Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 26, 2011

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $25.9500 (0.86%) ($25.5500 - $26.0400) on Wed. Oct. 26, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.92% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $25.9500(0.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(38%)    SPY(38%)    VWO(38%)    EEM(37%)    QQQ(36%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.96% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(-11%)    GLD(-7%)    LQD(-3%)    TIP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.96% (StdDev 1.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.71(0.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.41(2.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.8(4.64%)
To recent high   -3.4%
To recent low   14.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 3.39% (three month std-dev: 1.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111126

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_26_2011	25.13	24.8	25.41	25.71			25.95(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	23	-10000	7	69	0.02	45%	0	54	1.92%	0	1.4	76	0
2	Oct_25_2011	25.13	24.71	25.32	25.53			25.73(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	5	70	0.01	45%	-0.04	52.5	1.91%	0	1.3	78	0
3	Oct_24_2011	25.14	24.64	25.24	25.41			26.01(1.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	27	-10000	9	82	0.44	45%	0	49.7	1.91%	0	1.8	87	0
4	Oct_21_2011	25.14	24.54	25.11	25.19			25.73(2.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	25	-10000	4	89	0.05	45%	-0.08	42.2	1.91%	0	1.7	88	0
5	Oct_20_2011	25.16	24.44	24.96	25.09			25.15(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10000	1	93	0.03	43%	-0.04	33.1	1.89%	0	1	70	0

6	Oct_19_2011	25.17	24.35	24.89	25.09			25.04(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	25	-10000	0	98	0.01	45%	-0.08	25.1	1.89%	0	1	63	0
7	Oct_18_2011	25.19	24.3	24.78	25.07			25.11(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	2	98	0.01	45%	-0.04	23.6	1.9%	0	1.2	59	0
8	Oct_17_2011	25.2	24.27	24.62	25.03			24.9(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-10000	1	84	0.01	45%	-0.08	28.2	1.9%	0	1	53	0
9	Oct_14_2011	25.22	24.25	24.43	25.01			25.25(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	8	72	0.01	44%	-0.08	35.5	1.89%	0	1.6	60	0
10	Oct_13_2011	25.24	24.21	24.26	24.82			25.05(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	6	57	0	44%	-0.04	38.3	1.89%	0	1.4	64	0

11	Oct_12_2011	25.25	24.19	24.14	24.67			25.02(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	-10000	9	54	0.03	44%	-0.08	37.1	1.89%	0	1.5	65	0
12	Oct_11_2011	25.27	24.15	24.05	24.46			24.94(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	-10000	14	44	0.04	43%	-0.08	29.8	1.89%	0	1.5	57	0
13	Oct_10_2011	25.29	24.09	23.99	24.14			24.8(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	18	-10000	17	20	0.03	43%	-0.12	17.5	1.89%	0	1.4	50	0
14	Oct_7_2011	25.32	24.03	23.91	23.76			24.27(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	0	-10000	6	-18	0.02	42%	-0.12	-5.9	1.87%	0	0.5	46	0
15	Oct_6_2011	25.35	23.99	23.85	23.62			24.34(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-8	-10000	4	-42	0.06	42%	-0.16	-21.6	1.88%	0	0.7	45	0

16	Oct_5_2011	25.39	23.98	23.85	23.53			23.94(2.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-19	-10000	-3	-67	0.04	42%	-0.12	-30.4	1.87%	0	-0.1	42	0
17	Oct_4_2011	25.42	23.99	23.76	23.59			23.35(2.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-10000	-11	-72	0.02	40%	-0.16	-30.8	1.84%	0	-1.3	41	0
18	Oct_3_2011	25.46	24	23.89	23.82			22.88(-2.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-21	-10000	-12	-49	0.01	38%	-0.2	-27.9	1.83%	0	-2.3	41	0
19	Sep_30_2011	25.51	24.06	24.06	24.08			23.57(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-3	-10000	-0	-12	0.01	42%	-0.16	-16	1.81%	0	-1.2	54	0
20	Sep_29_2011	25.55	24.1	24.18	24.09			23.93(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	4	-10000	4	5	0.01	42%	-0.16	-5.9	1.81%	0	-0.4	57	0

21	Sep_28_2011	25.59	24.13	24.25	24			24.21(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	3	-10000	2	4	0.01	43%	-0.12	-1.1	1.8%	0	0.2	51	0
22	Sep_27_2011	25.62	24.15	24.26	23.96			24.49(1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	-1	-10000	-1	1	0.02	43%	-0.12	6.6	1.8%	0	0.8	53	0
23	Sep_26_2011	25.65	24.14	24.21	23.99			24.19(2.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-1	-10000	-4	9	0.02	43%	-0.12	22.5	1.8%	0	0.1	59	0
24	Sep_23_2011	25.68	24.14	24.21	24.07			23.64(0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-5	-10000	-10	10	0.01	41%	-0.16	36.4	1.78%	0	-1.1	50	0
25	Sep_22_2011	25.72	24.12	24.15	24.29			23.47(-2.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-4	-10000	-11	17	0.05	41%		50.3	1.77%	0	-1.4	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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