Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 21, 2010

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $22.6900 (-0.18%) ($22.5800 - $22.7600) on Wed. Apr. 21, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.7% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $22.6900(-0.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(45%)    SPY(45%)    VWO(44%)    EEM(43%)    XLY(43%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-14%)    GLD(-7%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.35% (StdDev 0.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.6(0.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.45(1.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.29(1.79%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   14.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 1.03% (three month std-dev: 0.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100521

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_21_2010	21.14	22.29	22.45	22.6			22.69(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	8	79	0	55%	0.09	73.8	0.7%	0	1.7	74	0
2	Apr_20_2010	21.12	22.26	22.4	22.54			22.73(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	25	-10000	10	71	0.01	52%	0.14	81.9	0.73%	0	2.2	76	0
3	Apr_19_2010	21.09	22.23	22.36	22.46			22.5(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	5	63	0	52%	0.14	93.8	0.74%	0	1.5	73	0
4	Apr_16_2010	21.06	22.19	22.34	22.42			22.46(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	6	70	0	52%	0.05	86	0.75%	0	1.4	77	0
5	Apr_15_2010	21.05	22.16	22.31	22.37			22.6(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	24	-10000	11	64	0.01	49%	0.1	83.7	0.75%	0	2.3	69	0

6	Apr_14_2010	21.03	22.13	22.26	22.28			22.4(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	3	47	0	47%	0.14	85.7	0.76%	0	1.6	67	0
7	Apr_13_2010	21	22.09	22.23	22.25			22.36(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	-10000	1	40	0	47%	0.1	82.7	0.76%	0	1.5	59	0
8	Apr_12_2010	20.98	22.06	22.19	22.24			22.3(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	9	-10000	-1	40	0	45%	0.1	79.1	0.76%	0	1.3	61	0
9	Apr_9_2010	20.96	22.03	22.15	22.25			22.19(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	13	-10000	2	46	0	45%	0.1	79.1	0.77%	0	0.8	67	0
10	Apr_8_2010	20.94	22	22.14	22.23			22.17(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	13	-10000	1	48	0.01	45%	0.1	87.9	0.78%	0	0.9	59	0

11	Apr_7_2010	20.92	21.98	22.13	22.22			22.24(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	4	52	0	45%	0.1	91.7	0.78%	0	1.2	62	0
12	Apr_6_2010	20.9	21.95	22.11	22.19			22.32(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	19	-10000	6	59	0.01	45%	0.1	91	0.78%	0	1.7	69	0
13	Apr_5_2010	20.88	21.91	22.08	22.14			22.32(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	-10000	11	64	0	45%	0.14	97.9	0.78%	0	2	71	0
14	Apr_1_2010	20.85	21.87	22.03	22.05			22.11(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	1	47	0	45%	0.1	89.5	0.78%	0	1	67	0
15	Mar_31_2010	20.83	21.83	22.01	22.04			22.1(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	15	-10000	2	54	0.01	45%	0.1	89.6	0.79%	0	1.1	63	0

16	Mar_30_2010	20.81	21.79	21.98	22.02			22.1(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	14	-10000	-1	57	0	45%	0.1	92.4	0.79%	0	1.2	64	0
17	Mar_29_2010	20.79	21.75	21.95	22.03			22.05(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	1	65	0	45%	0.1	96.1	0.79%	0	1.1	67	0
18	Mar_26_2010	20.77	21.71	21.91	22.02			21.88(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	18	-10000	2	67	0.01	45%	0.14	94.2	0.78%	0	0.6	60	0
19	Mar_25_2010	20.74	21.66	21.89	22			22.09(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	5	70	0	47%	0.1	83.4	0.78%	0	1.3	72	0
20	Mar_24_2010	20.72	21.61	21.85	21.96			22(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	2	78	0	47%	0.14	78.4	0.78%	0	1.1	75	0

21	Mar_23_2010	20.69	21.55	21.82	21.94			22.11(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	29	-10000	8	92	0	47%	0.19	76.7	0.78%	0	1.5	80	0
22	Mar_22_2010	20.65	21.48	21.77	21.87			22.01(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	-10000	9	87	0	47%	0.15	75.1	0.78%	0	1.4	75	0
23	Mar_19_2010	20.62	21.43	21.72	21.79			21.77(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	-10000	2	85	0	49%	0.1	81.5	0.78%	0	0.9	74	0
24	Mar_18_2010	20.6	21.38	21.7	21.77			21.92(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	29	-10000	5	100	0.01	49%	0.15	87.1	0.78%	0	1.4	85	0
25	Mar_17_2010	20.57	21.33	21.64	21.73			21.88(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	30	-10000	5	106	0.01	46%		95.5	0.79%	0	1.4	86	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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