Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 13, 2010

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $21.4500 (1.08%) ($21.3900 - $21.4500) on Mon. Sep. 13, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.06% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $21.4500(1.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(43%)    SPY(43%)    VWO(42%)    EEM(41%)    XLY(41%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.53% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    SHY(-12%)    GLD(-7%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.53% (StdDev 1.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.13(1.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.83(2.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.59(4.18%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 2.14% (three month std-dev: 1.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101013

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_13_2010	20.92	20.59	20.83	21.13			21.45(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	42	-10000	7	146	0	56%	-0.1	22	1.06%	0	2	71	0
2	Sep_10_2010	20.94	20.54	20.71	21.05			21.22(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	-10000	9	136	0	58%	-0.05	11.6	1.05%	0	1.7	65	0
3	Sep_9_2010	20.95	20.51	20.59	20.95			21.13(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	-10000	11	113	0	58%	-0.1	-2.3	1.08%	0	1.8	64	0
4	Sep_8_2010	20.97	20.51	20.48	20.82			20.96(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	-10000	17	81	0	58%	-0.1	-21.8	1.08%	0	1.5	50	0
5	Sep_7_2010	20.99	20.48	20.39	20.63			20.9(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	-10000	15	32	0.07	58%	-0.14	-32.5	1.08%	0	1.2	49	0

6	Sep_3_2010	21.02	20.49	20.31	20.46			21.03(1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	10	-10000	13	-1	0	51%	-0.05	-36.9	1.14%	0	1.4	57	0
7	Sep_2_2010	21.03	20.5	20.24	20.31			20.72(1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	-10000	12	-29	0	51%	-0.1	-42	1.13%	0	0.5	50	0
8	Sep_1_2010	21.05	20.51	20.19	20.17			20.48(2.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-10	-10000	6	-58	0.03	48%	-0.09	-42.9	1.13%	0	-0.1	46	0
9	Aug_31_2010	21.07	20.55	20.21	20.17			20.02(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-10000	0	-70	0	43%	-0.09	-43.1	1.1%	0	-1.2	36	0
10	Aug_30_2010	21.09	20.59	20.29	20.1			20.07(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-10000	-3	-80	0	43%	-0.09	-44.6	1.11%	0	-1.2	28	0

11	Aug_27_2010	21.11	20.64	20.33	20.13			20.28(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-26	-10000	-2	-96	0	50%	-0.09	-42.7	1.1%	0	-0.9	28	0
12	Aug_26_2010	21.13	20.67	20.36	20.15			20.02(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-10000	-5	-106	0	47%	-0.14	-41.2	1.16%	0	-1.6	25	0
13	Aug_25_2010	21.16	20.7	20.43	20.21			20.13(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	-10000	-11	-115	0.01	47%	-0.09	-39.1	1.15%	0	-1.5	26	0
14	Aug_24_2010	21.18	20.73	20.48	20.34			20(-1.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-39	-10000	-14	-112	0	47%	-0.09	-26.6	1.15%	0	-2.1	24	0
15	Aug_23_2010	21.2	20.78	20.59	20.51			20.22(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24	-10000	-4	-82	0	47%	-0.05	-11.1	1.15%	0	-1.9	37	0

16	Aug_20_2010	21.21	20.82	20.7	20.56			20.36(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-21	-10000	-4	-70	0.03	42%	-0.09	0.7	1.15%	0	-1.6	36	0
17	Aug_19_2010	21.23	20.83	20.78	20.61			20.35(-2.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-16	-10000	-4	-50	0.01	42%	-0.09	10.8	1.29%	0	-1.8	43	0
18	Aug_18_2010	21.25	20.85	20.87	20.66			20.79(-0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	-10000	2	-29	0	43%	-0.05	11.6	1.27%	0	-0.2	56	0
19	Aug_17_2010	21.26	20.83	20.9	20.63			20.82(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-11	-10000	-5	-27	0	43%	-0.05	0.7	1.28%	0	-0	54	0
20	Aug_16_2010	21.27	20.81	20.91	20.69			20.5(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10000	-13	-23	0.05	40%	-0.09	1.4	1.26%	0	-1.1	44	0

21	Aug_13_2010	21.29	20.82	20.97	20.86			20.6(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-6	-10000	-9	2	0	37%	-0.05	18.1	1.28%	0	-0.7	44	0
22	Aug_12_2010	21.3	20.81	20.97	20.98			20.61(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-2	-10000	-9	21	0.01	41%	-0.09	30.2	1.28%	0	-0.7	52	0
23	Aug_11_2010	21.32	20.81	21	21.1			20.62(-2.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.7	4	-10000	-8	38	0	41%	-0.05	48.2	1.3%	0	-0.7	55	0
24	Aug_10_2010	21.33	20.82	21.02	21.21			21.13(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	20	-10000	4	66	0	50%	-0.05	69.8	1.27%	0	1.1	70	0
25	Aug_9_2010	21.34	20.81	20.99	21.16			21.33(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	-10000	4	66	0	50%		80.6	1.33%	0	1.8	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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