Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 21, 2011

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $26.5100 (0.99%) ($26.3300 - $26.5100) on Tue. Jun. 21, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.69% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $26.5100(0.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(42%)    SPY(42%)    VWO(41%)    EEM(40%)    XLY(40%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-12%)    GLD(-8%)    TIP(-4%)    LQD(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.345% (StdDev 0.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.16(1.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.16(1.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.45(0.23%)
To recent high   -4.3%
To recent low   3.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 1.51% (three month std-dev: 0.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110721

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_21_2011	26.35	26.45	26.16	26.16			26.51(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-11	-10000	4	-56	0.02	55%	0.08	-68.9	0.69%	0	0.2	42	0
2	Jun_20_2011	26.33	26.47	26.16	26.12			26.25(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-18	-10000	6	-91	0.01	53%	0.04	-72.3	0.69%	0	-0.5	31	0
3	Jun_17_2011	26.32	26.52	26.14	26.12			26(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-10000	0	-130	0.01	51%	0.04	-74.1	0.68%	0	-1.2	33	0
4	Jun_16_2011	26.31	26.6	26.19	26.07			26.07(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-42	-10000	-7	-146	0	47%	0.04	-74	0.69%	0	-1.1	35	0
5	Jun_15_2011	26.3	26.66	26.25	26.13			25.97(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36	-10000	-3	-136	0.04	46%	0.04	-67.9	0.71%	0	-1.4	35	0

6	Jun_14_2011	26.29	26.73	26.34	26.13			26.32(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-34	-10000	0	-137	0	46%	0.04	-73.9	0.7%	0	-0.9	39	0
7	Jun_13_2011	26.28	26.78	26.42	26.16			25.99(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	-10000	-7	-135	0	43%	0.04	-73.7	0.7%	0	-1.6	29	0
8	Jun_10_2011	26.27	26.86	26.53	26.22			26(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-43	-10000	-11	-137	0	42%	0.04	-69.7	0.7%	0	-1.8	26	0
9	Jun_9_2011	26.26	26.95	26.63	26.32			26.37(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-41	-10000	-9	-136	0.04	45%	0.08	-61.4	0.7%	0	-1.3	27	0
10	Jun_8_2011	26.24	27	26.68	26.4			26.12(-0.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-47	-10000	-15	-144	0	46%	0.04	-56.9	0.69%	0	-2	20	0

11	Jun_7_2011	26.23	27.08	26.76	26.54			26.34(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-48	-10000	-20	-130	0	46%	0	-50.3	0.71%	0	-1.8	32	0
12	Jun_6_2011	26.23	27.14	26.84	26.73			26.27(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-39	-10000	-16	-106	0.05	46%	0.08	-40	0.72%	0	-2.3	28	0
13	Jun_3_2011	26.21	27.19	26.94	26.88			26.49(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-29	-10000	-10	-87	0.01	49%	0.04	-34.7	0.72%	0	-2.2	27	0
14	Jun_2_2011	26.2	27.23	27.04	26.98			26.78(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-20	-10000	-2	-74	0	52%	0.08	-34.3	0.73%	0	-1.7	29	0
15	Jun_1_2011	26.18	27.26	27.11	27			26.82(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-10000	-2	-71	0.03	50%	0.08	-32.6	0.73%	0	-1.8	37	0

16	May_31_2011	26.16	27.26	27.15	27.02			27.28(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-16	-10000	6	-83	0.04	55%	0.19	-27.4	0.69%	0	-0	40	0
17	May_27_2011	26.11	27.29	27.16	26.97			27.04(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-29	-10000	-6	-97	0.02	52%	0.12	-20.2	0.71%	0	-1.1	41	0
18	May_26_2011	26.08	27.31	27.22	27.03			26.96(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-10000	-10	-82	0.01	52%	0.08	-4.9	0.71%	0	-1.6	45	0
19	May_25_2011	26.06	27.33	27.29	27.13			26.91(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-21	-10000	-11	-52	0	53%	0.12	24.7	0.72%	0	-2	45	0
20	May_24_2011	26.03	27.34	27.34	27.24			26.9(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-12	-10000	-7	-27	0.01	53%	0.08	63	0.72%	0	-2.2	44	0

21	May_23_2011	26.01	27.35	27.42	27.31			27.04(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-6	-10000	-6	-7	0.05	51%	0.12	82.5	0.72%	0	-1.4	45	0
22	May_20_2011	25.98	27.34	27.42	27.37			27.32(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-10000	-6	5	0	49%	0.12	97.5	0.76%	0	-0.1	49	0
23	May_19_2011	25.95	27.32	27.47	27.43			27.47(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	1	-10000	-5	17	0.01	49%	0.12	100	0.76%	0	0.6	56	0
24	May_18_2011	25.92	27.28	27.44	27.48			27.47(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	7	-10000	1	23	0.02	49%	0.12	98.1	0.76%	0	0.7	53	0
25	May_17_2011	25.89	27.22	27.42	27.47			27.23(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-10000	-9	21	0.01	48%		79.5	0.76%	0	0	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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