Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Nov. 13, 2014

Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Philip Morris International Inc.)
PM latest price $72.3043 (-0.05%) ($72.0328 - $72.9956) on Thu. Nov. 13, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.75% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $72.3043(-0.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PM advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PM declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(64%)    SPY(53%)    VT(51%)    XLI(48%)    XLF(47%)
Factors Impacting PM price   PM will decline at least -0.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-10%)    GDXJ(-2%)    TBT(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.375% (StdDev 0.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

Resistance Level   $72.51
5 Day Moving Average   $72.48(-0.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $72.84(-0.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $72.51(-0.28%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $112.598b

Philip Morris International, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in manufacturing and sale of cigarettes, tobacco and nicotine-containing products. It operates through the following geographical segments: European Union, Eastern Europe, Middles East & Africa, South & Southeast Asia, East Asia & Australia and Latin America & Canada. The company was founded by Philip Morris in 1847 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. PM price fluctuates within 1.16% (three month std-dev: 0.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141213

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_13_2014	69.67	72.51	72.84	72.48			72.3(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-10000	2	-6	3.16	54%	0	87.9	0.75%	0	-0.3	50	0
2	Nov_12_2014	69.67	72.42	72.89	72.42			72.34(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10000	-12	-10	2.84	54%	0	68.8	0.75%	0	-0.1	54	0
3	Nov_11_2014	69.67	72.26	72.9	72.75			72.49(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-10000	-9	15	2.41	54%	0	62.2	0.75%	0	0.2	56	0
4	Nov_10_2014	69.67	72.09	72.92	72.98			72.77(0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-10000	-4	38	3.19	54%	-0.01	60.8	0.75%	0	0.5	59	0
5	Nov_7_2014	69.68	71.92	72.92	73.1			72.52(0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-10000	-5	54	3.22	54%	-0.01	59.3	0.76%	0	0.4	62	0

6	Nov_6_2014	69.69	71.78	72.9	73.25			72.01(-2.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	17	-10000	-5	81	6.11	59%	0	59.2	0.77%	0	0.1	65	0
7	Nov_5_2014	69.69	71.64	72.93	73.39			73.98(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	40	-10000	12	122	4.06	66%	0.03	60.5	0.74%	0	1.4	93	0
8	Nov_4_2014	69.67	71.43	72.74	73.06			73.61(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	39	-10000	7	136	2.75	66%	0.03	60	0.74%	0	1.3	95	0
9	Nov_3_2014	69.65	71.21	72.57	72.87			73.4(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	45	-10000	7	158	3.36	66%	0.03	60.8	0.74%	0	1.4	93	0
10	Oct_31_2014	69.63	71.01	72.38	72.68			73.25(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	48	-10000	6	174	4.88	62%	0.04	65	0.74%	0	1.5	87	0

11	Oct_30_2014	69.6	70.82	72.14	72.52			72.71(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	47	-10000	4	176	2.71	56%	0.01	68.9	0.77%	0	1.3	82	0
12	Oct_29_2014	69.59	70.65	71.9	72.4			72.35(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	46	-10000	2	177	3.45	56%	0.01	69.6	0.8%	0	1.2	83	0
13	Oct_28_2014	69.58	70.46	71.57	72.35			72.64(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	-10000	5	170	3.63	56%	0.03	67	0.79%	0	1.5	71	0
14	Oct_27_2014	69.56	70.26	71.2	72.22			72.45(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	-10000	7	163	2.85	56%	0.01	65.2	0.8%	0	1.6	75	0
15	Oct_24_2014	69.55	70.04	70.88	72.03			72.47(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	47	-10000	12	153	3.26	55%	0.03	59.2	0.8%	0	1.8	69	0

16	Oct_23_2014	69.53	69.83	70.56	71.7			72.11(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	-10000	14	135	4.94	55%	0.01	53.1	0.8%	0	1.9	67	0
17	Oct_22_2014	69.52	69.66	70.25	71.31			72.09(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	46	-10000	23	114	5.34	55%	0.03	49.4	0.81%	0	2.2	69	0
18	Oct_21_2014	69.5	69.52	70.02	70.65			71.97(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	39	-10000	22	89	4.61	55%	0.01	39.9	0.81%	0	2.6	71	0
19	Oct_20_2014	69.49	69.35	69.72	70.03			71.54(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	27	-10000	17	56	5.54	55%	0	26.3	0.81%	0	2.8	70	0
20	Oct_17_2014	69.49	69.26	69.5	69.56			70.77(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	18	-10000	10	41	7.62	56%	0	23.3	0.82%	0	2.4	71	0

21	Oct_16_2014	69.49	69.19	69.36	69.27			70.16(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	15	-10000	8	34	7.06	54%	-0.01	23.4	0.82%	0	1.8	63	0
22	Oct_15_2014	69.5	69.12	69.36	69.05			68.78(-0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-10000	-9	20	8.42	47%	-0.01	14.5	0.78%	0	-0.7	50	0
23	Oct_14_2014	69.51	69.12	69.27	69.3			68.87(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	6	-10000	-2	30	4.78	47%	0	35.3	0.8%	0	-0.6	45	0
24	Oct_13_2014	69.51	69.14	69.26	69.34			69.19(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10000	-3	31	4.4	47%	-0.01	43.7	0.81%	0	0.1	53	0
25	Oct_10_2014	69.52	69.11	69.16	69.43			69.36(0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-10000	-1	18	5.28	45%		48.6	0.81%	0	0.5	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.