.14			91.42(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	14	-10000	8	33	3.38	59%	0.03	50.5	0.98%	0	2.5	70	0
13	Sep_2_2016	88.84	89.12	89.52	89.77			90.9(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	15	-10000	11	28	3.53	62%	0.02	36.6	1%	0	2.4	72	0
14	Sep_1_2016	88.82	88.98	89.34	89.29			89.87(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	6	-10000	3	13	3.31	60%	0.01	13	0.99%	0	1.5	63	0
15	Aug_31_2016	88.81	88.91	89.31	89.15			89.25(-0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	3	-10000	-1	15	3.14	60%	0	7.7	0.99%	0	0.6	60	0

16	Aug_30_2016	88.81	88.87	89.34	89.19			89.29(-0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	4	-10000	-2	22	2.28	60%	0	20	0.99%	0	0.7	57	0
17	Aug_29_2016	88.81	88.86	89.3	89.26			89.55(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10000	0	32	3.02	60%	0.01	30.3	1%	0	1.2	65	0
18	Aug_26_2016	88.8	88.85	89.16	89.24			88.51(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	6	-10000	-3	31	2.78	58%	-0.01	33.3	0.99%	0	-0.6	57	0
19	Aug_25_2016	88.81	88.9	89.17	89.39			89.17(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-10000	-2	39	2.4	58%	0	43.9	0.99%	0	0.5	59	0
20	Aug_24_2016	88.81	88.87	89.09	89.48			89.43(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-10000	-1	43	2.84	58%	0.01	37.5	0.99%	0	0.8	61	0

21	Aug_23_2016	88.8	88.75	89	89.51			89.66(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	4	47	2.1	58%	0.01	26.6	0.99%	0	1.3	63	0
22	Aug_22_2016	88.79	88.68	88.83	89.34			89.42(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	6	34	2.38	58%	0.01	15.8	0.99%	0	1.1	49	0
23	Aug_19_2016	88.78	88.66	88.69	89.07			89.25(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-10000	4	15	2.91	58%	0.03	-14.9	0.99%	0	0.9	46	0
24	Aug_18_2016	88.75	88.65	88.59	88.91			89.62(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	5	-10000	6	2	3.26	56%	0.02	-46.6	0.99%	0	1.5	48	0
25	Aug_17_2016	88.73	88.6	88.46	88.64			89.57(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	2	-10000	5	-9	3.89	51%		-84.3	1%	0	1.6	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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