Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 12, 2013

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $37.4600 (0.4%) ($37.3100 - $37.4900) on Fri. Jul. 12, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.96% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $37.4600(0.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(33%)    IWM(32%)    SPY(32%)    EEM(31%)    QQQ(31%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-12%)    SHY(-11%)    TLT(-10%)    BNDX(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.48% (StdDev 0.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $37(1.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.47(2.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.96(4.17%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 2.22% (three month std-dev: 0.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130812

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_12_2013	34.79	35.96	36.47	37			37.46(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	56	-10000	13	186	0.3	52%	0.17	41.4	0.96%	0	1.9	83	0
2	Jul_11_2013	34.73	35.88	36.27	36.78			37.31(1.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	57	-10000	17	176	0.92	52%	0.17	40.8	0.96%	0	2	76	0
3	Jul_10_2013	34.67	35.78	36.05	36.48			36.89(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	44	-10000	13	137	0.75	52%	0.14	34.1	0.95%	0	1.7	57	0
4	Jul_9_2013	34.62	35.71	35.84	36.25			36.76(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	-10000	11	87	0.53	52%	0.06	26.7	0.97%	0	1.8	50	0
5	Jul_8_2013	34.6	35.67	35.61	36.06			36.58(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	-10000	12	45	0.52	54%	0.12	20.1	0.96%	0	1.7	52	0

6	Jul_5_2013	34.56	35.63	35.44	35.85			36.36(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	9	-10000	9	9	0.45	54%	0.2	12.3	0.97%	0	1.4	54	0
7	Jul_3_2013	34.49	35.59	35.31	35.69			35.82(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-10000	8	-22	0.12	50%	0.12	-5.2	0.95%	0	0.5	47	0
8	Jul_2_2013	34.45	35.59	35.32	35.55			35.73(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	-10000	11	-24	0.72	50%	0.12	-23	0.96%	0	0.4	54	0
9	Jul_1_2013	34.41	35.59	35.37	35.36			35.82(0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	5	-10000	16	-30	0.82	50%	0.12	-40.6	0.96%	0	0.5	51	0
10	Jun_28_2013	34.37	35.56	35.39	35.09			35.54(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-9	-10000	8	-61	0.35	50%	0.12	-57.2	0.96%	0	-0	44	0

11	Jun_27_2013	34.33	35.57	35.41	34.96			35.52(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-17	-10000	4	-78	0.24	50%	0.09	-64.4	0.96%	0	-0.1	44	0
12	Jun_26_2013	34.3	35.61	35.45	34.89			35.14(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-29	-10000	-10	-85	0.47	49%	0.12	-64.5	0.95%	0	-0.9	48	0
13	Jun_25_2013	34.26	35.67	35.48	35.06			34.76(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-33	-10000	-20	-72	0.7	47%	0.09	-57.8	0.95%	0	-1.7	48	0
14	Jun_24_2013	34.23	35.75	35.58	35.4			34.47(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-24	-10000	-19	-40	0.46	47%	0.09	-44.1	0.94%	0	-2.5	40	0
15	Jun_21_2013	34.2	35.84	35.75	35.72			34.92(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-9	-10000	-11	-3	0.36	47%	0.12	-38.3	0.93%	0	-2.1	41	0

16	Jun_20_2013	34.16	35.91	35.87	35.91			35.16(-2.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-3	-10000	-10	20	0.74	49%	0.09	-30.2	0.93%	0	-2	45	0
17	Jun_19_2013	34.13	35.96	35.91	36.08			36.01(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	-10000	8	30	0.43	52%	0.15	-25.3	0.89%	0	0.1	45	0
18	Jun_18_2013	34.08	35.96	35.84	35.95			36.42(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	8	-10000	10	-0	0.59	54%	0.12	-32	0.88%	0	1.2	50	0
19	Jun_17_2013	34.04	35.99	35.76	35.95			36.11(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-8	-10000	0	-32	0.16	54%	0.15	-35	0.88%	0	0.3	45	0
20	Jun_14_2013	33.99	36.01	35.76	35.8			35.84(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-10000	-3	-38	0.24	54%	0.12	-27.8	0.87%	0	-0.4	47	0

21	Jun_13_2013	33.95	36.03	35.74	35.84			36(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	-10000	7	-37	0.18	54%	0.15	-19.4	0.87%	0	-0.1	47	0
22	Jun_12_2013	33.9	36.05	35.77	35.73			35.36(-0.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-10	-10000	2	-47	0.19	51%	0.12	-18	0.85%	0	-1.7	40	0
23	Jun_11_2013	33.86	36.1	35.86	35.73			35.71(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	-10000	0	-59	0.21	53%	0.06	-12.7	0.84%	0	-1.1	38	0
24	Jun_10_2013	33.84	36.12	35.86	35.7			36.07(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-14	-10000	1	-60	0.35	55%	0.15	-6	0.83%	0	-0.1	44	0
25	Jun_7_2013	33.79	36.11	35.93	35.68			36.04(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-16	-10000	3	-73	0.23	57%		1	0.83%	0	-0.2	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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