Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 21, 2014

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $43.1800 (0.37%) ($42.9700 - $43.2000) on Mon. Apr. 21, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $43.1800(0.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(31%)    VWO(31%)    EEM(30%)    IWM(30%)    SPY(30%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-13%)    SHY(-11%)    TLT(-10%)    BNDX(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.68(1.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.63(1.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.03(0.35%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   8.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 1.44% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140521

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_21_2014	42.47	43.03	42.63	42.68			43.18(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-7	-10000	15	-73	0.24	44%	0.05	-31.3	0.93%	0	0.2	46	0
2	Apr_17_2014	42.45	43.04	42.64	42.39			43.02(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-19	-10000	7	-98	0.41	44%	0.02	-41	0.93%	0	-0	49	0
3	Apr_16_2014	42.44	43.06	42.73	42.26			42.82(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-28	-10000	-4	-100	0.41	42%	0.02	-41.7	0.93%	0	-0.4	51	0
4	Apr_15_2014	42.43	43.09	42.85	42.34			42.33(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-25	-10000	-6	-81	0.47	40%	0.02	-38.4	0.92%	0	-1.2	45	0
5	Apr_14_2014	42.42	43.15	43.01	42.45			42.07(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-21	-10000	-6	-64	0.34	42%	0	-35.3	0.92%	0	-1.8	42	0

6	Apr_11_2014	42.42	43.22	43.16	42.56			41.73(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-27	-10000	-17	-55	0.87	40%	0	-37.8	0.94%	0	-2.7	38	0
7	Apr_10_2014	42.42	43.29	43.32	42.91			42.34(-2.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-20	-10000	-17	-30	0.31	42%	0.05	-35.6	0.93%	0	-2.1	40	0
8	Apr_9_2014	42.4	43.32	43.39	43.25			43.25(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-10	-10000	-10	-9	0.38	45%	0.05	-29.3	0.89%	0	-0.2	46	0
9	Apr_8_2014	42.38	43.33	43.37	43.44			42.84(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-8	-10000	-11	2	0.39	43%	0.02	-22.1	0.88%	0	-1.2	45	0
10	Apr_7_2014	42.37	43.37	43.41	43.66			42.63(-2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.6	-3	-10000	-9	16	0.57	43%	0.02	-9.8	0.88%	0	-1.8	39	0

11	Apr_4_2014	42.36	43.43	43.41	43.84			43.5(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	12	-10000	3	38	0.68	47%	0.05	10	0.84%	0	0.2	54	0
12	Apr_3_2014	42.34	43.45	43.48	43.78			44.05(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	-10000	13	45	0.31	49%	0.07	12	0.83%	0	1.5	67	0
13	Apr_2_2014	42.31	43.44	43.42	43.54			44.16(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	19	-10000	13	36	0.42	47%	0.07	2.2	0.83%	0	1.8	70	0
14	Apr_1_2014	42.28	43.42	43.33	43.31			43.97(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	10	-10000	9	12	0.34	47%	0.07	-5.9	0.84%	0	1.5	56	0
15	Mar_31_2014	42.25	43.41	43.29	43.15			43.52(0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	1	-10000	3	-5	0.44	45%	0.07	-7.4	0.83%	0	0.3	48	0

16	Mar_28_2014	42.22	43.39	43.26	43.09			43.18(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-8	-10000	-3	-21	0.24	45%	0.07	-7.4	0.82%	0	-0.6	39	0
17	Mar_27_2014	42.19	43.4	43.26	43.14			42.86(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	-10000	-8	-35	0.61	45%	0.05	4.9	0.82%	0	-1.5	33	0
18	Mar_26_2014	42.17	43.43	43.24	43.28			43(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-13	-10000	-4	-38	0.46	45%	0.05	27.6	0.82%	0	-1.3	34	0
19	Mar_25_2014	42.15	43.44	43.28	43.35			43.17(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10000	-5	-39	0.55	45%	0.07	42.3	0.82%	0	-0.8	38	0
20	Mar_24_2014	42.12	43.43	43.32	43.44			43.23(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9	-10000	-0	-34	1.53	45%	0.05	50.6	0.83%	0	-0.6	40	0

21	Mar_21_2014	42.1	43.42	43.38	43.45			43.44(-0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-1	-10000	6	-22	0.71	45%	0.07	52.2	0.82%	0	0.1	54	0
22	Mar_20_2014	42.07	43.38	43.43	43.35			43.57(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	-10000	9	-22	0.29	45%	0.07	48.4	0.83%	0	0.5	54	0
23	Mar_19_2014	42.04	43.34	43.46	43.19			43.36(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-8	-10000	-0	-32	0.58	45%	0.05	41.5	0.83%	0	0	51	0
24	Mar_18_2014	42.02	43.3	43.51	43.2			43.61(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-5	-10000	0	-20	0.84	49%	0.07	45.9	0.83%	0	0.6	59	0
25	Mar_17_2014	41.99	43.25	43.53	43.19			43.28(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-8	-10000	-7	-10	0.45	49%		56.6	0.85%	0	0.1	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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