Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 20, 2014

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $42.6700 (0.68%) ($42.3400 - $42.7700) on Thu. Feb. 20, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.84% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $42.6700(0.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(31%)    EEM(30%)    IWM(30%)    SPY(30%)    XOP(30%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-12%)    SHY(-11%)    TLT(-10%)    BNDX(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.42% (StdDev 0.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.48(0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42(1.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.45(2.94%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   6.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 1.98% (three month std-dev: 0.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140320

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_20_2014	41.36	41.45	42	42.48			42.67(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	50	-10000	8	176	0.54	54%	0.07	6.1	0.84%	0	1.5	62	0
2	Feb_19_2014	41.33	41.44	41.76	42.33			42.38(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	-10000	6	155	0.36	54%	0.07	0	0.84%	0	1.1	65	0
3	Feb_18_2014	41.3	41.42	41.55	42.22			42.59(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	45	-10000	14	136	0.66	54%	0.15	-4.1	0.84%	0	1.4	61	0
4	Feb_14_2014	41.24	41.4	41.29	41.97			42.48(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	-10000	13	101	0.42	54%	0.07	-16.8	0.83%	0	1.4	63	0
5	Feb_13_2014	41.21	41.39	41.13	41.75			42.3(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	-10000	17	79	0.58	55%	0.07	-26.4	0.83%	0	1.1	58	0

6	Feb_12_2014	41.18	41.4	41.01	41.45			41.91(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	-10000	21	37	0.68	54%	0.07	-35.5	0.83%	0	0.6	45	0
7	Feb_11_2014	41.15	41.44	40.88	41.09			41.8(1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	7	-10000	18	-28	0.7	54%	0.07	-45.3	0.83%	0	0.4	41	0
8	Feb_10_2014	41.12	41.46	40.81	40.79			41.37(-0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	-10000	17	-78	0.93	52%	0.05	-54.8	0.83%	0	-0.1	41	0
9	Feb_7_2014	41.1	41.53	40.75	40.5			41.38(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-29	-10000	5	-131	0.71	52%	0.05	-58.4	0.85%	0	-0.2	41	0
10	Feb_6_2014	41.08	41.6	40.72	40.42			40.77(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-46	-10000	-6	-167	1.68	49%	0.02	-58.3	0.85%	0	-0.8	34	0

11	Feb_5_2014	41.07	41.7	40.84	40.52			40.15(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-49	-10000	-7	-175	0.81	46%	0	-57.1	0.83%	0	-1.6	26	0
12	Feb_4_2014	41.07	41.84	41.08	40.64			40.27(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-51	-10000	-11	-170	1.43	46%	0.02	-58.1	0.83%	0	-1.7	28	0
13	Feb_3_2014	41.06	41.95	41.29	40.82			39.92(-2.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-48	-10000	-12	-157	1.71	44%	0.02	-58.5	0.82%	0	-2.3	30	0
14	Jan_31_2014	41.05	42.1	41.53	41.02			40.97(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-10000	-2	-162	0.55	49%	0.07	-63	0.75%	0	-1.5	31	0
15	Jan_30_2014	41.02	42.19	41.69	41.05			41.28(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-52	-10000	-12	-171	0.81	51%	0.05	-64.9	0.75%	0	-1.3	35	0

16	Jan_29_2014	41	42.28	41.84	41.24			40.75(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-58	-10000	-24	-161	0.82	48%	0.05	-56	0.74%	0	-2.2	30	0
17	Jan_28_2014	40.98	42.4	42.04	41.61			41.19(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-42	-10000	-15	-123	0.78	51%	0.07	-42.5	0.73%	0	-2	33	0
18	Jan_27_2014	40.95	42.48	42.17	41.84			40.9(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-40	-10000	-18	-105	1.42	51%	0.07	-29.5	0.72%	0	-2.8	34	0
19	Jan_24_2014	40.92	42.58	42.39	42.12			41.15(-2.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-31	-10000	-18	-70	1.09	51%	0.07	-12.1	0.72%	0	-3.4	35	0
20	Jan_23_2014	40.89	42.66	42.57	42.4			42.19(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-17	-10000	-10	-38	0.87	58%	0.1	33.9	0.65%	0	-1.9	43	0

21	Jan_22_2014	40.85	42.68	42.64	42.53			42.63(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-8	-10000	-2	-26	0.82	62%	0.12	76.9	0.63%	0	-0.2	42	0
22	Jan_21_2014	40.8	42.66	42.65	42.53			42.34(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-6	-10000	0	-25	0.66	60%	0.15	103.8	0.63%	0	-1.5	42	0
23	Jan_17_2014	40.74	42.65	42.67	42.55			42.3(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-18	-10000	-11	-37	0.78	60%	0.12	114.3	0.62%	0	-1.5	43	0
24	Jan_16_2014	40.69	42.63	42.71	42.7			42.52(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9	-10000	-5	-19	0.94	64%	0.12	125.8	0.62%	0	-0.4	46	0
25	Jan_15_2014	40.64	42.58	42.73	42.77			42.86(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	-10000	1	-6	0.78	67%		112	0.64%	0	0.9	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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