Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 18, 2014

Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Philip Morris International Inc.)
PM latest price $68.9101 (-0.21%) ($68.4419 - $69.3538) on Thu. Sep. 18, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.87% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $68.9101(-0.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PM advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PM declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(64%)    SPY(53%)    VT(51%)    XLI(48%)    XLF(47%)
Factors Impacting PM price   PM will decline at least -0.435% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-10%)    GDXJ(-2%)    IGOV(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.435% (StdDev 0.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

Resistance Level   $68.98
5 Day Moving Average   $68.76(0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $68.7(0.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $68.98(-0.1%)
To recent high   -6.3%
To recent low   3.8%
Market Cap   $107.313b

Philip Morris International, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in manufacturing and sale of cigarettes, tobacco and nicotine-containing products. It operates through the following geographical segments: European Union, Eastern Europe, Middles East & Africa, South & Southeast Asia, East Asia & Australia and Latin America & Canada. The company was founded by Philip Morris in 1847 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. PM price fluctuates within 0.65% (three month std-dev: 0.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20141018

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_18_2014	69.5	68.98	68.7	68.76			68.91(-0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-10000	1	-30	4.32	41%	0	-21.5	0.87%	0	-0.2	44	0
2	Sep_17_2014	69.5	69	68.72	68.72			69.06(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-5	-10000	4	-32	3.63	41%	0.01	-18.5	0.88%	0	0.1	46	0
3	Sep_16_2014	69.49	69	68.75	68.61			68.99(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-5	-10000	6	-37	3.27	43%	0	-16.4	0.89%	0	-0.1	45	0
4	Sep_15_2014	69.49	69.02	68.79	68.44			68.49(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	-10000	1	-47	3.95	43%	0.01	-20.9	0.88%	0	-1.2	39	0
5	Sep_12_2014	69.48	69.04	68.9	68.41			68.34(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-10000	-8	-45	3.59	43%	0.01	-18.5	0.88%	0	-1.6	49	0

6	Sep_11_2014	69.47	69.04	69.01	68.64			68.73(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-10	-10000	-3	-31	4.37	43%	0.03	14.8	0.88%	0	-0.8	45	0
7	Sep_10_2014	69.45	69.08	69.07	68.72			68.48(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-10000	-7	-27	3.43	43%	0.01	29.5	0.88%	0	-1.4	42	0
8	Sep_9_2014	69.44	69.09	69.16	68.92			68.19(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-11	-10000	-9	-18	3.9	43%	0.01	65.6	0.88%	0	-2.1	36	0
9	Sep_8_2014	69.43	69.09	69.28	69.19			68.32(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-7	-10000	-8	-2	4.86	43%	-0.01	114.5	0.88%	0	-2.1	43	0
10	Sep_5_2014	69.44	69.12	69.33	69.45			69.5(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-10000	1	16	2.78	45%	0.04	144.8	0.86%	0	0.9	62	0

11	Sep_4_2014	69.41	69.02	69.3	69.42			69.13(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-10000	-1	15	3.14	45%	0.01	108.8	0.85%	0	0.2	51	0
12	Sep_3_2014	69.4	68.96	69.3	69.46			69.46(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	7	-10000	1	23	2.45	45%	0.01	105.7	0.85%	0	0.8	61	0
13	Sep_2_2014	69.39	68.81	69.31	69.44			69.54(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	-10000	2	32	3.34	45%	0.06	63.6	0.85%	0	0.9	65	0
14	Aug_29_2014	69.35	68.68	69.26	69.39			69.61(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	7	37	2.57	48%	0.04	44.9	0.85%	0	1	63	0
15	Aug_28_2014	69.32	68.55	69.18	69.19			69.35(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-10000	1	28	1.8	48%	0.03	27.4	0.86%	0	0.8	66	0

16	Aug_27_2014	69.3	68.42	69.15	69.17			69.34(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	1	44	2.09	48%	0.03	13.8	0.86%	0	0.9	73	0
17	Aug_26_2014	69.28	68.33	69.09	69.14			69.35(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	12	-10000	-1	51	2.47	48%	0.03	6.3	0.86%	0	1.1	64	0
18	Aug_25_2014	69.26	68.3	69	69.16			69.29(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	1	72	2.86	48%	0.04	4.3	0.87%	0	1	73	0
19	Aug_22_2014	69.23	68.26	68.94	69.13			68.6(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	22	-10000	-1	89	3.78	46%	0.03	-0.7	0.86%	0	0.4	65	0
20	Aug_21_2014	69.21	68.26	68.91	69.16			69.26(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	1	108	2.19	50%	0.04	-4.2	0.85%	0	1	70	0

21	Aug_20_2014	69.18	68.28	68.72	69.12			69.21(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10000	3	114	2.44	50%	0.06	-1.4	0.86%	0	1	71	0
22	Aug_19_2014	69.14	68.27	68.59	69.02			69.45(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-10000	7	113	2.28	50%	0.04	-3.5	0.87%	0	1.2	61	0
23	Aug_18_2014	69.11	68.26	68.29	68.82			69.13(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	3	80	3.09	50%	0.06	-5.5	0.86%	0	0.9	50	0
24	Aug_15_2014	69.07	68.27	68.06	68.72			68.73(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	-10000	4	59	4.23	50%	0.07	-9.9	0.86%	0	0.4	49	0
25	Aug_14_2014	69.02	68.32	67.87	68.61			69.08(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	12	36	1.8	50%		-10.5	0.86%	0	0.7	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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