Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 10, 2016

Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Philip Morris International Inc.)
PM latest price $90.0883 (1.49%) ($88.7709 - $90.1237) on Tue. May. 10, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.83% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $90.0883(1.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PM advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PM advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(63%)    SPLV(59%)    SDY(58%)    IVE(57%)    IWD(57%)
Factors Impacting PM price   PM will decline at least -0.415% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-14%)    VIXM(-10%)    TLT(-9%)    DIA(-6%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.415% (StdDev 0.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $88.52(1.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $87.64(2.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $87.4(3.08%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   16.5%
Market Cap   $140.293b

Philip Morris International, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in manufacturing and sale of cigarettes, tobacco and nicotine-containing products. It operates through the following geographical segments: European Union, Eastern Europe, Middles East & Africa, South & Southeast Asia, East Asia & Australia and Latin America & Canada. The company was founded by Philip Morris in 1847 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. PM price fluctuates within 1.54% (three month std-dev: 0.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160610

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_10_2016	82.32	87.4	87.64	88.52			90.09(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	41	-10000	16	117	3.12	73%	0.18	-7.1	0.83%	0	2	70	0
2	May_9_2016	82.17	87.36	87.21	87.92			88.76(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	-10000	9	75	4.49	71%	0.17	-16.7	0.82%	0	1.1	54	0
3	May_6_2016	82.03	87.34	86.95	87.6			88.7(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-10000	11	42	4.07	71%	0.15	-23.8	0.82%	0	1.1	44	0
4	May_5_2016	81.91	87.35	86.64	87.21			87.69(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-10000	9	1	5.75	70%	0.12	-29.1	0.81%	0	0.3	42	0
5	May_4_2016	81.81	87.4	86.4	86.88			87.34(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	-10000	7	-38	3.16	70%	0.15	-26.9	0.81%	0	-0	42	0

6	May_3_2016	81.69	87.5	86.32	86.62			87.11(-0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	-10000	7	-65	2.67	70%	0.15	-25.3	0.82%	0	-0.3	38	0
7	May_2_2016	81.57	87.57	86.37	86.39			87.14(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-20	-10000	5	-94	2.9	70%	0.16	-25.8	0.82%	0	-0.3	32	0
8	Apr_29_2016	81.44	87.65	86.51	86.21			86.76(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-21	-10000	6	-102	4.27	70%	0.15	-22.6	0.82%	0	-0.6	39	0
9	Apr_28_2016	81.32	87.72	86.67	86			86.07(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-26	-10000	5	-118	3.21	70%	0.12	-20.9	0.83%	0	-1.2	33	0
10	Apr_27_2016	81.22	87.77	86.87	85.83			86(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-37	-10000	-4	-137	3.71	70%	0.12	-22.1	0.83%	0	-1.3	35	0

11	Apr_26_2016	81.12	87.85	87.14	85.98			85.98(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-42	-10000	-10	-138	3.71	70%	0.11	-14.3	0.84%	0	-1.4	33	0
12	Apr_25_2016	81.03	87.93	87.51	86.34			86.23(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-41	-10000	-15	-118	3.25	70%	0.11	-2.8	0.84%	0	-1.4	39	0
13	Apr_22_2016	80.94	87.96	87.77	86.89			85.69(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-35	-10000	-15	-96	3.66	71%	0.14	12.1	0.84%	0	-1.8	36	0
14	Apr_21_2016	80.83	88.02	88.13	87.45			85.25(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-28	-10000	-16	-65	5.09	71%	0.12	25.4	0.85%	0	-2.3	38	0
15	Apr_20_2016	80.73	88.07	88.53	88.04			86.76(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-14	-10000	-11	-23	4.21	71%	0.14	44.9	0.81%	0	-1.2	54	0

16	Apr_19_2016	80.62	88.03	88.81	88.43			87.78(-1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-6	-10000	-11	11	7.39	76%	0.16	54.7	0.84%	0	-0.2	55	0
17	Apr_18_2016	80.49	87.96	88.91	88.85			88.95(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	1	45	5.08	81%	0.17	69.4	0.82%	0	0.8	60	0
18	Apr_15_2016	80.35	87.82	88.89	88.8			88.51(0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-10000	-4	58	6.3	75%	0.11	72	0.83%	0	0.5	63	0
19	Apr_14_2016	80.26	87.72	88.87	88.94			88.21(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	16	-10000	-4	76	4.3	75%	0.16	80.9	0.87%	0	0.4	64	0
20	Apr_13_2016	80.13	87.57	88.75	89.08			88.71(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	-10000	-4	91	5.4	75%	0.18	82.3	0.87%	0	0.8	69	0

21	Apr_12_2016	79.99	87.36	88.62	89.23			89.86(1.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	34	-10000	6	118	4.46	79%	0.2	84.4	0.86%	0	1.6	79	0
22	Apr_11_2016	79.83	87.09	88.37	89.23			88.71(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	29	-10000	0	117	4.94	80%	0.19	87.2	0.85%	0	1	67	0
23	Apr_8_2016	79.68	86.88	88.17	88.99			89.2(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-10000	5	119	3.71	80%	0.2	91.3	0.91%	0	1.5	72	0
24	Apr_7_2016	79.52	86.66	87.88	88.79			88.93(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	-10000	11	113	3.68	80%	0.19	100.6	0.91%	0	1.5	65	0
25	Apr_6_2016	79.37	86.41	87.57	88.36			89.45(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	-10000	11	103	4.76	80%		104.4	0.91%	0	1.9	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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