Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 14, 2013

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $41.5500 (0.41%) ($41.2900 - $41.5800) on Thu. Nov. 14, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.82% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $41.5500(0.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(32%)    EEM(31%)    IWM(31%)    SPY(31%)    QQQ(30%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-13%)    SHY(-11%)    TLT(-10%)    BNDX(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.41% (StdDev 0.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.16(0.95%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.99(1.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.88(1.64%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 0.73% (three month std-dev: 0.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131214

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_14_2013	38.75	40.88	40.99	41.16			41.55(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	20	-10000	16	30	1.1	55%	0.16	104.1	0.82%	0	2.2	59	0
2	Nov_13_2013	38.69	40.82	40.9	40.9			41.38(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	4	-10000	5	1	0.54	55%	0.18	98.6	0.82%	0	1.9	59	0
3	Nov_12_2013	38.62	40.76	40.85	40.81			40.95(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-2	-10000	0	-8	0.29	53%	0.16	93.5	0.81%	0	0.5	56	0
4	Nov_11_2013	38.56	40.69	40.87	40.81			41.02(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-0	-10000	0	-1	0.57	53%	0.16	97.1	0.81%	0	0.8	58	0
5	Nov_8_2013	38.5	40.63	40.85	40.8			40.89(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	2	-10000	0	7	0.52	53%	0.16	98.2	0.81%	0	0.6	60	0

6	Nov_7_2013	38.44	40.57	40.86	40.79			40.27(-1.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-3	-10000	-7	11	1.16	50%	0.13	87.8	0.8%	0	-0.6	49	0
7	Nov_6_2013	38.39	40.53	40.91	40.9			40.9(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	9	-10000	1	34	0.49	54%	0.1	72.6	0.77%	0	0.5	68	0
8	Nov_5_2013	38.35	40.41	40.89	40.89			40.9(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	8	-10000	-3	41	0.45	54%	0.13	56.1	0.78%	0	0.6	74	0
9	Nov_4_2013	38.3	40.29	40.87	40.94			41.04(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	18	-10000	1	70	0.83	54%	0.13	50.7	0.78%	0	0.9	85	0
10	Nov_1_2013	38.25	40.18	40.81	40.92			40.84(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-10000	-1	81	0.42	57%	0.13	50	0.77%	0	0.8	74	0

11	Oct_31_2013	38.2	40.11	40.78	40.94			40.8(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	-10000	1	98	0.41	57%	0.16	50.7	0.79%	0	0.8	75	0
12	Oct_30_2013	38.14	40.02	40.74	40.93			40.86(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-10000	3	117	0.52	57%	0.13	49.8	0.8%	0	1	80	0
13	Oct_29_2013	38.09	39.95	40.67	40.89			41.18(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	43	-10000	7	151	0.6	57%	0.13	51.4	0.79%	0	1.5	92	0
14	Oct_28_2013	38.04	39.86	40.51	40.78			40.93(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	46	-10000	6	164	0.6	57%	0.13	52.2	0.79%	0	1.3	89	0
15	Oct_25_2013	37.99	39.76	40.39	40.69			40.91(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	48	-10000	6	173	0.63	57%	0.13	50.5	0.79%	0	1.5	74	0

16	Oct_24_2013	37.94	39.68	40.26	40.6			40.78(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	47	-10000	5	171	0.55	57%	0.16	50.3	0.79%	0	1.5	64	0
17	Oct_23_2013	37.88	39.6	40.12	40.52			40.65(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	48	-10000	7	172	0.49	57%	0.13	48.5	0.79%	0	1.6	67	0
18	Oct_22_2013	37.83	39.52	39.89	40.41			40.65(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	48	-10000	14	148	1	57%	0.13	43.4	0.79%	0	1.8	61	0
19	Oct_21_2013	37.78	39.44	39.66	40.18			40.45(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	-10000	8	103	0.63	57%	0.11	34	0.79%	0	1.7	58	0
20	Oct_18_2013	37.74	39.38	39.51	40.05			40.47(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	31	-10000	11	89	0.78	59%	0.11	29.6	0.79%	0	2.1	62	0

21	Oct_17_2013	37.7	39.32	39.39	39.88			40.38(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	29	-10000	14	75	0.86	59%	0.13	27.9	0.8%	0	2.2	59	0
22	Oct_16_2013	37.65	39.28	39.24	39.66			40.09(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	31	-10000	24	50	0.55	59%	0.08	28	0.8%	0	1.9	56	0
23	Oct_15_2013	37.62	39.28	39.16	39.29			39.52(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	16	12	0.83	56%	0.05	13.1	0.78%	0	0.7	53	0
24	Oct_14_2013	37.6	39.25	39.15	39.05			39.77(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	5	-10000	11	-12	0.68	56%	0.11	4.1	0.78%	0	1.4	56	0
25	Oct_11_2013	37.56	39.22	39.07	38.88			39.63(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	2	-7	-10000	3	-36	2.16	58%		1.1	0.78%	0	1.1	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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