Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 1, 2013

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $38.6400 (1.52%) ($38.3300 - $38.6700) on Thu. Aug. 1, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.84% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $38.6400(1.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(33%)    IWM(32%)    EEM(31%)    SPY(31%)    XLY(31%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-12%)    SHY(-11%)    TLT(-10%)    BNDX(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.42% (StdDev 0.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.06(1.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38(1.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.61(2.74%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 1.46% (three month std-dev: 0.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130901

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_1_2013	35.54	37.61	38	38.06			38.64(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	20	-10000	9	51	0.63	59%	0.14	105.5	0.84%	0	1.9	73	0
2	Jul_31_2013	35.49	37.47	37.91	37.92			38.06(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	4	46	0.41	57%	0.14	93.9	0.83%	0	1	69	0
3	Jul_30_2013	35.44	37.36	37.86	37.86			37.86(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	11	-10000	-1	47	0.31	57%	0.14	87.7	0.84%	0	0.7	74	0
4	Jul_29_2013	35.39	37.26	37.81	37.88			37.8(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-10000	-4	61	0.33	57%	0.11	90.7	0.84%	0	0.7	75	0
5	Jul_26_2013	35.35	37.16	37.79	37.94			37.94(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	23	-10000	1	88	0.21	57%	0.14	89.2	0.83%	0	0.9	81	0

6	Jul_25_2013	35.3	37.04	37.75	37.93			37.96(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	29	-10000	2	108	0.22	57%	0.17	86.6	0.84%	0	1	83	0
7	Jul_24_2013	35.24	36.9	37.68	37.9			37.76(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	37	-10000	4	134	0.47	57%	0.14	77.8	0.84%	0	0.9	86	0
8	Jul_23_2013	35.19	36.76	37.6	37.84			37.96(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	-10000	7	154	0.49	58%	0.14	63.3	0.84%	0	1.2	91	0
9	Jul_22_2013	35.14	36.59	37.49	37.73			38.06(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	45	-10000	6	162	0.48	58%	0.17	49.8	0.84%	0	1.4	90	0
10	Jul_19_2013	35.08	36.43	37.34	37.63			37.91(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	48	-10000	6	174	0.86	60%	0.17	44.2	0.84%	0	1.4	91	0

11	Jul_18_2013	35.02	36.29	37.19	37.54			37.81(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	50	-10000	6	181	0.45	58%	0.17	39.7	0.85%	0	1.5	91	0
12	Jul_17_2013	34.96	36.19	36.99	37.44			37.48(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	52	-10000	7	186	0.4	54%	0.17	43.3	0.86%	0	1.3	91	0
13	Jul_16_2013	34.9	36.13	36.83	37.32			37.39(-0.48%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.1	53	-10000	7	190	0.32	56%	0.17	45.5	0.88%	0	1.4	92	0
14	Jul_15_2013	34.84	36.06	36.67	37.2			37.57(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	60	-10000	12	203	0.65	52%	0.14	44.7	0.9%	0	1.7	97	0
15	Jul_12_2013	34.79	35.96	36.47	37			37.46(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	56	-10000	13	186	0.3	52%	0.17	41.4	0.96%	0	1.9	83	0

16	Jul_11_2013	34.73	35.88	36.27	36.78			37.31(1.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	57	-10000	17	176	0.92	52%	0.17	40.8	0.96%	0	2	76	0
17	Jul_10_2013	34.67	35.78	36.05	36.48			36.89(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	44	-10000	13	137	0.75	52%	0.14	34.1	0.95%	0	1.7	57	0
18	Jul_9_2013	34.62	35.71	35.84	36.25			36.76(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	-10000	11	87	0.53	52%	0.06	26.7	0.97%	0	1.8	50	0
19	Jul_8_2013	34.6	35.67	35.61	36.06			36.58(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	-10000	12	45	0.52	54%	0.12	20.1	0.96%	0	1.7	52	0
20	Jul_5_2013	34.56	35.63	35.44	35.85			36.36(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	9	-10000	9	9	0.45	54%	0.2	12.3	0.97%	0	1.4	54	0

21	Jul_3_2013	34.49	35.59	35.31	35.69			35.82(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-10000	8	-22	0.12	50%	0.12	-5.2	0.95%	0	0.5	47	0
22	Jul_2_2013	34.45	35.59	35.32	35.55			35.73(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	-10000	11	-24	0.72	50%	0.12	-23	0.96%	0	0.4	54	0
23	Jul_1_2013	34.41	35.59	35.37	35.36			35.82(0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	5	-10000	16	-30	0.82	50%	0.12	-40.6	0.96%	0	0.5	51	0
24	Jun_28_2013	34.37	35.56	35.39	35.09			35.54(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-9	-10000	8	-61	0.35	50%	0.12	-57.2	0.96%	0	-0	44	0
25	Jun_27_2013	34.33	35.57	35.41	34.96			35.52(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-17	-10000	4	-78	0.24	50%		-64.4	0.96%	0	-0.1	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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