Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 18, 2014

Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Philip Morris International Inc.)
PM latest price $69.9675 (1.74%) ($69.0565 - $70.0732) on Fri. Jul. 18, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.74% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $69.9675(1.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PM advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PM advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(64%)    SPY(53%)    VT(51%)    XLI(48%)    XLF(47%)
Factors Impacting PM price   PM will decline at least -0.37% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-10%)    GDXJ(-2%)    SHY(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.37% (StdDev 0.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $66.27(-5.28%)
Resistance Level   $70.01
5 Day Moving Average   $69.27(1.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $69.49(0.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $70.01(-0.06%)
To recent high   -4.8%
To recent low   4.3%
Market Cap   $108.959b

Philip Morris International, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in manufacturing and sale of cigarettes, tobacco and nicotine-containing products. It operates through the following geographical segments: European Union, Eastern Europe, Middles East & Africa, South & Southeast Asia, East Asia & Australia and Latin America & Canada. The company was founded by Philip Morris in 1847 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. PM price fluctuates within 2.1% (three month std-dev: 0.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140818

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_18_2014	68.74	70.01	69.49	69.27			69.97(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	4	15	4.57	57%	0.01	-45.7	0.74%	0	-0	57	0
2	Jul_17_2014	68.73	70.17	69.45	69.17			68.77(-0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-10000	-3	-0	5.94	48%	0	-36.2	0.72%	0	-0.8	38	0
3	Jul_16_2014	68.73	70.34	69.49	69.23			68.89(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-10000	-8	-32	6.24	48%	0.01	-32.2	0.76%	0	-0.9	29	0
4	Jul_15_2014	68.72	70.47	69.47	69.44			68.8(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-10000	-11	-63	5.78	48%	0	-28.6	0.76%	0	-1	27	0
5	Jul_14_2014	68.72	70.62	69.46	69.72			69.91(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-23	-10000	-1	-89	3.47	55%	0.01	-23.1	0.73%	0	-0.4	30	0

6	Jul_11_2014	68.71	70.69	69.37	69.74			69.47(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-10000	-2	-134	4.86	55%	0.01	-22.8	0.74%	0	-0.8	25	0
7	Jul_10_2014	68.7	70.77	69.45	69.79			69.06(-1.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-41	-10000	0	-165	5.47	55%	0.01	-22	0.74%	0	-1.1	21	0
8	Jul_9_2014	68.69	70.89	69.75	69.78			69.98(-0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-33	-10000	12	-169	3.19	59%	0.01	-22.2	0.72%	0	-0.6	35	0
9	Jul_8_2014	68.68	70.95	69.99	69.48			70.19(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-35	-10000	13	-178	3.73	62%	0.03	-26.6	0.72%	0	-0.5	44	0
10	Jul_7_2014	68.66	71	70.22	69.16			70.02(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-41	-10000	8	-187	4.24	62%	0.03	-33.2	0.74%	0	-0.7	41	0

11	Jul_3_2014	68.64	71.06	70.53	68.96			69.7(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-51	-10000	-5	-189	3.56	62%	0.01	-38.7	0.73%	0	-0.9	43	0
12	Jul_2_2014	68.63	71.12	70.89	69.09			69.02(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-62	-10000	-26	-170	4.34	59%	0.01	-38.5	0.72%	0	-1.5	41	0
13	Jul_1_2014	68.62	71.23	71.24	69.75			68.5(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-55	-10000	-33	-121	6.62	58%	0	-26.6	0.72%	0	-2	36	0
14	Jun_30_2014	68.62	71.36	71.56	70.59			68.58(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-41	-10000	-33	-66	8.02	60%	0	-7.1	0.72%	0	-2.3	37	0
15	Jun_27_2014	68.62	71.5	71.91	71.43			69.02(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-26	-10000	-33	-6	16.14	63%	0	20.1	0.73%	0	-2.4	40	0

16	Jun_26_2014	68.62	71.63	72.17	72.3			70.35(-2.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.2	-4	-10000	-25	58	10.75	69%	0.04	62	0.69%	0	-1.5	47	0
17	Jun_25_2014	68.59	71.68	72.27	72.93			72.3(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	34	-10000	-0	136	4.66	83%	0.07	91.9	0.59%	0	0.7	68	0
18	Jun_24_2014	68.54	71.58	72.17	72.94			72.69(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	47	-10000	12	150	5.34	83%	0.09	96.9	0.59%	0	1.2	72	0
19	Jun_23_2014	68.48	71.44	72.02	72.69			72.79(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	-10000	11	135	5.49	83%	0.09	97.6	0.6%	0	1.5	74	0
20	Jun_20_2014	68.42	71.29	71.85	72.46			73.36(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	47	-10000	20	126	9	88%	0.12	93	0.59%	0	2.2	75	0

21	Jun_19_2014	68.34	71.09	71.61	72.03			73.52(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	40	-10000	23	91	7.15	83%	0.1	90.1	0.6%	0	2.8	74	0
22	Jun_18_2014	68.27	70.88	71.32	71.53			72.35(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	20	-10000	11	45	4.84	81%	0.1	90.3	0.59%	0	2	67	0
23	Jun_17_2014	68.2	70.69	71.15	71.3			71.43(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10000	3	32	4.22	80%	0.07	71.7	0.57%	0	0.9	69	0
24	Jun_16_2014	68.15	70.58	71.09	71.24			71.66(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	14	-10000	5	39	4.55	80%	0.07	65	0.57%	0	1.3	77	0
25	Jun_13_2014	68.1	70.45	71.02	71.13			71.2(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	13	-10000	1	48	3.16	79%		57.7	0.57%	0	0.9	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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