Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 12, 2013

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $38.7600 (-0.46%) ($38.7200 - $39.0100) on Thu. Sep. 12, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.82% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $38.7600(-0.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(33%)    IWM(32%)    EEM(31%)    SPY(31%)    QQQ(30%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-12%)    SHY(-11%)    TLT(-10%)    BNDX(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.41% (StdDev 0.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.59(0.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.19(1.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.96(2.11%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   12.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 1.24% (three month std-dev: 0.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131012

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_12_2013	36.79	37.96	38.19	38.59			38.76(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	-10000	8	90	0.6	55%	0.11	10.5	0.82%	0	1.7	59	0
2	Sep_11_2013	36.75	37.93	38.05	38.46			38.94(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	29	-10000	13	77	0.66	52%	0.14	2.5	0.82%	0	2.2	68	0
3	Sep_10_2013	36.7	37.91	37.88	38.26			38.76(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	23	-10000	14	48	0.77	52%	0.14	-9	0.83%	0	2	61	0
4	Sep_9_2013	36.65	37.91	37.8	38.04			38.48(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	-10000	15	38	0.66	52%	0.14	-28.2	0.83%	0	1.5	63	0
5	Sep_6_2013	36.6	37.88	37.75	37.81			38.01(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10000	6	14	0.76	55%	0.11	-47.2	0.84%	0	0.3	53	0

6	Sep_5_2013	36.56	37.91	37.74	37.72			38.1(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	-10000	9	9	0.32	52%	0.14	-49.6	0.84%	0	0.4	53	0
7	Sep_4_2013	36.51	37.92	37.68	37.58			37.97(0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	1	-10000	8	-21	0.31	52%	0.11	-54.3	0.86%	0	0.1	43	0
8	Sep_3_2013	36.47	37.94	37.66	37.45			37.65(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-18	-10000	-6	-54	0.32	52%	0.14	-54.5	0.86%	0	-0.6	37	0
9	Aug_30_2013	36.42	38	37.64	37.54			37.34(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-10000	-8	-63	0.23	48%	0.08	-37.1	0.88%	0	-1.3	35	0
10	Aug_29_2013	36.39	38.07	37.69	37.67			37.55(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-10000	-5	-62	0.32	48%	0.08	-23.3	0.88%	0	-1.1	36	0

11	Aug_28_2013	36.36	38.12	37.71	37.76			37.39(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-18	-10000	-2	-67	0.36	50%	0.08	-13	0.88%	0	-1.6	32	0
12	Aug_27_2013	36.33	38.16	37.81	37.79			37.3(-2.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-21	-10000	-6	-66	0.51	50%	0.11	-8.7	0.89%	0	-2	36	0
13	Aug_26_2013	36.29	38.2	37.94	37.89			38.11(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	-10000	9	-52	0.5	54%	0.11	-3.7	0.85%	0	-0.2	43	0
14	Aug_23_2013	36.25	38.2	37.97	37.75			37.99(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-16	-10000	3	-74	0.41	54%	0.11	-15.9	0.85%	0	-0.5	37	0
15	Aug_22_2013	36.21	38.2	38.02	37.71			38.01(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-19	-10000	3	-84	1.48	52%	0.11	-18.7	0.85%	0	-0.4	37	0

16	Aug_21_2013	36.17	38.18	38.08	37.67			37.55(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-10000	-11	-95	0.38	50%	0.11	-19.1	0.85%	0	-1.5	32	0
17	Aug_20_2013	36.13	38.2	38.18	37.85			37.8(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	-10000	-10	-72	0.44	50%	0.11	-4.8	0.85%	0	-1	48	0
18	Aug_19_2013	36.09	38.21	38.24	38.01			37.42(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-22	-10000	-13	-49	0.7	48%	0.03	12.7	0.84%	0	-2	47	0
19	Aug_16_2013	36.08	38.25	38.38	38.22			37.77(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-9	-10000	-9	-10	0.47	50%	0.11	37.2	0.84%	0	-1.3	53	0
20	Aug_15_2013	36.04	38.25	38.49	38.37			37.83(-1.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-3	-10000	-10	19	0.96	50%	0.11	55.3	0.85%	0	-1.2	51	0

21	Aug_14_2013	36	38.26	38.58	38.54			38.42(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-10000	-1	54	0.38	55%	0.14	71.7	0.82%	0	0.4	62	0
22	Aug_13_2013	35.95	38.22	38.55	38.55			38.6(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	2	62	0.64	55%	0.14	71.8	0.83%	0	0.9	70	0
23	Aug_12_2013	35.9	38.16	38.48	38.52			38.49(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-10000	-3	57	0.48	55%	0.14	77.3	0.83%	0	0.8	62	0
24	Aug_9_2013	35.85	38.12	38.42	38.57			38.53(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-10000	-3	60	0.52	55%	0.14	90.3	0.83%	0	1	60	0
25	Aug_8_2013	35.8	38.06	38.36	38.62			38.68(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	0	68	0.73	55%		102.5	0.83%	0	1.4	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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