Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Philip Morris International Inc.)
PM latest price $88.6471 (-0.1%) ($88.3111 - $88.7797) on Tue. Apr. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.91% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $88.6471(-0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PM advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PM advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(63%)    SPLV(59%)    SDY(58%)    IVE(57%)    IWD(57%)
Factors Impacting PM price   PM will decline at least -0.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-14%)    VIXM(-10%)    TLT(-9%)    DIA(-6%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.455% (StdDev 0.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $87.92(0.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $87.18(1.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $86.07(2.99%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   18.1%
Market Cap   $138.049b

Philip Morris International, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in manufacturing and sale of cigarettes, tobacco and nicotine-containing products. It operates through the following geographical segments: European Union, Eastern Europe, Middles East & Africa, South & Southeast Asia, East Asia & Australia and Latin America & Canada. The company was founded by Philip Morris in 1847 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. PM price fluctuates within 1.84% (three month std-dev: 0.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160505

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_5_2016	79.19	86.07	87.18	87.92			88.65(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	6	92	3.52	79%	0.22	103.8	0.91%	0	1.6	75	0
2	Apr_4_2016	79.02	85.75	86.93	87.67			88.74(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	33	-10000	11	98	4.2	79%	0.22	102.6	0.92%	0	1.8	76	0
3	Apr_1_2016	78.85	85.44	86.63	87.23			88.2(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	-10000	10	90	4.18	79%	0.22	106.3	0.93%	0	1.7	74	0
4	Mar_31_2016	78.68	85.12	86.45	86.84			86.75(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	5	87	4.38	74%	0.18	99.5	0.92%	0	1	65	0
5	Mar_30_2016	78.54	84.8	86.29	86.66			87.26(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	9	89	3.41	74%	0.18	84.3	0.93%	0	1.3	73	0

6	Mar_29_2016	78.4	84.45	86.01	86.31			87.41(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	26	-10000	6	87	5.01	74%	0.18	73.7	0.93%	0	1.4	80	0
7	Mar_28_2016	78.26	84.07	85.7	86.08			86.53(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	26	-10000	3	93	3.21	72%	0.19	65.4	0.93%	0	1.1	79	0
8	Mar_24_2016	78.11	83.75	85.5	85.96			86.27(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	25	-10000	-1	101	3.67	72%	0.13	60.4	0.93%	0	1.1	73	0
9	Mar_23_2016	78.01	83.48	85.34	86.01			85.83(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	36	-10000	4	130	3.03	74%	0.13	62.8	0.93%	0	1	76	0
10	Mar_22_2016	77.91	83.2	85.17	85.86			85.53(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	42	-10000	6	151	3.66	76%	0.12	62.3	0.95%	0	1	80	0

11	Mar_21_2016	77.82	82.95	84.9	85.63			86.27(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	48	-10000	9	165	3.78	76%	0.14	64.7	0.95%	0	1.5	85	0
12	Mar_18_2016	77.71	82.67	84.5	85.25			85.9(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	48	-10000	7	170	9.47	69%	0.12	69.7	0.95%	0	1.5	85	0
13	Mar_17_2016	77.62	82.39	84.17	84.96			86.54(1.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	50	-10000	9	172	7.38	66%	0.12	76.5	1%	0	2	86	0
14	Mar_16_2016	77.53	82.06	83.67	84.6			85.03(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	-10000	5	165	3.94	67%	0.12	84.7	1%	0	1.6	73	0
15	Mar_15_2016	77.44	81.79	83.2	84.39			84.39(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	45	-10000	8	157	5.04	67%	0.09	87.1	1.04%	0	1.4	75	0

16	Mar_14_2016	77.37	81.51	82.79	84.04			84.39(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	-10000	10	144	4.63	67%	0.09	86.6	1.04%	0	1.6	70	0
17	Mar_11_2016	77.3	81.19	82.32	83.6			84.43(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	-10000	8	119	7.2	63%	0.09	78.6	1.05%	0	1.8	66	0
18	Mar_10_2016	77.23	80.84	81.88	83.25			84.74(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	37	-10000	14	106	5.43	63%	0.12	71.3	1.07%	0	2.2	70	0
19	Mar_9_2016	77.14	80.49	81.46	82.62			84.01(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	36	-10000	18	90	6.54	63%	0.09	67.5	1.07%	0	2.2	69	0
20	Mar_8_2016	77.07	80.22	81.05	81.84			82.65(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	-10000	12	60	5.46	61%	0.09	63.3	1.06%	0	1.7	67	0

21	Mar_7_2016	77	80.01	80.82	81.33			82.16(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	-10000	12	52	4.89	61%	0.08	58.2	1.06%	0	1.6	70	0
22	Mar_4_2016	76.94	79.81	80.68	80.83			82.68(1.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	22	-10000	12	52	5.73	65%	0.12	49.1	1.06%	0	2.2	76	0
23	Mar_3_2016	76.85	79.57	80.44	80.3			81.6(1.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	14	-10000	3	47	4.14	63%	0.12	42.9	1.1%	0	1.7	76	0
24	Mar_2_2016	76.76	79.41	80.29	80.16			80.12(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	14	-10000	0	56	3.26	61%	0.09	49.3	1.08%	0	0.7	64	0
25	Mar_1_2016	76.69	79.31	80.26	80.14			80.1(0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	14	-10000	-2	63	4.49	61%		55.4	1.08%	0	0.7	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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