Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 12, 2011

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $27.6900 (0.87%) ($27.3500 - $27.7100) on Thu. May. 12, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.74% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $27.6900(0.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(42%)    SPY(42%)    VWO(42%)    EEM(41%)    XLY(40%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.37% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-12%)    GLD(-8%)    TIP(-4%)    LQD(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.37% (StdDev 0.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.5(0.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.4(1.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.07(2.29%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   10.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 1.66% (three month std-dev: 0.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110612

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_12_2011	25.81	27.07	27.4	27.5			27.69(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	9	78	0	49%	0.16	71.1	0.74%	0	1.4	74	0
2	May_11_2011	25.77	26.99	27.37	27.41			27.45(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10000	4	83	0.02	47%	0.12	62.9	0.74%	0	1	75	0
3	May_10_2011	25.74	26.94	27.34	27.37			27.66(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	32	-10000	7	106	0.01	49%	0.16	59.2	0.73%	0	1.5	86	0
4	May_9_2011	25.7	26.86	27.27	27.3			27.44(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	30	-10000	1	115	0	47%	0.16	56.7	0.73%	0	1.3	85	0
5	May_6_2011	25.66	26.8	27.2	27.3			27.28(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	31	-10000	0	125	0.01	47%	0.12	56.4	0.72%	0	1	72	0

6	May_5_2011	25.63	26.75	27.15	27.29			27.22(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	33	-10000	-2	138	0	47%	0.16	60.1	0.72%	0	1	73	0
7	May_4_2011	25.59	26.71	27.09	27.31			27.25(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	40	-10000	1	156	0.01	47%	0.12	64.9	0.73%	0	1.2	76	0
8	May_3_2011	25.56	26.66	27	27.3			27.31(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	45	-10000	7	160	0	49%	0.16	71.4	0.73%	0	1.5	76	0
9	May_2_2011	25.52	26.61	26.89	27.23			27.39(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	49	-10000	14	154	0.01	49%	0.12	75.3	0.73%	0	1.9	79	0
10	Apr_29_2011	25.49	26.54	26.8	27.09			27.26(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	-10000	9	136	0.01	53%	0.16	74.1	0.75%	0	1.9	79	0

11	Apr_28_2011	25.45	26.48	26.71	27			27.35(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	44	-10000	16	126	0.01	49%	0.12	78.9	0.75%	0	2.6	76	0
12	Apr_27_2011	25.42	26.42	26.59	26.84			27.19(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	36	-10000	17	94	0	52%	0.16	89.6	0.79%	0	2.8	69	0
13	Apr_26_2011	25.38	26.36	26.49	26.66			26.94(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	26	-10000	14	60	0	50%	0.12	92.3	0.81%	0	2.4	66	0
14	Apr_25_2011	25.35	26.3	26.42	26.51			26.73(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	13	-10000	5	37	0	50%	0.16	88.1	0.8%	0	2	65	0
15	Apr_21_2011	25.31	26.26	26.36	26.46			26.77(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	14	-10000	9	30	0	50%	0.16	102.5	0.8%	0	2.4	68	0

16	Apr_20_2011	25.27	26.22	26.31	26.37			26.59(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	11	-10000	7	21	0.01	50%	0.12	103.6	0.79%	0	1.7	67	0
17	Apr_19_2011	25.24	26.17	26.29	26.37			26.25(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	3	-10000	0	13	0.01	46%	0.12	98.9	0.78%	0	0.3	53	0
18	Apr_18_2011	25.21	26.14	26.29	26.3			26.22(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-10000	-1	22	0.01	46%	0.08	91.3	0.8%	0	0.3	62	0
19	Apr_15_2011	25.19	26.11	26.3	26.31			26.46(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	6	37	0.01	47%	0.08	76.4	0.79%	0	1.1	75	0
20	Apr_14_2011	25.17	26.05	26.27	26.25			26.35(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	1	32	0	47%	0.12	56.5	0.79%	0	0.8	63	0

21	Apr_13_2011	25.14	25.99	26.25	26.24			26.23(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	6	-10000	-3	34	0	47%	0.12	44.8	0.79%	0	0.6	63	0
22	Apr_12_2011	25.11	25.94	26.24	26.27			26.25(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	13	-10000	-2	56	0.02	47%	0.08	34.8	0.79%	0	0.8	71	0
23	Apr_11_2011	25.09	25.89	26.22	26.27			26.24(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	0	73	0	47%	0.12	29.1	0.8%	0	0.9	73	0
24	Apr_8_2011	25.06	25.86	26.18	26.27			26.18(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	20	-10000	0	81	0.01	47%	0.12	29.7	0.8%	0	0.8	70	0
25	Apr_7_2011	25.03	25.85	26.16	26.29			26.3(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	-10000	4	104	0	47%		29.1	0.8%	0	1.2	79	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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