Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 21, 2015

Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Philip Morris International Inc.)
PM latest price $76.9460 (0.29%) ($76.4185 - $77.5513) on Wed. Oct. 21, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.23% (three month average)
RSI   95
Latest Price   $76.9460(0.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PM advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PM advances 4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(63%)    SDY(58%)    IVE(57%)    IWD(57%)    VYM(57%)
Factors Impacting PM price   PM will decline at least -0.615% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-13%)    VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-9%)    DIA(-4%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.615% (StdDev 1.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $76.09(1.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $74.62(3.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $72.08(6.75%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   16.6%
Market Cap   $119.827b

Philip Morris International, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in manufacturing and sale of cigarettes, tobacco and nicotine-containing products. It operates through the following geographical segments: European Union, Eastern Europe, Middles East & Africa, South & Southeast Asia, East Asia & Australia and Latin America & Canada. The company was founded by Philip Morris in 1847 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. PM price fluctuates within 4.16% (three month std-dev: 1.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151121

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_21_2015	70.46	72.08	74.62	76.09			76.95(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	66	-10000	17	212	3.64	57%	0.1	60.3	1.23%	0	1.6	95	0
2	Oct_20_2015	70.39	71.66	74.08	75.32			76.72(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	63	-10000	16	205	4.5	57%	0.1	54.6	1.23%	0	1.8	95	0
3	Oct_19_2015	70.32	71.25	73.45	74.57			76.46(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	59	-10000	14	195	4.8	57%	0.09	52.2	1.24%	0	2	95	0
4	Oct_16_2015	70.26	70.91	72.86	73.92			75.91(1.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	59	-10000	14	192	5.48	60%	0.07	55.9	1.23%	0	2.2	92	0
5	Oct_15_2015	70.21	70.56	72.18	73.28			74.43(1.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	47	-10000	7	166	5.88	58%	0.04	59.8	1.27%	0	2	83	0

6	Oct_14_2015	70.18	70.32	71.62	72.95			73.05(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	46	-10000	7	161	5.56	56%	0.04	69.6	1.25%	0	1.6	81	0
7	Oct_13_2015	70.15	70.16	71.18	72.63			72.99(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	-10000	11	154	3.09	56%	0.04	78.9	1.25%	0	1.7	80	0
8	Oct_12_2015	70.12	69.95	70.69	72.13			73.21(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	41	-10000	11	132	2.39	56%	0.03	76.2	1.25%	0	2.1	78	0
9	Oct_9_2015	70.1	69.66	70.18	71.62			72.7(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	38	-10000	16	104	5.06	56%	0.01	80.7	1.26%	0	2.2	63	0
10	Oct_8_2015	70.09	69.41	69.77	70.9			72.77(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	32	-10000	18	75	3.92	56%	0.01	73.1	1.26%	0	2.6	68	0

11	Oct_7_2015	70.08	69.13	69.34	70.09			71.49(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	18	-10000	13	34	3.68	56%	-0.01	64.2	1.25%	0	2.1	56	0
12	Oct_6_2015	70.09	68.9	69.03	69.52			70.47(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	10	-10000	12	3	3.52	54%	-0.03	58.5	1.25%	0	1.6	50	0
13	Oct_5_2015	70.11	68.77	68.87	69.02			70.66(2.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	4	-10000	11	-17	5.72	54%	-0.04	47.9	1.25%	0	2	60	0
14	Oct_2_2015	70.14	68.54	68.78	68.54			69.14(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5	-10000	2	-25	3.74	51%	-0.06	20.7	1.23%	0	0.6	61	0
15	Oct_1_2015	70.18	68.48	68.79	68.47			68.71(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-10000	0	-20	3.96	51%	-0.03	14	1.22%	0	0.2	58	0

16	Sep_30_2015	70.2	68.41	68.91	68.46			68.6(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-1	-10000	-0	-3	4.97	51%	-0.04	9.6	1.24%	0	0.2	61	0
17	Sep_29_2015	70.23	68.31	69.06	68.48			68(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-5	17	4.19	49%	-0.04	10.7	1.23%	0	-0.3	61	0
18	Sep_28_2015	70.26	68.32	69.17	68.67			68.24(-0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	0	-10000	-9	28	4.33	49%	-0.06	20.2	1.24%	0	-0.1	52	0
19	Sep_25_2015	70.3	68.32	69.15	69.04			68.82(0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-10000	-3	58	3.4	49%	-0.03	28	1.24%	0	0.4	66	0
20	Sep_24_2015	70.32	68.33	69.07	69.15			68.66(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-10000	-7	63	3.07	49%	-0.03	23.2	1.24%	0	0.3	54	0

21	Sep_23_2015	70.34	68.31	68.96	69.44			68.67(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	15	-10000	-6	76	2.44	49%	-0.01	16.7	1.25%	0	0.3	57	0
22	Sep_22_2015	70.35	68.18	68.8	69.72			68.96(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	24	-10000	-0	95	3.61	49%	-0.01	1.6	1.25%	0	0.6	61	0
23	Sep_21_2015	70.36	68.08	68.71	69.73			70.12(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	-10000	11	102	3.63	52%	-0.01	-16.3	1.24%	0	1.6	56	0
24	Sep_18_2015	70.37	68.02	68.31	69.25			69.35(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-10000	7	67	8.27	54%	-0.01	-38.9	1.23%	0	1.1	52	0
25	Sep_17_2015	70.38	68.07	68.15	68.96			70.08(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	-10000	13	51	4.63	54%		-46.4	1.24%	0	1.5	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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