Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 16, 2013

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $34.2600 (1.51%) ($33.9300 - $34.2800) on Tue. Apr. 16, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.78% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $34.2600(1.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(34%)    IWM(33%)    SPY(33%)    EEM(32%)    XLY(32%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.39% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-11%)    TLT(-10%)    GLD(-10%)    IGOV(-5%)    LQD(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.39% (StdDev 0.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.37(-0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.15(0.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.96(0.88%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   10.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 1.06% (three month std-dev: 0.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130516

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_16_2013	31.8	33.96	34.15	34.37			34.26(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	15	-10000	2	53	0.14	59%	0.16	61.3	0.78%	0	0.8	58	0
2	Apr_15_2013	31.75	33.96	34.14	34.34			33.75(-2.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	11	-10000	-5	60	0.19	56%	0.16	61.3	0.76%	0	-0.5	56	0
3	Apr_12_2013	31.7	33.92	34.16	34.41			34.66(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	-10000	16	96	0.21	63%	0.09	70.6	0.67%	0	2	72	0
4	Apr_11_2013	31.67	33.86	34.09	34.23			34.65(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	31	-10000	13	85	0.62	63%	0.19	75.8	0.68%	0	2.5	74	0
5	Apr_10_2013	31.61	33.8	34	34.08			34.54(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	28	-10000	15	66	0.25	63%	0.16	83.1	0.68%	0	2.6	62	0

6	Apr_9_2013	31.56	33.74	33.92	33.91			34.08(-0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	11	-10000	-1	47	0.09	61%	0.16	88.7	0.66%	0	1.4	62	0
7	Apr_8_2013	31.51	33.7	33.87	33.92			34.1(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	5	51	0.15	61%	0.19	107	0.66%	0	1.7	60	0
8	Apr_5_2013	31.45	33.66	33.82	33.87			33.78(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-10000	-5	41	0.08	59%	0.19	122.5	0.66%	0	0.5	53	0
9	Apr_4_2013	31.39	33.62	33.78	33.92			33.88(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	1	45	0.09	59%	0.16	130	0.66%	0	1	53	0
10	Apr_3_2013	31.34	33.57	33.77	33.91			33.73(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	12	-10000	-1	51	0.06	59%	0.19	123.9	0.66%	0	0.5	56	0

11	Apr_2_2013	31.28	33.53	33.75	33.92			34.09(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	-10000	10	63	0.07	67%	0.16	125	0.64%	0	1.6	66	0
12	Apr_1_2013	31.23	33.45	33.69	33.81			33.88(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-10000	5	47	0.08	67%	0.22	113.3	0.7%	0	1.1	63	0
13	Mar_28_2013	31.16	33.37	33.66	33.75			34.04(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	10	47	0.07	66%	0.16	86.5	0.72%	0	1.3	68	0
14	Mar_27_2013	31.11	33.27	33.62	33.63			33.83(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	1	43	0.19	66%	0.16	82.1	0.73%	0	1	70	0
15	Mar_26_2013	31.06	33.19	33.58	33.62			33.78(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	6	58	0.11	66%	0.13	75.7	0.74%	0	1	72	0

16	Mar_25_2013	31.02	33.09	33.54	33.55			33.54(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	16	-10000	1	59	0.07	66%	0.13	61.9	0.74%	0	0.7	70	0
17	Mar_22_2013	30.98	33	33.51	33.54			33.57(0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	19	-10000	-1	78	0.1	66%	0.13	56.9	0.74%	0	0.8	76	0
18	Mar_21_2013	30.94	32.92	33.48	33.55			33.41(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	22	-10000	-5	101	0.11	62%	0.13	54.3	0.75%	0	0.7	77	0
19	Mar_20_2013	30.9	32.84	33.45	33.61			33.78(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	37	-10000	5	131	0.23	65%	0.1	54.1	0.77%	0	1.3	89	0
20	Mar_19_2013	30.87	32.74	33.35	33.55			33.43(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	37	-10000	2	141	0.14	63%	0.06	52.8	0.76%	0	1	85	0

21	Mar_18_2013	30.85	32.69	33.29	33.52			33.51(-0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	44	-10000	3	165	0.12	65%	0.13	54.7	0.76%	0	1.2	90	0
22	Mar_15_2013	30.81	32.61	33.19	33.48			33.63(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	50	-10000	5	183	0.09	66%	0.16	55.5	0.77%	0	1.5	95	0
23	Mar_14_2013	30.76	32.54	33.06	33.41			33.7(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	56	-10000	12	186	0.08	66%	0.13	59.9	0.77%	0	1.8	77	0
24	Mar_13_2013	30.72	32.45	32.9	33.26			33.46(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	52	-10000	9	179	0.07	66%	0.13	62	0.77%	0	1.7	79	0
25	Mar_12_2013	30.68	32.38	32.77	33.14			33.3(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	48	-10000	8	169	0.13	66%		65.2	0.78%	0	1.7	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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