Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 3, 2012

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $29.6400 (-0.54%) ($29.6200 - $29.9500) on Mon. Dec. 3, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.71% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $29.6400(-0.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(34%)    VWO(34%)    EEM(33%)    SPY(33%)    QQQ(32%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.355% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-11%)    GLD(-10%)    IGOV(-4%)    LQD(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.355% (StdDev 0.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.64(0%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.48(0.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.25(1.33%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 1.44% (three month std-dev: 0.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130103

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_3_2012	29.44		29.48	29.64			29.64(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	36	-10000	2	137	0.04	50%	0.07	2.1	0.71%	0	0.9	64	0
2	Nov_30_2012	29.42		29.39	29.62			29.8(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	-10000	5	131	0.06	50%	0.07	1.4	0.71%	0	1.3	70	0
3	Nov_29_2012	29.4	29.25	29.26	29.57			29.7(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	-10000	10	116	0.05	50%	0.07	1.4	0.71%	0	1	64	0
4	Nov_28_2012	29.38	29.25	29.15	29.47			29.65(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	10	83	0.04	50%	0.03	-9.5	0.71%	0	1	56	0
5	Nov_27_2012	29.37	29.24	29.07	29.36			29.43(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10000	6	39	0.02	49%	0.03	-19.7	0.71%	0	0.4	40	0

6	Nov_26_2012	29.36	29.24	29.02	29.3			29.52(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	17	14	0.04	49%	0.07	-31.3	0.71%	0	0.6	43	0
7	Nov_23_2012	29.34	29.24	28.95	29.12			29.57(1.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	7	-10000	21	-36	0.03	46%	0.03	-50.7	0.71%	0	0.7	45	0
8	Nov_21_2012	29.33	29.25	28.95	28.91			29.18(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-15	-10000	14	-101	0.13	43%	0	-71.3	0.69%	0	-0.2	33	0
9	Nov_20_2012	29.33	29.28	28.88	28.77			29.1(-0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-32	-10000	4	-140	0.18	43%	0.03	-77.9	0.69%	0	-0.4	41	0
10	Nov_19_2012	29.32	29.32	28.94	28.73			29.11(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-34	-10000	3	-144	0.03	43%	0.03	-75	0.69%	0	-0.4	41	0

11	Nov_16_2012	29.31	29.38	28.99	28.7			28.64(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-44	-10000	-5	-160	0.09	38%	0	-70.7	0.66%	0	-1.5	31	0
12	Nov_15_2012	29.31	29.47	29.1	28.75			28.5(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-46	-10000	-10	-152	0.06	38%	0.03	-60.2	0.67%	0	-1.9	31	0
13	Nov_14_2012	29.3	29.56	29.24	28.85			28.52(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-43	-10000	-14	-131	0.04	38%	0.03	-55	0.67%	0	-2.1	30	0
14	Nov_13_2012	29.29	29.64	29.36	28.99			28.89(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-46	-10000	-20	-125	0.02	40%	0.07	-53.5	0.65%	0	-1.6	29	0
15	Nov_12_2012	29.27	29.69	29.43	29.18			28.97(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-10000	-16	-102	0.02	40%	0.03	-52.7	0.65%	0	-1.6	32	0

16	Nov_9_2012	29.26	29.74	29.51	29.33			28.86(-0.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-39	-10000	-18	-100	0.03	40%	0.03	-53.7	0.65%	0	-2.2	23	0
17	Nov_8_2012	29.25	29.79	29.58	29.5			29(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-39	-10000	-20	-97	0.2	40%	0	-56.1	0.64%	0	-2.3	26	0
18	Nov_7_2012	29.25	29.84	29.66	29.69			29.24(-2.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-26	-10000	-8	-78	0.08	42%	0.03	-51.1	0.64%	0	-2.1	30	0
19	Nov_6_2012	29.24	29.89	29.73	29.77			29.84(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	-10000	6	-66	0.03	48%	0.07	-44	0.6%	0	-0.2	47	0
20	Nov_5_2012	29.22	29.92	29.74	29.72			29.73(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-18	-10000	1	-73	0.02	48%	0.07	-37.8	0.6%	0	-0.7	50	0

21	Nov_2_2012	29.2	29.95	29.8	29.71			29.68(-0.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-13	-10000	2	-56	0.02	54%	0.03	-32	0.63%	0	-0.9	48	0
22	Nov_1_2012	29.19	29.95	29.87	29.69			29.96(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-6	-10000	6	-43	0.05	57%	0.1	-28.9	0.62%	0	-0.1	55	0
23	Oct_31_2012	29.16	29.98	29.9	29.63			29.62(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-19	-10000	-8	-52	0.05	54%	0.14	-30	0.61%	0	-1.2	42	0
24	Oct_26_2012	29.12	30.01	29.94	29.7			29.6(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-10000	-7	-46	0.02	63%	0.07	-28.9	0.66%	0	-1.5	36	0
25	Oct_25_2012	29.1	30.03	29.96	29.77			29.68(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-10000	-15	-55	0.04	63%		-27.6	0.68%	0	-1.3	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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