Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 3, 2011

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $25.7000 (0.86%) ($25.4800 - $25.7400) on Thu. Feb. 3, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.74% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $25.7000(0.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(42%)    SPY(42%)    VWO(42%)    EEM(41%)    QQQ(40%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.37% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    SHY(-12%)    GLD(-8%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.37% (StdDev 0.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.35(1.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.21(1.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.99(2.84%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 1.4% (three month std-dev: 0.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110303

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_3_2011	23.6	24.99	25.21	25.35			25.7(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	-10000	4	76	0.01	57%	0.17	65.7	0.74%	0	2	66	0
2	Feb_2_2011	23.56	24.93	25.12	25.31			25.48(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10000	9	70	0	58%	0.17	70.3	0.74%	0	1.7	63	0
3	Feb_1_2011	23.52	24.87	25.05	25.23			25.52(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	-10000	12	58	0.01	58%	0.17	67.2	0.76%	0	2.1	67	0
4	Jan_31_2011	23.48	24.83	25	25.12			25.08(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	-10000	4	56	0	54%	0.17	74.3	0.73%	0	0.9	64	0
5	Jan_28_2011	23.44	24.79	24.99	25.08			24.99(-1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	20	-10000	4	69	0	54%	0.17	68.4	0.73%	0	0.7	67	0

6	Jan_27_2011	23.4	24.76	24.98	25.04			25.46(1.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	33	-10000	15	85	0	60%	0.21	67.5	0.69%	0	2.4	78	0
7	Jan_26_2011	23.35	24.71	24.92	24.91			25.08(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-10000	7	71	0.01	56%	0.17	69.3	0.67%	0	1.5	68	0
8	Jan_25_2011	23.31	24.67	24.88	24.85			24.99(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	15	-10000	-2	67	0	56%	0.09	68.3	0.67%	0	1.3	69	0
9	Jan_24_2011	23.29	24.63	24.84	24.87			24.89(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	16	-10000	-2	71	0.01	56%	0.17	71.7	0.67%	0	1	57	0
10	Jan_21_2011	23.25	24.6	24.79	24.89			24.78(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	18	-10000	-2	79	0	60%	0.17	80.2	0.67%	0	0.7	63	0

11	Jan_20_2011	23.21	24.57	24.76	24.91			24.8(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	19	-10000	-1	80	0	60%	0.17	86.4	0.7%	0	0.9	60	0
12	Jan_19_2011	23.17	24.54	24.73	24.92			24.79(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	23	-10000	1	89	0	53%	0.22	92.7	0.7%	0	0.9	60	0
13	Jan_18_2011	23.12	24.5	24.69	24.91			25.1(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	-10000	12	92	0	57%	0.35	91.2	0.74%	0	2.1	72	0
14	Jan_14_2011	23.04	24.44	24.64	24.8			25(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	-10000	14	87	0	57%	0.22	83.6	0.74%	0	2.1	72	0
15	Jan_13_2011	22.99	24.39	24.57	24.67			24.87(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	-10000	10	66	0	59%	0.22	74.8	0.75%	0	1.8	67	0

16	Jan_12_2011	22.94	24.34	24.53	24.58			24.86(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	20	-10000	8	55	0	59%	0.22	69.9	0.76%	0	2.1	67	0
17	Jan_11_2011	22.89	24.29	24.48	24.51			24.72(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	-10000	7	51	0.01	59%	0.22	65.7	0.76%	0	1.8	68	0
18	Jan_10_2011	22.84	24.25	24.43	24.45			24.54(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	11	-10000	-1	45	0.01	59%	0.18	63.2	0.75%	0	1.3	67	0
19	Jan_7_2011	22.8	24.22	24.39	24.45			24.36(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	14	-10000	0	55	0.01	59%	0.18	73.6	0.75%	0	0.6	64	0
20	Jan_6_2011	22.76	24.19	24.38	24.45			24.42(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	-10000	0	63	0	59%	0.18	67.7	0.75%	0	1	68	0

21	Jan_5_2011	22.72	24.16	24.37	24.46			24.51(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-10000	2	77	0	63%	0.18	70.7	0.75%	0	1.5	74	0
22	Jan_4_2011	22.68	24.13	24.33	24.44			24.4(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	-10000	3	81	0.02	59%	0.18	78.8	0.77%	0	1.1	73	0
23	Jan_3_2011	22.64	24.1	24.29	24.41			24.63(1.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	28	-10000	9	83	0	62%	0.18	87.4	0.78%	0	2.3	78	0
24	Dec_31_2010	22.6	24.06	24.23	24.32			24.32(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	-10000	2	65	0	59%	0.18	88.5	0.78%	0	1.2	64	0
25	Dec_30_2010	22.56	24.03	24.19	24.3			24.43(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	20	-10000	4	68	0	59%		97.6	0.78%	0	2	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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