Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $44.3800 (0.32%) ($44.1100 - $44.6200) on Fri. Mar. 4, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.33% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $44.3800(0.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(26%)    DIA(25%)    VWO(24%)    EEM(23%)    IWM(23%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.665% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    GLD(-12%)    SHY(-9%)    XLU(-7%)    BND(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.665% (StdDev 1.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.87(1.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.39(2.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.28(4.97%)
To recent high   -6.4%
To recent low   12%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 3.31% (three month std-dev: 1.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160404

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_4_2016	44.65	42.28	43.39	43.87			44.38(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	36	-10000	8	118	0.25	44%	-0.02	37.8	1.33%	0	1.5	85	0
2	Mar_3_2016	44.66	42.14	43.16	43.63			44.24(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	38	-10000	8	129	0.24	42%	-0.04	37.3	1.35%	0	1.6	87	0
3	Mar_2_2016	44.68	42	42.95	43.4			43.95(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	41	-10000	9	136	0.17	42%	-0.04	36.1	1.36%	0	1.6	76	0
4	Mar_1_2016	44.7	41.87	42.78	43.14			43.89(2.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	43	-10000	10	143	0.16	42%	-0.04	31.1	1.36%	0	1.8	76	0
5	Feb_29_2016	44.72	41.78	42.54	42.84			42.89(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	35	-10000	0	140	0.12	39%	-0.07	32	1.32%	0	1.1	73	0

6	Feb_26_2016	44.75	41.75	42.31	42.83			43.16(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	-10000	7	140	0.11	39%	-0.07	34.4	1.32%	0	1.4	65	0
7	Feb_25_2016	44.78	41.66	41.97	42.62			43.1(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	-10000	6	107	0.16	39%	-0.07	31.7	1.33%	0	1.5	56	0
8	Feb_24_2016	44.81	41.56	41.7	42.44			42.66(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	3	85	0.14	39%	-0.07	30.9	1.32%	0	1.2	56	0
9	Feb_23_2016	44.84	41.52	41.47	42.36			42.41(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-10000	7	71	0.33	39%	-0.07	32.4	1.32%	0	1	55	0
10	Feb_22_2016	44.87	41.46	41.26	42.18			42.82(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	-10000	17	43	0.22	39%	-0.02	25.9	1.31%	0	1.6	49	0

11	Feb_19_2016	44.88	41.41	41.07	41.71			42.12(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-10000	19	1	0.15	37%	-0.04	9.8	1.3%	0	0.9	45	0
12	Feb_18_2016	44.9	41.36	41.03	41.21			42.18(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	4	-10000	14	-27	0.23	39%	-0.04	-11.5	1.3%	0	1	55	0
13	Feb_17_2016	44.92	41.29	40.95	40.84			42.28(1.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.9	-2	-10000	14	-48	0.19	39%	-0.02	-38.2	1.31%	0	1.3	55	0
14	Feb_16_2016	44.93	41.29	40.85	40.46			41.48(2.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-14	-10000	9	-81	0.3	38%	0	-62	1.29%	0	0.3	46	0
15	Feb_12_2016	44.93	41.24	40.94	40.23			40.49(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-27	-10000	-5	-91	0.52	34%	-0.09	-78.2	1.26%	0	-1	46	0

16	Feb_11_2016	44.97	41.33	41.13	40.36			39.63(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-35	-10000	-18	-86	0.53	31%	-0.11	-77.9	1.22%	0	-2.3	35	0
17	Feb_10_2016	45.02	41.45	41.32	40.81			40.33(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-21	-10000	-10	-54	0.43	32%	-0.11	-88.3	1.21%	0	-1.8	46	0
18	Feb_9_2016	45.07	41.59	41.44	41.06			40.37(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-15	-10000	-9	-32	0.38	32%	-0.09	-84.1	1.21%	0	-1.8	49	0
19	Feb_8_2016	45.11	41.7	41.6	41.29			40.33(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-18	-10000	-18	-16	0.28	32%	-0.11	-92.4	1.21%	0	-2.1	45	0
20	Feb_5_2016	45.16	41.82	41.71	41.74			41.12(-1.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-5	-10000	-11	15	0.35	34%	-0.11	-100.7	1.19%	0	-1.1	49	0

21	Feb_4_2016	45.21	41.92	41.8	42.02			41.89(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	-10000	4	37	0.27	35%	-0.09	-103.9	1.18%	0	-0	47	0
22	Feb_3_2016	45.25	42.02	41.74	41.91			41.57(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	7	-10000	2	22	0.4	35%	-0.09	-100.5	1.17%	0	-0.6	48	0
23	Feb_2_2016	45.29	42.17	41.68	41.87			41.55(-2.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4	-10000	-3	-7	0.21	35%	-0.09	-86.4	1.17%	0	-0.6	40	0
24	Feb_1_2016	45.33	42.32	41.67	41.95			42.58(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	6	-10000	11	-10	0.24	37%	-0.07	-79.6	1.15%	0	0.2	48	0
25	Jan_29_2016	45.36	42.45	41.56	41.68			42.5(2.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-8	-10000	4	-45	0.39	37%		-86.7	1.15%	0	0	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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