Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 6, 2016

Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Philip Morris International Inc.)
PM latest price $88.7002 (-0.79%) ($88.4349 - $89.9115) on Mon. Jun. 6, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.82% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $88.7002(-0.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PM advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PM advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(63%)    SPLV(59%)    SDY(58%)    IVE(57%)    IWD(57%)
Factors Impacting PM price   PM will decline at least -0.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-14%)    VIXM(-10%)    TLT(-9%)    DIA(-6%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.41% (StdDev 0.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $88.2(0.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $87.85(0.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $88.26(0.5%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   8%
Market Cap   $138.131b

Philip Morris International, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in manufacturing and sale of cigarettes, tobacco and nicotine-containing products. It operates through the following geographical segments: European Union, Eastern Europe, Middles East & Africa, South & Southeast Asia, East Asia & Australia and Latin America & Canada. The company was founded by Philip Morris in 1847 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. PM price fluctuates within 1.3% (three month std-dev: 0.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160706

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_6_2016	84.32	88.26	87.85	88.2			88.7(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	6	21	5.12	58%	0.15	11.5	0.82%	0	0.4	39	0
2	Jun_3_2016	84.19	88.25	87.64	88			89.41(1.87%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	6	-10000	10	-5	4.79	63%	0.15	14.6	0.83%	0	1	48	0
3	Jun_2_2016	84.06	88.17	87.39	87.63			87.76(-0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-12	-10000	1	-51	2.52	60%	0.13	12.6	0.83%	0	-0.4	31	0
4	Jun_1_2016	83.95	88.15	87.35	87.59			87.89(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-16	-10000	3	-72	3.47	60%	0.12	16.4	0.83%	0	-0.2	35	0
5	May_31_2016	83.85	88.15	87.37	87.49			87.25(-0.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-21	-10000	2	-91	5.71	60%	0.22	18.2	0.84%	0	-0.8	29	0

6	May_27_2016	83.67	88.12	87.62	87.42			87.69(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-18	-10000	6	-88	2.06	60%	0.14	20.3	0.82%	0	-0.4	44	0
7	May_26_2016	83.55	88.09	87.75	87.22			87.54(-0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-22	-10000	3	-95	2.35	57%	0.12	18.3	0.83%	0	-0.4	43	0
8	May_25_2016	83.45	88.03	88.01	87.1			87.58(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-21	-10000	0	-83	2.54	59%	0.13	18.1	0.84%	0	-0.3	51	0
9	May_24_2016	83.34	87.96	88.24	87.09			87.39(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	-10000	-4	-67	3.07	59%	0.14	14.6	0.85%	0	-0.4	52	0
10	May_23_2016	83.22	87.91	88.51	87.26			86.9(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-10000	-16	-43	2.37	59%	0.05	12.3	0.86%	0	-0.7	52	0

11	May_20_2016	83.18	87.89	88.71	87.87			86.68(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-11	-10000	-13	-5	3.37	59%	0.12	15.6	0.86%	0	-0.8	51	0
12	May_19_2016	83.08	87.86	88.94	88.37			86.97(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-6	-10000	-18	30	3.47	59%	0.11	15.9	0.86%	0	-0.6	55	0
13	May_18_2016	82.99	87.79	89.05	89.05			87.49(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	9	-10000	-13	74	3.41	59%	0.12	19.7	0.86%	0	-0.2	62	0
14	May_17_2016	82.89	87.76	89.07	89.55			88.28(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	20	-10000	-10	111	4.35	63%	0.13	23	0.85%	0	0.3	68	0
15	May_16_2016	82.78	87.73	88.98	89.92			89.93(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	43	-10000	7	151	3	69%	0.08	23.3	0.82%	0	1.4	83	0

16	May_13_2016	82.71	87.66	88.71	89.68			89.2(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	40	-10000	3	149	3.07	69%	0.15	21.5	0.82%	0	1	76	0
17	May_12_2016	82.59	87.61	88.47	89.58			90.34(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	52	-10000	15	163	4.92	73%	0.16	17.9	0.81%	0	1.9	92	0
18	May_11_2016	82.46	87.48	88.05	89.05			90.01(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	48	-10000	15	147	3.38	73%	0.17	6.4	0.81%	0	1.8	93	0
19	May_10_2016	82.32	87.4	87.64	88.52			90.09(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	41	-10000	16	117	3.12	73%	0.18	-7.1	0.83%	0	2	70	0
20	May_9_2016	82.17	87.36	87.21	87.92			88.76(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	-10000	9	75	4.49	71%	0.17	-16.7	0.82%	0	1.1	54	0

21	May_6_2016	82.03	87.34	86.95	87.6			88.7(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-10000	11	42	4.07	71%	0.15	-23.8	0.82%	0	1.1	44	0
22	May_5_2016	81.91	87.35	86.64	87.21			87.69(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-10000	9	1	5.75	70%	0.12	-29.1	0.81%	0	0.3	42	0
23	May_4_2016	81.81	87.4	86.4	86.88			87.34(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	-10000	7	-38	3.16	70%	0.15	-26.9	0.81%	0	-0	42	0
24	May_3_2016	81.69	87.5	86.32	86.62			87.11(-0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	-10000	7	-65	2.67	70%	0.15	-25.3	0.82%	0	-0.3	38	0
25	May_2_2016	81.57	87.57	86.37	86.39			87.14(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-20	-10000	5	-94	2.9	70%		-25.8	0.82%	0	-0.3	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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