Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 8, 2010

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $21.6100 (0.51%) ($21.5600 - $21.6400) on Mon. Mar. 8, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.81% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $21.6100(0.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(45%)    SPY(45%)    VWO(44%)    EEM(43%)    XLY(43%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.405% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-14%)    GLD(-7%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.405% (StdDev 0.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.39(1.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.18(2.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.8(3.89%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 2.5% (three month std-dev: 0.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100408

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_8_2010	20.43	20.8	21.18	21.39			21.61(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	37	-10000	9	122	0	46%	0.05	62.8	0.81%	0	1.6	84	0
2	Mar_5_2010	20.42	20.71	21.11	21.31			21.5(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	41	-10000	11	132	0	46%	0.1	54.3	0.82%	0	1.5	86	0
3	Mar_4_2010	20.4	20.62	21.04	21.21			21.29(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	42	-10000	9	140	0	44%	0.05	46.8	0.81%	0	1.3	85	0
4	Mar_3_2010	20.39	20.57	20.99	21.13			21.25(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	-10000	9	152	0.01	44%	0.1	45.3	0.82%	0	1.4	86	0
5	Mar_2_2010	20.37	20.53	20.93	21.05			21.31(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	52	-10000	14	166	0.01	44%	0.05	45.4	0.82%	0	1.7	89	0

6	Mar_1_2010	20.36	20.48	20.85	20.93			21.18(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	46	-10000	6	165	0	44%	0.1	39.1	0.82%	0	1.6	89	0
7	Feb_26_2010	20.34	20.42	20.74	20.88			21(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	43	-10000	2	167	0.01	39%	0.05	37.3	0.83%	0	1.4	88	0
8	Feb_25_2010	20.33	20.38	20.66	20.86			20.9(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	47	-10000	3	177	0	39%	0.1	33.3	0.83%	0	1.4	83	0
9	Feb_24_2010	20.31	20.35	20.57	20.83			20.87(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	45	-10000	5	165	0	39%	0.1	23.2	0.83%	0	1.4	61	0
10	Feb_23_2010	20.29	20.32	20.48	20.79			20.72(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	40	-10000	6	142	0.01	39%	0.05	8.4	0.83%	0	1.2	53	0

11	Feb_22_2010	20.28	20.3	20.39	20.74			20.92(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	-10000	19	127	0.01	41%	0.1	-5.5	0.82%	0	1.9	63	0
12	Feb_19_2010	20.26	20.27	20.28	20.58			20.88(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	33	-10000	16	82	0	41%	0.1	-35.8	0.83%	0	2	64	0
13	Feb_18_2010	20.24	20.26	20.17	20.44			20.78(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	26	-10000	20	42	0.01	41%	0.1	-58.7	0.84%	0	1.8	59	0
14	Feb_17_2010	20.22	20.27	20.12	20.27			20.64(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	16	-10000	17	11	0.01	41%	0.05	-67.7	0.84%	0	1.2	57	0
15	Feb_16_2010	20.21	20.29	20.09	20.13			20.46(1.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	9	-10000	16	-14	0	44%	0.1	-66.1	0.83%	0	0.4	50	0

16	Feb_12_2010	20.19	20.32	20.09	20			20.15(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	-10000	8	-49	0.01	37%	0.05	-69.8	0.85%	0	-0.4	41	0
17	Feb_11_2010	20.18	20.38	20.07	19.93			20.16(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-12	-10000	7	-68	0	37%	0.05	-66.1	0.87%	0	-0.5	44	0
18	Feb_10_2010	20.17	20.43	20.08	19.87			19.96(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-32	-10000	-8	-102	0	34%	0	-64.4	0.86%	0	-0.9	29	0
19	Feb_9_2010	20.17	20.49	20.11	19.94			19.93(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-40	-10000	-14	-118	0	40%	0	-61	0.86%	0	-1.1	23	0
20	Feb_8_2010	20.17	20.55	20.15	20.06			19.79(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-37	-10000	-9	-121	0.01	40%	0	-51	0.89%	0	-1.5	17	0

21	Feb_5_2010	20.17	20.63	20.22	20.14			19.79(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-39	-10000	-9	-128	0.01	45%	0	-43.7	0.89%	0	-1.6	25	0
22	Feb_4_2010	20.17	20.7	20.27	20.22			19.86(-2.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-41	-10000	-9	-137	0	45%	0	-38.8	0.94%	0	-1.8	23	0
23	Feb_3_2010	20.17	20.76	20.36	20.31			20.33(-0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-35	-10000	2	-144	0	53%	0	-35.8	0.88%	0	-1	30	0
24	Feb_2_2010	20.17	20.8	20.43	20.29			20.51(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-35	-10000	2	-147	0	55%	0.05	-35.7	0.89%	0	-0.7	37	0
25	Feb_1_2010	20.16	20.82	20.51	20.27			20.23(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-44	-10000	-5	-159	0.01	52%		-38.1	0.88%	0	-1.4	26	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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