Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 3, 2014

Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Philip Morris International Inc.)
PM latest price $70.7454 (-0.49%) ($70.5280 - $71.2283) on Tue. Jun. 3, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.61% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $70.7454(-0.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PM advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PM advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(64%)    SPY(53%)    VT(51%)    XLI(48%)    EWP(46%)
Factors Impacting PM price   PM will decline at least -0.305% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-10%)    GDXJ(-1%)    SHY(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.305% (StdDev 0.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $70.91(-0.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $70.21(0.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $69.67(1.54%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   11.6%
Market Cap   $110.171b

Philip Morris International, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in manufacturing and sale of cigarettes, tobacco and nicotine-containing products. It operates through the following geographical segments: European Union, Eastern Europe, Middles East & Africa, South & Southeast Asia, East Asia & Australia and Latin America & Canada. The company was founded by Philip Morris in 1847 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. PM price fluctuates within 1.19% (three month std-dev: 0.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140703

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_3_2014	67.67	69.67	70.21	70.91			70.75(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	42	-10000	8	145	3.07	79%	0.09	68.9	0.61%	0	1.3	67	0
2	Jun_2_2014	67.61	69.56	70.04	70.75			71.09(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	43	-10000	13	133	3.24	79%	0.09	67.2	0.61%	0	1.9	68	0
3	May_30_2014	67.55	69.44	69.83	70.47			71.27(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	40	-10000	17	108	4.17	79%	0.12	70.1	0.61%	0	2.5	67	0
4	May_29_2014	67.47	69.32	69.56	70.11			71.13(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	31	-10000	17	72	4.78	79%	0.1	81.8	0.62%	0	3	67	0
5	May_28_2014	67.4	69.19	69.34	69.75			70.31(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	23	-10000	16	45	4.28	77%	0.09	107.7	0.61%	0	2.5	65	0

6	May_27_2014	67.34	69.1	69.21	69.41			69.96(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	12	-10000	9	21	4.15	77%	0.07	118.2	0.61%	0	2.3	66	0
7	May_23_2014	67.29	69.02	69.14	69.22			69.68(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	8	-10000	6	14	3.79	77%	0.07	101.5	0.62%	0	1.5	63	0
8	May_22_2014	67.24	68.92	69.12	69.09			69.46(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	-10000	7	14	4.63	77%	0.07	83.8	0.62%	0	1	61	0
9	May_21_2014	67.19	68.82	69.1	68.94			69.34(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	4	-10000	3	6	5	77%	0.06	59.1	0.63%	0	0.8	54	0
10	May_20_2014	67.15	68.71	69.07	68.87			68.6(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-10000	-5	2	3.4	74%	0.06	46.1	0.62%	0	-0.2	49	0

11	May_19_2014	67.11	68.65	69.09	68.99			69.01(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	1	-10000	-3	12	2.71	74%	0.06	44.1	0.62%	0	0.5	59	0
12	May_16_2014	67.07	68.57	69.06	69.05			69.04(0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	2	-10000	-4	21	6.36	74%	0.06	48.2	0.63%	0	0.6	62	0
13	May_15_2014	67.03	68.47	69.03	69.15			68.68(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-10000	-6	41	4.11	74%	0.06	46.3	0.63%	0	0.3	68	0
14	May_14_2014	66.99	68.44	69.07	69.29			69.02(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	20	-10000	-0	78	3.19	74%	0.07	57	0.63%	0	0.7	78	0
15	May_13_2014	66.94	68.39	69.05	69.3			69.17(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	29	-10000	4	104	3.71	74%	0.09	60.3	0.63%	0	0.9	81	0

16	May_12_2014	66.88	68.31	68.99	69.2			69.33(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	-10000	6	114	3.23	74%	0.09	63.9	0.64%	0	1.3	80	0
17	May_9_2014	66.82	68.2	68.9	69.07			69.55(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	37	-10000	8	122	2.86	74%	0.1	60.7	0.64%	0	1.6	85	0
18	May_8_2014	66.75	68.08	68.72	68.9			69.39(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	33	-10000	4	119	3.51	74%	0.12	64.3	0.65%	0	1.7	86	0
19	May_7_2014	66.67	67.98	68.51	68.82			69.06(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-10000	2	100	3.6	74%	0.09	74.8	0.66%	0	1.5	57	0
20	May_6_2014	66.61	67.89	68.31	68.77			68.64(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	-10000	1	88	3.26	74%	0.09	85.3	0.66%	0	1.1	57	0

21	May_5_2014	66.55	67.8	68.18	68.75			68.69(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	-10000	3	82	2.33	74%	0.09	90.3	0.67%	0	1.3	59	0
22	May_2_2014	66.49	67.7	68.03	68.69			68.73(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	9	84	3.6	74%	0.11	96.2	0.68%	0	1.5	67	0
23	May_1_2014	66.42	67.57	67.86	68.49			69(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	-10000	16	70	3.5	74%	0.12	98.1	0.68%	0	2	65	0
24	Apr_30_2014	66.34	67.44	67.76	68.13			68.77(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	-10000	14	53	4.97	74%	0.12	101	0.69%	0	1.9	60	0
25	Apr_29_2014	66.26	67.31	67.66	67.79			68.57(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	17	-10000	11	33	4.49	74%		102	0.7%	0	1.9	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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