Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 2, 2013

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $39.3800 (-0.25%) ($39.1100 - $39.3900) on Wed. Oct. 2, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.67% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $39.3800(-0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(32%)    VWO(32%)    EEM(31%)    SPY(31%)    QQQ(30%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.335% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-13%)    SHY(-11%)    TLT(-10%)    BNDX(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.335% (StdDev 0.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.31(0.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.33(0.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.11(0.69%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   10.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 1.3% (three month std-dev: 0.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131102

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_2_2013	37.38	39.11	39.33	39.31			39.38(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	-10000	2	8	0.38	64%	0.08	81.5	0.67%	0	0.5	64	0
2	Oct_1_2013	37.35	39.04	39.33	39.28			39.48(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-10000	4	20	0.42	64%	0.11	75.2	0.67%	0	0.8	61	0
3	Sep_30_2013	37.31	38.96	39.36	39.22			39.07(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-10000	-2	26	0.76	61%	0.08	69.8	0.67%	0	0.2	59	0
4	Sep_27_2013	37.28	38.88	39.38	39.25			39.28(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	10	-10000	-2	46	0.62	64%	0.11	57.1	0.66%	0	0.6	69	0
5	Sep_26_2013	37.24	38.8	39.35	39.28			39.36(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	13	-10000	-6	69	0.44	67%	0.11	52.1	0.67%	0	0.8	76	0

6	Sep_25_2013	37.2	38.7	39.3	39.36			39.2(0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-10000	-7	93	0.42	67%	0.08	52.3	0.68%	0	0.6	72	0
7	Sep_24_2013	37.17	38.61	39.28	39.46			39.19(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	30	-10000	-4	130	0.37	62%	0.11	51	0.68%	0	0.7	74	0
8	Sep_23_2013	37.13	38.56	39.24	39.46			39.21(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	40	-10000	0	159	0.76	62%	0.11	58.5	0.71%	0	0.8	77	0
9	Sep_20_2013	37.09	38.49	39.18	39.52			39.44(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	52	-10000	6	189	0.3	54%	0.13	60.1	0.71%	0	1.2	84	0
10	Sep_19_2013	37.04	38.42	39.04	39.43			39.74(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	55	-10000	13	180	1.03	53%	0.14	61	0.77%	0	1.7	84	0

11	Sep_18_2013	36.99	38.31	38.88	39.23			39.72(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	50	-10000	10	171	0.98	53%	0.14	52.1	0.78%	0	2	85	0
12	Sep_17_2013	36.94	38.2	38.7	39.08			39.48(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	50	-10000	10	168	0.72	53%	0.14	47	0.79%	0	2	84	0
13	Sep_16_2013	36.89	38.1	38.52	38.93			39.24(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	45	-10000	10	148	0.71	53%	0.14	36.1	0.79%	0	1.9	63	0
14	Sep_13_2013	36.84	38.02	38.33	38.78			38.97(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	-10000	12	123	0.41	57%	0.14	27	0.79%	0	1.8	62	0
15	Sep_12_2013	36.79	37.96	38.19	38.59			38.76(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	-10000	8	90	0.6	55%	0.11	10.5	0.82%	0	1.7	59	0

16	Sep_11_2013	36.75	37.93	38.05	38.46			38.94(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	29	-10000	13	77	0.66	52%	0.14	2.5	0.82%	0	2.2	68	0
17	Sep_10_2013	36.7	37.91	37.88	38.26			38.76(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	23	-10000	14	48	0.77	52%	0.14	-9	0.83%	0	2	61	0
18	Sep_9_2013	36.65	37.91	37.8	38.04			38.48(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	-10000	15	38	0.66	52%	0.14	-28.2	0.83%	0	1.5	63	0
19	Sep_6_2013	36.6	37.88	37.75	37.81			38.01(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10000	6	14	0.76	55%	0.11	-47.2	0.84%	0	0.3	53	0
20	Sep_5_2013	36.56	37.91	37.74	37.72			38.1(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	-10000	9	9	0.32	52%	0.14	-49.6	0.84%	0	0.4	53	0

21	Sep_4_2013	36.51	37.92	37.68	37.58			37.97(0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	1	-10000	8	-21	0.31	52%	0.11	-54.3	0.86%	0	0.1	43	0
22	Sep_3_2013	36.47	37.94	37.66	37.45			37.65(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-18	-10000	-6	-54	0.32	52%	0.14	-54.5	0.86%	0	-0.6	37	0
23	Aug_30_2013	36.42	38	37.64	37.54			37.34(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-10000	-8	-63	0.23	48%	0.08	-37.1	0.88%	0	-1.3	35	0
24	Aug_29_2013	36.39	38.07	37.69	37.67			37.55(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-10000	-5	-62	0.32	48%	0.08	-23.3	0.88%	0	-1.1	36	0
25	Aug_28_2013	36.36	38.12	37.71	37.76			37.39(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-18	-10000	-2	-67	0.36	50%		-13	0.88%	0	-1.6	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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