Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Oct. 12, 2015

Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Philip Morris International Inc.)
PM latest price $73.2103 (0.7%) ($72.7433 - $73.4091) on Mon. Oct. 12, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.25% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $73.2103(0.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PM advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PM advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(64%)    SDY(58%)    IVE(57%)    IWD(57%)    VYM(57%)
Factors Impacting PM price   PM will decline at least -0.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-13%)    VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-9%)    DIA(-4%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.625% (StdDev 1.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $72.13(1.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $70.69(3.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $69.95(4.66%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   10.9%
Market Cap   $114.009b

Philip Morris International, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in manufacturing and sale of cigarettes, tobacco and nicotine-containing products. It operates through the following geographical segments: European Union, Eastern Europe, Middles East & Africa, South & Southeast Asia, East Asia & Australia and Latin America & Canada. The company was founded by Philip Morris in 1847 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. PM price fluctuates within 2.23% (three month std-dev: 1.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151112

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_12_2015	70.12	69.95	70.69	72.13			73.21(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	41	-10000	11	132	2.39	56%	0.03	76.2	1.25%	0	2.1	78	0
2	Oct_9_2015	70.1	69.66	70.18	71.62			72.7(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	38	-10000	16	104	5.06	56%	0.01	80.7	1.26%	0	2.2	63	0
3	Oct_8_2015	70.09	69.41	69.77	70.9			72.77(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	32	-10000	18	75	3.92	56%	0.01	73.1	1.26%	0	2.6	68	0
4	Oct_7_2015	70.08	69.13	69.34	70.09			71.49(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	18	-10000	13	34	3.68	56%	-0.01	64.2	1.25%	0	2.1	56	0
5	Oct_6_2015	70.09	68.9	69.03	69.52			70.47(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	10	-10000	12	3	3.52	54%	-0.03	58.5	1.25%	0	1.6	50	0

6	Oct_5_2015	70.11	68.77	68.87	69.02			70.66(2.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	4	-10000	11	-17	5.72	54%	-0.04	47.9	1.25%	0	2	60	0
7	Oct_2_2015	70.14	68.54	68.78	68.54			69.14(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5	-10000	2	-25	3.74	51%	-0.06	20.7	1.23%	0	0.6	61	0
8	Oct_1_2015	70.18	68.48	68.79	68.47			68.71(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-10000	0	-20	3.96	51%	-0.03	14	1.22%	0	0.2	58	0
9	Sep_30_2015	70.2	68.41	68.91	68.46			68.6(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-1	-10000	-0	-3	4.97	51%	-0.04	9.6	1.24%	0	0.2	61	0
10	Sep_29_2015	70.23	68.31	69.06	68.48			68(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-5	17	4.19	49%	-0.04	10.7	1.23%	0	-0.3	61	0

11	Sep_28_2015	70.26	68.32	69.17	68.67			68.24(-0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	0	-10000	-9	28	4.33	49%	-0.06	20.2	1.24%	0	-0.1	52	0
12	Sep_25_2015	70.3	68.32	69.15	69.04			68.82(0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-10000	-3	58	3.4	49%	-0.03	28	1.24%	0	0.4	66	0
13	Sep_24_2015	70.32	68.33	69.07	69.15			68.66(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-10000	-7	63	3.07	49%	-0.03	23.2	1.24%	0	0.3	54	0
14	Sep_23_2015	70.34	68.31	68.96	69.44			68.67(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	15	-10000	-6	76	2.44	49%	-0.01	16.7	1.25%	0	0.3	57	0
15	Sep_22_2015	70.35	68.18	68.8	69.72			68.96(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	24	-10000	-0	95	3.61	49%	-0.01	1.6	1.25%	0	0.6	61	0

16	Sep_21_2015	70.36	68.08	68.71	69.73			70.12(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	-10000	11	102	3.63	52%	-0.01	-16.3	1.24%	0	1.6	56	0
17	Sep_18_2015	70.37	68.02	68.31	69.25			69.35(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-10000	7	67	8.27	54%	-0.01	-38.9	1.23%	0	1.1	52	0
18	Sep_17_2015	70.38	68.07	68.15	68.96			70.08(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	-10000	13	51	4.63	54%	0.01	-46.4	1.24%	0	1.5	53	0
19	Sep_16_2015	70.37	68.11	67.85	68.41			70.1(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	18	-10000	16	25	5.93	54%	0	-57.9	1.24%	0	1.4	56	0
20	Sep_15_2015	70.37	68.17	67.46	67.75			69(1.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	2	-10000	4	-3	4.03	52%	0	-67.4	1.22%	0	0.5	61	0

21	Sep_14_2015	70.37	68.29	67.35	67.57			67.75(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	7	-10000	9	-1	3.63	49%	-0.03	-66.7	1.21%	0	-0.3	54	0
22	Sep_11_2015	70.39	68.48	67.42	67.57			67.85(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-6	-10000	0	-22	5.23	49%	-0.04	-68.8	1.21%	0	-0.3	46	0
23	Sep_10_2015	70.42	68.69	67.51	67.22			67.34(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	-10000	1	-36	3.87	52%	-0.04	-66.3	1.2%	0	-0.6	39	0
24	Sep_9_2015	70.45	68.97	67.58	67.19			66.83(-1.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-13	-10000	2	-59	4.06	52%	-0.07	-62.9	1.22%	0	-0.9	36	0
25	Sep_8_2015	70.5	69.27	67.53	67.11			68.1(3.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-26	-10000	0	-102	4.78	55%		-62.8	1.2%	0	-0.5	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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