Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 17, 2015

Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Philip Morris International Inc.)
PM latest price $70.0809 (-0.02%) ($69.5857 - $70.9091) on Thu. Sep. 17, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.24% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $70.0809(-0.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PM advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PM advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(64%)    SDY(59%)    IVE(57%)    IWD(57%)    VYM(57%)
Factors Impacting PM price   PM will decline at least -0.62% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-10%)    GDXJ(-3%)    DIA(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.62% (StdDev 1.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $68.96(1.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $68.15(2.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $68.07(2.95%)
To recent high   -4.4%
To recent low   6.2%
Market Cap   $109.136b

Philip Morris International, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in manufacturing and sale of cigarettes, tobacco and nicotine-containing products. It operates through the following geographical segments: European Union, Eastern Europe, Middles East & Africa, South & Southeast Asia, East Asia & Australia and Latin America & Canada. The company was founded by Philip Morris in 1847 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. PM price fluctuates within 1.94% (three month std-dev: 1.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151017

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_17_2015	70.38	68.07	68.15	68.96			70.08(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	-10000	13	51	4.63	54%	0.01	-46.4	1.24%	0	1.5	53	0
2	Sep_16_2015	70.37	68.11	67.85	68.41			70.1(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	18	-10000	16	25	5.93	54%	0	-57.9	1.24%	0	1.4	56	0
3	Sep_15_2015	70.37	68.17	67.46	67.75			69(1.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	2	-10000	4	-3	4.03	52%	0	-67.4	1.22%	0	0.5	61	0
4	Sep_14_2015	70.37	68.29	67.35	67.57			67.75(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	7	-10000	9	-1	3.63	49%	-0.03	-66.7	1.21%	0	-0.3	54	0
5	Sep_11_2015	70.39	68.48	67.42	67.57			67.85(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-6	-10000	0	-22	5.23	49%	-0.04	-68.8	1.21%	0	-0.3	46	0

6	Sep_10_2015	70.42	68.69	67.51	67.22			67.34(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	-10000	1	-36	3.87	52%	-0.04	-66.3	1.2%	0	-0.6	39	0
7	Sep_9_2015	70.45	68.97	67.58	67.19			66.83(-1.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-13	-10000	2	-59	4.06	52%	-0.07	-62.9	1.22%	0	-0.9	36	0
8	Sep_8_2015	70.5	69.27	67.53	67.19			68.1(3.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-26	-10000	0	-102	4.78	55%	-0.07	-62.8	1.2%	0	-0.5	38	0
9	Sep_4_2015	70.55	69.51	67.41	67.11			65.99(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-46	-10000	-13	-145	5.23	46%	-0.07	-59.3	1.17%	0	-1.4	30	0
10	Sep_3_2015	70.6	69.85	67.73	67.64			67.84(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-41	-10000	-6	-147	3.36	50%	0.03	-56.3	1.13%	0	-0.8	33	0

11	Sep_2_2015	70.58	70.12	68	67.86			67.2(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-41	-10000	-5	-150	3.59	50%	0.01	-53	1.12%	0	-1.2	29	0
12	Sep_1_2015	70.57	70.43	68.41	68.04			66.41(-2.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-37	-10000	2	-154	5.12	48%	0.01	-51.6	1.11%	0	-1.6	23	0
13	Aug_31_2015	70.56	70.78	68.93	67.98			68.13(-0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-38	-10000	7	-172	4.21	53%	0.03	-56.1	1.07%	0	-1.1	28	0
14	Aug_28_2015	70.54	71.03	69.3	67.73			68.6(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-52	-10000	-3	-197	3.52	53%	0.04	-60.9	1.08%	0	-1.1	28	0
15	Aug_27_2015	70.51	71.26	69.62	67.83			68.97(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-59	-10000	-11	-203	4.21	53%	0.06	-59.9	1.08%	0	-1	33	0

16	Aug_26_2015	70.47	71.46	69.93	68.23			68.09(3.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-65	-10000	-19	-202	5.81	50%	0.04	-57.1	1.07%	0	-1.6	26	0
17	Aug_25_2015	70.44	71.72	70.43	68.91			66.08(-1.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-73	-10000	-32	-194	6.38	43%	0	-52.9	1%	0	-2.8	11	0
18	Aug_24_2015	70.44	72.1	71.15	70.04			66.89(-3.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2	-58	-10000	-29	-146	11.36	45%	-0.06	-49.3	1%	0	-3.4	12	0
19	Aug_21_2015	70.48	72.43	71.83	71.06			69.14(-2.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.9	-39	-10000	-17	-103	7.25	54%	0.06	-49.6	0.92%	0	-3.3	19	0
20	Aug_20_2015	70.44	72.61	72.2	71.62			70.93(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-27	-10000	-9	-82	4.17	64%	0.1	-59.3	0.87%	0	-2.5	28	0

21	Aug_19_2015	70.37	72.71	72.44	71.89			71.5(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-10000	-10	-67	3.32	64%	0.11	-56.6	0.86%	0	-2.2	34	0
22	Aug_18_2015	70.29	72.8	72.62	72.21			71.74(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-18	-10000	-8	-47	2.31	64%	0.1	-24.6	0.87%	0	-2.3	36	0
23	Aug_17_2015	70.22	72.87	72.78	72.46			71.98(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-15	-10000	-9	-33	3.16	64%	0.11	14.3	0.87%	0	-2.2	36	0
24	Aug_14_2015	70.14	72.93	72.91	72.73			71.94(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-7	-10000	-4	-17	3.13	69%	0.1	73.5	0.87%	0	-2.8	37	0
25	Aug_13_2015	70.07	73	73.03	72.87			72.28(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-6	-10000	-6	-4	4.39	69%		160.5	0.93%	0	-2.6	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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