Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 22, 2011

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $26.4800 (0.65%) ($26.3300 - $26.4800) on Thu. Dec. 22, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $26.4800(0.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(37%)    IWM(36%)    SPY(36%)    EEM(35%)    XLY(35%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-14%)    SHY(-11%)    GLD(-8%)    LQD(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.05(1.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.02(1.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.01(1.81%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   15.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 1.77% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120122

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_22_2011	24.89	26.01	26.02	26.05			26.48(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	1	-10000	7	-19	0.07	60%	0.04	41.2	1.4%	0	1	53	0
2	Dec_21_2011	24.88	25.93	25.98	25.92			26.31(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	-10000	6	-35	0.05	56%	0.04	20.4	1.43%	0	0.7	48	0
3	Dec_20_2011	24.87	25.88	25.99	25.81			26.17(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-7	-10000	4	-41	0.08	56%	0	4.8	1.47%	0	0.5	49	0
4	Dec_19_2011	24.87	25.88	26.02	25.74			25.5(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-10000	-6	-39	0.11	53%	0	-6.6	1.43%	0	-0.6	54	0
5	Dec_16_2011	24.87	25.83	26.11	25.86			25.79(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-10000	-7	-13	0.02	53%	-0.04	-5.6	1.42%	0	-0.1	60	0

6	Dec_15_2011	24.88	25.82	26.16	25.99			25.85(0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	-10000	-2	22	0.31	53%	0	-1.4	1.42%	0	0.1	68	0
7	Dec_14_2011	24.88	25.83	26.21	26.03			25.72(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	-10000	-10	47	0.13	53%	-0.04	2.8	1.43%	0	-0.2	66	0
8	Dec_13_2011	24.89	25.85	26.27	26.21			25.83(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	16	-10000	-6	81	0.04	55%	-0.04	9.7	1.44%	0	-0	61	0
9	Dec_12_2011	24.9	25.86	26.25	26.33			26.13(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	23	-10000	-3	100	0.07	55%	-0.04	15.9	1.45%	0	0.5	64	0
10	Dec_9_2011	24.91	25.87	26.17	26.39			26.43(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	2	106	0.04	52%	-0.04	21.8	1.44%	0	1	60	0

11	Dec_8_2011	24.92	25.83	26.02	26.35			26.06(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	20	-10000	-3	89	0.05	52%	-0.04	18.9	1.47%	0	0.4	57	0
12	Dec_7_2011	24.93	25.81	25.9	26.41			26.58(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	4	85	0.03	58%	0	23.5	1.45%	0	1.4	57	0
13	Dec_6_2011	24.93	25.79	25.75	26.34			26.47(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	10	65	0.04	58%	0	29.7	1.5%	0	1.3	51	0
14	Dec_5_2011	24.93	25.77	25.62	26.14			26.4(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	11	35	0.09	58%	0	20.9	1.51%	0	1.2	51	0
15	Dec_2_2011	24.93	25.74	25.53	25.92			26.22(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	15	8	0.05	55%	0	5.6	1.52%	0	0.9	46	0

16	Dec_1_2011	24.93	25.73	25.45	25.63			26.39(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	7	-10000	16	-21	0.08	55%	-0.04	-14.9	1.55%	0	1.3	55	0
17	Nov_30_2011	24.94	25.68	25.39	25.31			26.24(3.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.9	-4	-10000	11	-47	0.03	55%	-0.04	-38.5	1.54%	0	1.2	57	0
18	Nov_29_2011	24.95	25.64	25.37	25.09			25.46(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-16	-10000	3	-74	0.03	55%	-0.04	-56.3	1.5%	0	-0.4	37	0
19	Nov_28_2011	24.96	25.66	25.42	25.03			25.31(2.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-23	-10000	-3	-81	0.02	55%	-0.08	-60.7	1.53%	0	-0.7	41	0
20	Nov_25_2011	24.98	25.72	25.52	25.08			24.75(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-26	-10000	-9	-76	0.04	52%	-0.2	-49.2	1.52%	0	-2	37	0

21	Nov_23_2011	25.03	25.8	25.63	25.25			24.77(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-25	-10000	-11	-67	0.02	55%	-0.12	-31	1.51%	0	-2.3	36	0
22	Nov_22_2011	25.06	25.87	25.73	25.47			25.15(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-20	-10000	-11	-47	0.04	57%	0.04	-9.9	1.53%	0	-1.8	48	0
23	Nov_21_2011	25.05	25.9	25.85	25.68			25.16(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-11	-10000	-10	-15	0.07	57%	-0.12	14.1	1.53%	0	-2.1	51	0
24	Nov_18_2011	25.08	25.95	25.96	25.88			25.59(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-4	-10000	-7	4	0.04	52%	-0.04	49.6	1.53%	0	-1.2	47	0
25	Nov_17_2011	25.09	25.96	25.99	26.02			25.56(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	1	-10000	-2	11	0.04	52%		62.2	1.59%	0	-1.1	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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