Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 11, 2016

Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Philip Morris International Inc.)
PM latest price $92.3331 (0.28%) ($91.1899 - $92.5921) on Mon. Jul. 11, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $92.3331(0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PM advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PM advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(63%)    SPLV(59%)    SDY(58%)    IVE(57%)    IWD(57%)
Factors Impacting PM price   PM will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-13%)    VIXM(-9%)    TLT(-9%)    DIA(-7%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $91.61(0.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $90.41(2.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $89.79(2.83%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   8.3%
Market Cap   $143.789b

Philip Morris International, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in manufacturing and sale of cigarettes, tobacco and nicotine-containing products. It operates through the following geographical segments: European Union, Eastern Europe, Middles East & Africa, South & Southeast Asia, East Asia & Australia and Latin America & Canada. The company was founded by Philip Morris in 1847 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. PM price fluctuates within 1.68% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160811

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_11_2016	87.16	89.79	90.41	91.61			92.33(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	-10000	8	75	4.04	49%	0.14	40.5	1%	0	1.7	60	0
2	Jul_8_2016	87.04	89.63	89.91	91.23			92.07(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	5	51	3.4	49%	0.14	37.4	1%	0	1.8	62	0
3	Jul_7_2016	86.92	89.51	89.76	90.99			90.9(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10000	13	61	3.14	47%	0.13	43.7	0.99%	0	1.1	61	0
4	Jul_6_2016	86.81	89.45	89.68	90.43			91.42(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	-10000	16	55	4.24	48%	0.15	40.6	0.99%	0	1.6	65	0
5	Jul_5_2016	86.68	89.32	89.52	89.74			91.31(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	22	-10000	16	40	5.93	48%	0.16	33.3	1%	0	1.7	63	0

6	Jul_1_2016	86.54	89.18	89.34	89.02			90.46(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	16	-10000	15	19	4.77	52%	0.15	22.2	0.98%	0	1.2	56	0
7	Jun_30_2016	86.41	89.12	89.19	88.38			90.85(3.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	2.4	-5	-10000	-1	-15	7.55	52%	0.15	12.8	1%	0	1.7	54	0
8	Jun_29_2016	86.28	89.12	88.95	88.42			88.08(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-10000	-10	-28	4.49	48%	0.12	16.2	0.92%	0	-0.9	40	0
9	Jun_28_2016	86.18	88.96	88.97	88.85			88.01(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-13	-10000	-10	-23	6.15	48%	0.1	29.3	0.93%	0	-0.9	40	0
10	Jun_27_2016	86.09	88.94	89.02	89.26			87.71(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-10	-10000	-10	-10	8.21	48%	0.12	41.9	0.93%	0	-1.2	46	0

11	Jun_24_2016	85.99	88.95	89.16	89.68			87.27(-4.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.3	-4	-10000	-8	9	14.75	48%	0.1	58.1	0.93%	0	-1.6	45	0
12	Jun_23_2016	85.9	88.98	89.4	90.03			91.01(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	20	-10000	14	39	2.72	57%	0.15	72.2	0.78%	0	2	60	0
13	Jun_22_2016	85.77	88.8	89.28	89.54			90.23(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	12	33	3.5	55%	0.14	65.1	0.77%	0	1.5	66	0
14	Jun_21_2016	85.65	88.66	89.23	89.12			90.07(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	-10000	10	28	5.41	55%	0.14	50	0.78%	0	1.5	64	0
15	Jun_20_2016	85.53	88.5	89.1	88.77			89.79(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	9	-10000	5	22	5.05	55%	0.14	24.8	0.78%	0	1.4	67	0

16	Jun_17_2016	85.41	88.35	88.98	88.59			89.06(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	3	-10000	-3	19	6.39	57%	0.13	7.3	0.78%	0	0.7	60	0
17	Jun_16_2016	85.3	88.25	89.01	88.69			88.55(0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-10000	-8	35	4.58	57%	0.14	-5.4	0.81%	0	0.3	58	0
18	Jun_15_2016	85.18	88.19	89.01	88.98			88.11(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	5	-10000	-10	50	3.78	57%	0.14	-8.9	0.81%	0	-0.1	56	0
19	Jun_14_2016	85.06	88.2	88.95	89.35			88.32(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	17	-10000	-3	76	5.16	57%	0.14	-6.3	0.81%	0	0.1	59	0
20	Jun_13_2016	84.94	88.27	88.87	89.45			88.92(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	22	-10000	1	86	3.57	57%	0.17	0.8	0.81%	0	0.6	67	0

21	Jun_10_2016	84.8	88.28	88.76	89.4			89.57(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	1	96	3.61	57%	0.17	2.5	0.8%	0	1.2	74	0
22	Jun_9_2016	84.66	88.3	88.55	89.37			89.99(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	-10000	12	105	4.23	60%	0.19	11.7	0.8%	0	1.5	74	0
23	Jun_8_2016	84.5	88.28	88.3	88.93			89.94(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	29	-10000	11	83	4.12	60%	0.15	10.9	0.83%	0	1.5	67	0
24	Jun_7_2016	84.37	88.27	88.04	88.52			88.82(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	9	59	5.55	58%	0.06	13.1	0.82%	0	0.5	52	0
25	Jun_6_2016	84.32	88.26	87.85	88.2			88.7(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	6	21	5.12	58%		11.5	0.82%	0	0.4	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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