Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 2, 2015

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $49.3600 (0.43%) ($49.1300 - $49.5100) on Thu. Apr. 2, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.86% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $49.3600(0.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(31%)    VWO(30%)    XOP(29%)    EEM(28%)    IWM(28%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    GLD(-13%)    SHY(-10%)    TLT(-8%)    BND(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.43% (StdDev 0.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.31(0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.39(-0.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.3(0.12%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   6.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 0.87% (three month std-dev: 0.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150502

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_2_2015	48.18	49.3	49.39	49.31			49.36(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	-10000	5	-9	0.3	55%	0.06	-25.3	0.86%	0	0.1	57	0
2	Apr_1_2015	48.15	49.31	49.42	49.2			49.15(-0.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-2	-10000	2	-12	0.4	55%	0.06	-33.7	0.86%	0	-0.4	51	0
3	Mar_31_2015	48.12	49.33	49.49	49.15			49.31(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-3	-10000	-4	-1	0.44	55%	0.06	-39.6	0.86%	0	-0	59	0
4	Mar_30_2015	48.09	49.36	49.5	49.23			49.69(1.37%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1	2	-10000	-3	16	0.53	55%	0.06	-35.1	0.86%	0	0.7	62	0
5	Mar_27_2015	48.06	49.38	49.48	49.29			49.02(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-10000	-10	20	0.31	53%	0.06	-32	0.84%	0	-0.7	48	0

6	Mar_26_2015	48.03	49.41	49.47	49.49			48.82(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	2	-10000	-9	35	0.22	53%	0.06	-23.7	0.84%	0	-1.2	49	0
7	Mar_25_2015	48	49.46	49.51	49.67			48.92(-1.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	4	-10000	-9	44	0.4	53%	0.06	-12.6	0.84%	0	-1.1	44	0
8	Mar_24_2015	47.97	49.51	49.49	49.86			49.7(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	15	-10000	3	52	0.47	56%	0.08	3.2	0.82%	0	0.4	50	0
9	Mar_23_2015	47.93	49.51	49.38	49.79			49.97(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	5	29	0.17	56%	0.08	6.2	0.82%	0	0.9	48	0
10	Mar_20_2015	47.89	49.53	49.31	49.69			50.06(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	12	15	0.33	56%	0.1	6.2	0.82%	0	1.1	48	0

11	Mar_19_2015	47.84	49.53	49.2	49.44			49.7(-0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	-10000	5	-17	0.21	56%	0.1	0	0.82%	0	0.4	49	0
12	Mar_18_2015	47.79	49.52	49.18	49.33			49.87(1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	3	-10000	13	-26	0.58	60%	0.08	3.2	0.82%	0	0.7	49	0
13	Mar_17_2015	47.75	49.5	49.15	49.06			49.35(-0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	-10000	7	-54	0.29	61%	0.1	-3.2	0.86%	0	-0.3	42	0
14	Mar_16_2015	47.7	49.51	49.2	48.91			49.48(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-17	-10000	1	-70	0.23	59%	0.1	1	0.89%	0	-0.1	40	0
15	Mar_13_2015	47.65	49.5	49.24	48.88			48.82(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-10000	-2	-75	0.23	57%	0.11	11.3	0.88%	0	-1.4	36	0

16	Mar_12_2015	47.6	49.52	49.33	48.93			49.14(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-22	-10000	-4	-77	0.4	54%	0.11	25.8	0.88%	0	-0.8	38	0
17	Mar_11_2015	47.55	49.5	49.4	49.02			48.52(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-26	-10000	-11	-71	0.24	52%	0.11	37.4	0.89%	0	-2	36	0
18	Mar_10_2015	47.5	49.52	49.55	49.25			48.57(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-22	-10000	-12	-51	0.37	49%	0.11	56.6	0.89%	0	-1.9	39	0
19	Mar_9_2015	47.45	49.5	49.72	49.52			49.34(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	-10000	-6	-19	0.23	52%	0.15	71.7	0.89%	0	-0.3	50	0
20	Mar_6_2015	47.38	49.45	49.78	49.66			49.06(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-5	-10000	-6	-2	0.33	52%	0.15	80.6	0.89%	0	-0.6	47	0

21	Mar_5_2015	47.31	49.4	49.78	49.79			49.62(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	-10000	-2	21	0.28	54%	0.17	84.5	0.88%	0	0.3	64	0
22	Mar_4_2015	47.23	49.32	49.78	49.83			49.65(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10000	-3	37	0.38	54%	0.15	84.6	0.88%	0	0.4	71	0
23	Mar_3_2015	47.16	49.24	49.89	49.89			49.95(-0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	13	-10000	-2	56	0.41	54%	0.17	83.8	0.88%	0	0.9	80	0
24	Mar_2_2015	47.08	49.1	49.84	49.89			50.03(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	20	-10000	0	80	0.55	54%	0.15	73.8	0.88%	0	1	86	0
25	Feb_27_2015	47.01	48.94	49.78	49.94			49.7(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	22	-10000	-3	96	0.31	52%		61	0.88%	0	0.7	81	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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