Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 13, 2010

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $22.8700 (1.11%) ($22.6900 - $22.8700) on Wed. Oct. 13, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.95% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $22.8700(1.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(43%)    SPY(43%)    VWO(42%)    EEM(41%)    XLY(41%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    SHY(-12%)    GLD(-7%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.475% (StdDev 0.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.52(1.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.35(2.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.17(3.16%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 1.49% (three month std-dev: 0.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20101113

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_13_2010	20.99	22.17	22.35	22.52			22.87(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	25	-10000	13	59	0	68%	0.1	84.6	0.95%	0	2.1	73	0
2	Oct_12_2010	20.97	22.11	22.29	22.38			22.62(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	-10000	8	47	0.01	66%	0.1	90.4	0.96%	0	1.7	69	0
3	Oct_11_2010	20.95	22.06	22.25	22.3			22.49(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	-10000	11	46	0.05	66%	0.1	95.6	0.96%	0	1.4	64	0
4	Oct_8_2010	20.93	22.01	22.22	22.18			22.4(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	-10000	4	30	0.01	68%	0.1	83.3	0.96%	0	1.2	63	0
5	Oct_7_2010	20.91	21.95	22.2	22.14			22.21(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	8	-10000	-2	37	0	68%	0.05	79.9	0.97%	0	0.7	68	0

6	Oct_6_2010	20.9	21.9	22.16	22.16			22.17(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	10	-10000	-3	47	0	68%	0	81.4	0.98%	0	0.7	67	0
7	Oct_5_2010	20.9	21.84	22.14	22.16			22.25(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	0	61	0	68%	0.05	87.1	0.98%	0	0.9	67	0
8	Oct_4_2010	20.89	21.77	22.14	22.19			21.89(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	13	-10000	-6	71	0	66%	0	97	0.97%	0	0.3	62	0
9	Oct_1_2010	20.89	21.73	22.11	22.25			22.17(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-10000	-1	96	0	70%	0	104.7	0.96%	0	1	76	0
10	Sep_30_2010	20.89	21.66	22.06	22.26			22.3(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	9	114	0	70%	0	104.8	0.96%	0	1.3	85	0

11	Sep_29_2010	20.89	21.58	21.99	22.17			22.33(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	35	-10000	9	114	0	61%	0.05	98	0.96%	0	1.4	87	0
12	Sep_28_2010	20.88	21.46	21.92	22.07			22.28(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	31	-10000	5	108	0	61%	0	84.7	1.05%	0	1.4	88	0
13	Sep_27_2010	20.88	21.36	21.85	22.01			22.16(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10000	4	117	0	61%	0.1	76.3	1.05%	0	1.3	88	0
14	Sep_24_2010	20.86	21.26	21.78	21.96			22.21(1.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	39	-10000	10	126	0	61%	0	73.1	1.05%	0	1.5	83	0
15	Sep_23_2010	20.86	21.15	21.68	21.84			21.85(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	34	-10000	5	121	0	58%	0	64.8	1.04%	0	1.1	83	0

16	Sep_22_2010	20.86	21.07	21.61	21.78			21.87(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	-10000	4	131	0.01	58%	0	57.5	1.04%	0	1.2	86	0
17	Sep_21_2010	20.86	20.97	21.52	21.73			21.96(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	42	-10000	6	150	0.02	58%	-0.05	50.2	1.05%	0	1.5	92	0
18	Sep_20_2010	20.87	20.89	21.41	21.66			21.92(1.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	47	-10000	8	163	0.12	58%	0	47.1	1.06%	0	1.6	90	0
19	Sep_17_2010	20.87	20.8	21.32	21.57			21.59(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	49	-10000	7	175	0.01	56%	-0.05	45.1	1.04%	0	1.3	79	0
20	Sep_16_2010	20.88	20.74	21.24	21.49			21.57(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	53	-10000	8	186	0.03	56%	-0.05	41.5	1.04%	0	1.5	81	0

21	Sep_15_2010	20.89	20.69	21.13	21.4			21.63(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	56	-10000	12	188	0.01	56%	-0.1	41.8	1.04%	0	1.8	79	0
22	Sep_14_2010	20.91	20.65	20.98	21.27			21.59(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	53	-10000	13	171	0	56%	-0.05	35	1.05%	0	1.9	79	0
23	Sep_13_2010	20.92	20.59	20.83	21.13			21.45(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	42	-10000	7	146	0	56%	-0.1	22	1.06%	0	2	71	0
24	Sep_10_2010	20.94	20.54	20.71	21.05			21.22(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	-10000	9	136	0	58%	-0.05	11.6	1.05%	0	1.7	65	0
25	Sep_9_2010	20.95	20.51	20.59	20.95			21.13(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	-10000	11	113	0	58%		-2.3	1.08%	0	1.8	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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