Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 11, 2014

Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Philip Morris International Inc.)
PM latest price $68.6091 (0.61%) ($68.1211 - $69.1053) on Mon. Aug. 11, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.86% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $68.6091(0.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PM advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PM declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(64%)    SPY(53%)    VT(51%)    XLI(48%)    XLF(47%)
Factors Impacting PM price   PM will decline at least -0.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-10%)    GDXJ(-2%)    SHY(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.43% (StdDev 0.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $67.67(1.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $67.52(1.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $68.31(0.44%)
To recent high   -6.7%
To recent low   3.4%
Market Cap   $106.844b

Philip Morris International, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in manufacturing and sale of cigarettes, tobacco and nicotine-containing products. It operates through the following geographical segments: European Union, Eastern Europe, Middles East & Africa, South & Southeast Asia, East Asia & Australia and Latin America & Canada. The company was founded by Philip Morris in 1847 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. PM price fluctuates within 1.6% (three month std-dev: 0.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140911

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_11_2014	68.89	68.31	67.52	67.67			68.61(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-8	-10000	12	-66	3.41	50%	0.06	-45.6	0.86%	0	0.3	43	0
2	Aug_8_2014	68.85	68.37	67.51	67.31			68.19(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-17	-10000	10	-96	3.82	50%	0.06	-54.9	0.86%	0	-0.2	39	0
3	Aug_7_2014	68.81	68.43	67.57	67.03			67.28(-0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-29	-10000	4	-128	4.45	47%	0.06	-63.6	0.84%	0	-1	30	0
4	Aug_6_2014	68.77	68.52	67.78	66.91			67.9(2.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-32	-10000	1	-131	5.06	49%	0.06	-66.3	0.84%	0	-0.6	45	0
5	Aug_5_2014	68.73	68.62	67.9	66.87			66.36(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-52	-10000	-19	-150	3.71	43%	0.04	-60.7	0.79%	0	-2	32	0

6	Aug_4_2014	68.7	68.82	68.21	67.37			66.8(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-40	-10000	-14	-116	3.29	43%	-0.03	-47.1	0.78%	0	-1.9	35	0
7	Aug_1_2014	68.72	68.99	68.5	67.75			66.8(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-37	-10000	-17	-98	3.28	43%	-0.03	-36.7	0.78%	0	-2.3	29	0
8	Jul_31_2014	68.74	69.14	68.82	68.19			66.71(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-33	-10000	-21	-68	4.63	43%	-0.03	-31.9	0.79%	0	-3	33	0
9	Jul_30_2014	68.76	69.27	69.06	68.77			67.67(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-17	-10000	-11	-33	4.68	46%	-0.01	-42.4	0.77%	0	-2.7	42	0
10	Jul_29_2014	68.77	69.33	69.06	69.07			68.85(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-10000	-5	-24	2.68	51%	0	-70.8	0.74%	0	-1	41	0

11	Jul_28_2014	68.77	69.32	69.2	69.19			68.71(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-13	-10000	-7	-32	3.05	53%	0	-98.7	0.74%	0	-1.2	39	0
12	Jul_25_2014	68.77	69.34	69.32	69.37			69.02(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	-10000	-7	-22	2.72	55%	0	-131.9	0.75%	0	-0.6	42	0
13	Jul_24_2014	68.77	69.4	69.37	69.56			69.58(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	3	-10000	6	-7	3.7	57%	0.01	-139.7	0.75%	0	0.3	49	0
14	Jul_23_2014	68.76	69.52	69.32	69.4			69.2(-0.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-3	-10000	2	-19	2.75	57%	0	-98.3	0.74%	0	-0.4	53	0
15	Jul_22_2014	68.76	69.68	69.39	69.34			69.45(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	-10000	5	-8	2.74	57%	0.01	-72.3	0.74%	0	-0.2	59	0

16	Jul_21_2014	68.75	69.84	69.45	69.21			69.6(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-2	-10000	-2	-2	3.28	57%	0.01	-61.7	0.74%	0	-0.2	59	0
17	Jul_18_2014	68.74	70.01	69.49	69.27			69.97(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	4	15	4.57	57%	0.01	-45.7	0.74%	0	-0	57	0
18	Jul_17_2014	68.73	70.17	69.45	69.17			68.77(-0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-10000	-3	-0	5.94	48%	0	-36.2	0.72%	0	-0.8	38	0
19	Jul_16_2014	68.73	70.34	69.49	69.23			68.89(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-10000	-8	-32	6.24	48%	0.01	-32.2	0.76%	0	-0.9	29	0
20	Jul_15_2014	68.72	70.47	69.47	69.44			68.8(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-10000	-11	-63	5.78	48%	0	-28.6	0.76%	0	-1	27	0

21	Jul_14_2014	68.72	70.62	69.46	69.72			69.91(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-23	-10000	-1	-89	3.47	55%	0.01	-23.1	0.73%	0	-0.4	30	0
22	Jul_11_2014	68.71	70.69	69.37	69.74			69.47(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-10000	-2	-134	4.86	55%	0.01	-22.8	0.74%	0	-0.8	25	0
23	Jul_10_2014	68.7	70.77	69.45	69.79			69.06(-1.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-41	-10000	0	-165	5.47	55%	0.01	-22	0.74%	0	-1.1	21	0
24	Jul_9_2014	68.69	70.89	69.75	69.78			69.98(-0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-33	-10000	12	-169	3.19	59%	0.01	-22.2	0.72%	0	-0.6	35	0
25	Jul_8_2014	68.68	70.95	69.99	69.48			70.19(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-35	-10000	13	-178	3.73	62%		-26.6	0.72%	0	-0.5	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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