Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 18, 2015

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $49.8700 (1.05%) ($49.0500 - $50.0400) on Wed. Mar. 18, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.82% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $49.8700(1.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(31%)    VWO(30%)    EEM(29%)    XOP(29%)    IWM(28%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    GLD(-12%)    SHY(-10%)    TLT(-8%)    BND(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.41% (StdDev 0.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.33(1.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.18(1.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.52(0.71%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   7.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 0.95% (three month std-dev: 0.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150418

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_18_2015	47.79	49.52	49.18	49.33			49.87(1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	3	-10000	13	-26	0.58	60%	0.08	3.2	0.82%	0	0.7	49	0
2	Mar_17_2015	47.75	49.5	49.15	49.06			49.35(-0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	-10000	7	-54	0.29	61%	0.1	-3.2	0.86%	0	-0.3	42	0
3	Mar_16_2015	47.7	49.51	49.2	48.91			49.48(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-17	-10000	1	-70	0.23	59%	0.1	1	0.89%	0	-0.1	40	0
4	Mar_13_2015	47.65	49.5	49.24	48.88			48.82(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-10000	-2	-75	0.23	57%	0.11	11.3	0.88%	0	-1.4	36	0
5	Mar_12_2015	47.6	49.52	49.33	48.93			49.14(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-22	-10000	-4	-77	0.4	54%	0.11	25.8	0.88%	0	-0.8	38	0

6	Mar_11_2015	47.55	49.5	49.4	49.02			48.52(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-26	-10000	-11	-71	0.24	52%	0.11	37.4	0.89%	0	-2	36	0
7	Mar_10_2015	47.5	49.52	49.55	49.25			48.57(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-22	-10000	-12	-51	0.37	49%	0.11	56.6	0.89%	0	-1.9	39	0
8	Mar_9_2015	47.45	49.5	49.72	49.52			49.34(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	-10000	-6	-19	0.23	52%	0.15	71.7	0.89%	0	-0.3	50	0
9	Mar_6_2015	47.38	49.45	49.78	49.66			49.06(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-5	-10000	-6	-2	0.33	52%	0.15	80.6	0.89%	0	-0.6	47	0
10	Mar_5_2015	47.31	49.4	49.78	49.79			49.62(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	-10000	-2	21	0.28	54%	0.17	84.5	0.88%	0	0.3	64	0

11	Mar_4_2015	47.23	49.32	49.78	49.83			49.65(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10000	-3	37	0.38	54%	0.15	84.6	0.88%	0	0.4	71	0
12	Mar_3_2015	47.16	49.24	49.89	49.89			49.95(-0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	13	-10000	-2	56	0.41	54%	0.17	83.8	0.88%	0	0.9	80	0
13	Mar_2_2015	47.08	49.1	49.84	49.89			50.03(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	20	-10000	0	80	0.55	54%	0.15	73.8	0.88%	0	1	86	0
14	Feb_27_2015	47.01	48.94	49.78	49.94			49.7(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	22	-10000	-3	96	0.31	52%	0.13	61	0.88%	0	0.7	81	0
15	Feb_26_2015	46.95	48.82	49.73	50			49.83(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	31	-10000	2	117	0.24	52%	0.13	58	0.89%	0	0.9	84	0

16	Feb_25_2015	46.89	48.68	49.62	49.96			49.96(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	35	-10000	4	129	0.29	52%	0.13	54.8	0.89%	0	1.2	88	0
17	Feb_24_2015	46.83	48.56	49.48	49.88			50.2(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	39	-10000	7	136	0.81	52%	0.11	56.7	0.88%	0	1.5	95	0
18	Feb_23_2015	46.78	48.44	49.26	49.73			49.99(-0.02%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.3	39	-10000	6	139	0.73	52%	0.13	61.1	0.88%	0	1.5	96	0
19	Feb_20_2015	46.72	48.32	49.08	49.6			50(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	44	-10000	8	153	0.5	52%	0.13	69.3	0.88%	0	1.8	97	0
20	Feb_19_2015	46.66	48.21	48.88	49.42			49.66(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	45	-10000	9	154	0.35	52%	0.11	77.2	0.88%	0	1.7	79	0

21	Feb_18_2015	46.61	48.08	48.7	49.22			49.53(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	45	-10000	9	152	0.47	52%	0.11	74.6	0.88%	0	1.7	80	0
22	Feb_17_2015	46.56	47.95	48.53	49.02			49.45(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	-10000	14	145	0.24	52%	0.13	70.6	0.88%	0	1.9	68	0
23	Feb_13_2015	46.5	47.82	48.3	48.73			49.38(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	-10000	12	113	0.31	52%	0.11	60.3	0.88%	0	2.2	62	0
24	Feb_12_2015	46.45	47.66	48.02	48.47			49.08(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	-10000	9	80	0.42	52%	0.09	39.5	0.87%	0	2	62	0
25	Feb_11_2015	46.41	47.54	47.83	48.27			48.67(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	-10000	8	56	0.27	52%		30.4	0.87%	0	1.8	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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