Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 23, 2010

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $22.1100 (0.45%) ($21.9400 - $22.1100) on Tue. Mar. 23, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.78% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $22.1100(0.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(45%)    SPY(45%)    VWO(44%)    EEM(43%)    XLY(43%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.39% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-14%)    GLD(-7%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.39% (StdDev 0.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.94(0.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.82(1.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.55(2.6%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 1.76% (three month std-dev: 0.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100423

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_23_2010	20.69	21.55	21.82	21.94			22.11(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	29	-10000	8	92	0	47%	0.19	76.7	0.78%	0	1.5	80	0
2	Mar_22_2010	20.65	21.48	21.77	21.87			22.01(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	-10000	9	87	0	47%	0.15	75.1	0.78%	0	1.4	75	0
3	Mar_19_2010	20.62	21.43	21.72	21.79			21.77(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	-10000	2	85	0	49%	0.1	81.5	0.78%	0	0.9	74	0
4	Mar_18_2010	20.6	21.38	21.7	21.77			21.92(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	29	-10000	5	100	0.01	49%	0.15	87.1	0.78%	0	1.4	85	0
5	Mar_17_2010	20.57	21.33	21.64	21.73			21.88(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	30	-10000	5	106	0.01	46%	0.15	95.5	0.79%	0	1.4	86	0

6	Mar_16_2010	20.54	21.27	21.57	21.69			21.75(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	31	-10000	4	110	0	46%	0.1	97.3	0.81%	0	1.2	85	0
7	Mar_15_2010	20.52	21.2	21.53	21.65			21.64(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	32	-10000	1	123	0	46%	0.1	105.4	0.81%	0	1.1	86	0
8	Mar_12_2010	20.5	21.13	21.49	21.64			21.65(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	36	-10000	3	134	0	46%	0.1	100	0.81%	0	1.2	74	0
9	Mar_11_2010	20.48	21.06	21.42	21.61			21.72(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	41	-10000	9	138	0.01	46%	0.05	96.3	0.81%	0	1.4	77	0
10	Mar_10_2010	20.47	20.97	21.34	21.53			21.69(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	40	-10000	10	128	0	46%	0.1	82.5	0.81%	0	1.5	79	0

11	Mar_9_2010	20.45	20.88	21.26	21.44			21.55(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	6	119	0	46%	0.1	71.5	0.81%	0	1.3	79	0
12	Mar_8_2010	20.43	20.8	21.18	21.39			21.61(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	37	-10000	9	122	0	46%	0.05	62.8	0.81%	0	1.6	84	0
13	Mar_5_2010	20.42	20.71	21.11	21.31			21.5(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	41	-10000	11	132	0	46%	0.1	54.3	0.82%	0	1.5	86	0
14	Mar_4_2010	20.4	20.62	21.04	21.21			21.29(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	42	-10000	9	140	0	44%	0.05	46.8	0.81%	0	1.3	85	0
15	Mar_3_2010	20.39	20.57	20.99	21.13			21.25(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	-10000	9	152	0.01	44%	0.1	45.3	0.82%	0	1.4	86	0

16	Mar_2_2010	20.37	20.53	20.93	21.05			21.31(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	52	-10000	14	166	0.01	44%	0.05	45.4	0.82%	0	1.7	89	0
17	Mar_1_2010	20.36	20.48	20.85	20.93			21.18(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	46	-10000	6	165	0	44%	0.1	39.1	0.82%	0	1.6	89	0
18	Feb_26_2010	20.34	20.42	20.74	20.88			21(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	43	-10000	2	167	0.01	39%	0.05	37.3	0.83%	0	1.4	88	0
19	Feb_25_2010	20.33	20.38	20.66	20.86			20.9(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	47	-10000	3	177	0	39%	0.1	33.3	0.83%	0	1.4	83	0
20	Feb_24_2010	20.31	20.35	20.57	20.83			20.87(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	45	-10000	5	165	0	39%	0.1	23.2	0.83%	0	1.4	61	0

21	Feb_23_2010	20.29	20.32	20.48	20.79			20.72(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	40	-10000	6	142	0.01	39%	0.05	8.4	0.83%	0	1.2	53	0
22	Feb_22_2010	20.28	20.3	20.39	20.74			20.92(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	-10000	19	127	0.01	41%	0.1	-5.5	0.82%	0	1.9	63	0
23	Feb_19_2010	20.26	20.27	20.28	20.58			20.88(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	33	-10000	16	82	0	41%	0.1	-35.8	0.83%	0	2	64	0
24	Feb_18_2010	20.24	20.26	20.17	20.44			20.78(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	26	-10000	20	42	0.01	41%	0.1	-58.7	0.84%	0	1.8	59	0
25	Feb_17_2010	20.22	20.27	20.12	20.27			20.64(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	16	-10000	17	11	0.01	41%		-67.7	0.84%	0	1.2	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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