Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 4, 2013

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $30.6600 (0.69%) ($30.5100 - $30.6800) on Fri. Jan. 4, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.81% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $30.6600(0.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(34%)    IWM(33%)    SPY(33%)    EEM(32%)    QQQ(32%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.405% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-11%)    GLD(-10%)    IGOV(-4%)    LQD(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.405% (StdDev 0.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.14(1.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.02(2.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.05(2.03%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   7.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 1.16% (three month std-dev: 0.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130204

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_4_2013	29.77	30.05	30.02	30.14			30.66(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	15	-10000	17	10	0.02	51%	0.03	31.9	0.81%	0	1.7	60	0
2	Jan_3_2013	29.76	30	29.98	29.93			30.45(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	6	-10000	13	-16	0.07	51%	0.07	16.8	0.81%	0	1.4	54	0
3	Jan_2_2013	29.74	29.96	29.97	29.77			30.5(2.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.4	1	-10000	12	-31	0.07	51%	0.03	6.8	0.81%	0	1.7	54	0
4	Dec_31_2012	29.73	29.96	29.93	29.63			29.8(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-16	-10000	-2	-57	0.05	46%	0.03	-4.1	0.75%	0	-0.4	48	0
5	Dec_28_2012	29.72	29.91	29.94	29.65			29.3(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-32	-10000	-21	-65	0.03	41%	0	1	0.72%	0	-2.1	40	0

6	Dec_27_2012	29.72	29.91	30.01	29.88			29.6(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-16	-10000	-13	-26	0.03	46%	0	34.5	0.71%	0	-1.3	47	0
7	Dec_26_2012	29.72	29.91	30.06	30.02			29.65(-0.54%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.4	-11	-10000	-16	4	0.02	46%	0.07	59.8	0.72%	0	-1.1	51	0
8	Dec_24_2012	29.7	29.94	30.12	30.19			29.81(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	8	-10000	-6	48	0.01	44%	0.03	77.7	0.72%	0	-0.5	57	0
9	Dec_21_2012	29.69	29.92	30.12	30.19			29.91(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.2	18	-10000	0	71	0.04	44%	0.07	96.9	0.72%	0	-0	59	0
10	Dec_20_2012	29.67	29.91	30.14	30.26			30.43(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	-10000	10	83	0.02	48%	0.07	114.4	0.68%	0	1.8	67	0

11	Dec_19_2012	29.65	29.85	30.08	30.16			30.32(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	5	70	0.12	48%	0.07	108.7	0.68%	0	1.5	67	0
12	Dec_18_2012	29.63	29.79	30.02	30.11			30.48(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	22	-10000	7	66	0.03	48%	0.03	106.5	0.68%	0	2.2	74	0
13	Dec_17_2012	29.62	29.72	29.94	30.04			30.17(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	4	62	0.08	45%	0.07	106.7	0.67%	0	1.5	74	0
14	Dec_14_2012	29.6	29.64	29.94	30			29.88(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-10000	-1	59	0.11	42%	0.07	84	0.66%	0	0.6	64	0
15	Dec_13_2012	29.58	29.58	29.88	30.01			29.93(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	-10000	2	69	0.03	45%	0.07	67.1	0.66%	0	0.8	63	0

16	Dec_12_2012	29.56	29.51	29.85	29.99			30.1(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-10000	7	83	0.04	45%	0.07	54	0.67%	0	1.2	79	0
17	Dec_11_2012	29.54	29.45	29.81	29.92			30.14(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	30	-10000	11	88	0.02	45%	0.1	41.1	0.67%	0	1.4	81	0
18	Dec_10_2012	29.51	29.39	29.74	29.81			29.96(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	25	-10000	6	81	0.09	45%	0.03	29.9	0.66%	0	1.2	79	0
19	Dec_7_2012	29.5	29.34	29.69	29.75			29.93(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	26	-10000	3	93	0.02	45%	0.07	19	0.67%	0	1.3	85	0
20	Dec_6_2012	29.48	29.29	29.65	29.72			29.83(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	32	-10000	2	123	0.03	50%	0.03	8.2	0.66%	0	1.3	85	0

21	Dec_5_2012	29.47	29.29	29.59	29.7			29.72(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	34	-10000	2	130	0.04	50%	0.07	2.1	0.71%	0	1.1	83	0
22	Dec_4_2012	29.45	29.29	29.53	29.68			29.63(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	37	-10000	4	137	0.01	50%	0.03	4.2	0.71%	0	0.9	67	0
23	Dec_3_2012	29.44	29.29	29.48	29.64			29.64(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	36	-10000	2	137	0.04	50%	0.07	2.1	0.71%	0	0.9	64	0
24	Nov_30_2012	29.42	29.29	29.39	29.62			29.8(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	-10000	5	131	0.06	50%	0.07	1.4	0.71%	0	1.3	70	0
25	Nov_29_2012	29.4	29.25	29.26	29.57			29.7(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	-10000	10	116	0.05	50%		1.4	0.71%	0	1	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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