Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 29, 2014

Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Philip Morris International Inc.)
PM latest price $68.5721 (0.25%) ($68.3145 - $69.0880) on Tue. Apr. 29, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.7% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $68.5721(0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PM advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PM advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(64%)    SPY(53%)    VT(51%)    XLI(48%)    EWP(46%)
Factors Impacting PM price   PM will decline at least -0.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-13%)    TLT(-10%)    GDXJ(-1%)    DIA(-0%)    SHY(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.35% (StdDev 0.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $67.79(1.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $67.66(1.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $67.31(1.88%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   8.2%
Market Cap   $106.786b

Philip Morris International, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in manufacturing and sale of cigarettes, tobacco and nicotine-containing products. It operates through the following geographical segments: European Union, Eastern Europe, Middles East & Africa, South & Southeast Asia, East Asia & Australia and Latin America & Canada. The company was founded by Philip Morris in 1847 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. PM price fluctuates within 1% (three month std-dev: 0.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140529

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_29_2014	66.26	67.31	67.66	67.79			68.57(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	17	-10000	11	33	4.49	74%	0.12	102	0.7%	0	1.9	59	0
2	Apr_28_2014	66.18	67.18	67.57	67.53			68.4(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	14	-10000	10	25	7.17	74%	0.11	107.1	0.71%	0	1.8	64	0
3	Apr_25_2014	66.11	67.02	67.42	67.29			67.7(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	-10000	6	11	4.38	72%	0.09	94.4	0.71%	0	0.9	61	0
4	Apr_24_2014	66.05	66.87	67.37	67.14			67.2(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-6	-10000	-9	5	3.7	70%	0.06	74.4	0.72%	0	0.4	62	0
5	Apr_23_2014	66.01	66.75	67.4	67.35			67.09(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10000	-7	33	3.75	70%	0.06	80.4	0.73%	0	0.3	59	0

6	Apr_22_2014	65.97	66.63	67.44	67.51			67.24(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-10000	-4	60	3.73	70%	0.09	80.5	0.74%	0	0.6	62	0
7	Apr_21_2014	65.91	66.48	67.4	67.61			67.21(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	21	-10000	2	79	3.71	70%	0.08	75	0.75%	0	0.6	64	0
8	Apr_17_2014	65.86	66.35	67.35	67.55			66.93(-1.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	21	-10000	-2	89	7.86	70%	0.08	0	0.77%	0	0.4	68	0
9	Apr_16_2014	65.81	66.21	67.3	67.61			68.25(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	41	-10000	7	143	5.25	87%	0.17	0	0.63%	0	1.4	87	0
10	Apr_15_2014	65.7	65.97	67.11	67.47			67.92(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	41	-10000	4	150	4.88	87%	0.15	0	0.65%	0	1.4	81	0

11	Apr_14_2014	65.6	65.77	66.93	67.38			67.75(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	49	-10000	9	167	4.93	87%	0.17	0	0.66%	0	1.4	81	0
12	Apr_11_2014	65.49	65.57	66.75	67.17			66.92(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	47	-10000	2	182	5.56	84%	0.12	0	0.64%	0	1	81	0
13	Apr_10_2014	65.41	65.57	66.59	67.12			67.23(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-10000	9	4	6.41	84%	0.15	0	0.64%	0	50.9	77	0
14	Apr_9_2014	65.31	65.57	66.32	66.92			67.52(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	9	-10000	11	4	3.85	84%	0.2	0	0.63%	0	52.3	82	0
15	Apr_8_2014	65.18	65.57	66.05	66.69			67.47(1.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	10	-10000	12	5	5.55	84%	0.22	0	0.65%	0	55.8	84	0

16	Apr_7_2014	65.04	65.57	65.75	66.43			66.72(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-10000	8	3	5.23	81%	0.17	0	0.64%	0	60.7	72	0
17	Apr_4_2014	64.93	65.57	65.48	66.27			66.66(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	13	5	5.71	81%	0.19	0	0.66%	0	64.1	72	0
18	Apr_3_2014	64.81	65.57	65.25	65.98			66.23(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	16	6	3.64	81%	0.17	0	0.68%	0	69	50	0
19	Apr_2_2014	64.7	65.57	65.03	65.62			66.37(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	15	6	4.27	81%	0.22	0	0.69%	0	72.9	50	0
20	Apr_1_2014	64.56	65.57	64.73	65.29			66.17(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12	-10000	14	6	5.3	81%	0.23	0	0.72%	0	82.7	50	0

21	Mar_31_2014	64.41	65.57	64.5	64.97			65.9(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	14	-10000	16	6	6.3	81%	0.23	0	0.75%	0	98.4	50	0
22	Mar_28_2014	64.26	65.57	64.29	64.59			65.22(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	6	-10000	7	3	4.11	77%	0.17	0	0.75%	0	130.4	50	0
23	Mar_27_2014	64.15	65.57	64.29	64.43			64.45(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	4	-10000	4	2	4.65	68%	0.05	0	0.71%	0	161.1	50	0
24	Mar_26_2014	64.12	65.57	64.29	64.34			64.73(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	10	-10000	12	5	4.87	68%	0.14	0	0.72%	0	157.9	50	0
25	Mar_25_2014	64.03	65.57	64.29	64.06			64.56(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	4	-10000	4	2	4.74	68%		0	0.78%	0	179.3	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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