Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 2, 2010

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $21.3100 (0.61%) ($21.2800 - $21.3500) on Tue. Mar. 2, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.82% (three month average)
RSI   89
Latest Price   $21.3100(0.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(45%)    SPY(45%)    VWO(44%)    EEM(43%)    XLY(43%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-14%)    GLD(-7%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.41% (StdDev 0.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.05(1.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.93(1.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.53(3.8%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   7.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 2.29% (three month std-dev: 0.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100402

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_2_2010	20.37	20.53	20.93	21.05			21.31(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	52	-10000	14	166	0.01	44%	0.05	45.4	0.82%	0	1.7	89	0
2	Mar_1_2010	20.36	20.48	20.85	20.93			21.18(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	46	-10000	6	165	0	44%	0.1	39.1	0.82%	0	1.6	89	0
3	Feb_26_2010	20.34	20.42	20.74	20.88			21(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	43	-10000	2	167	0.01	39%	0.05	37.3	0.83%	0	1.4	88	0
4	Feb_25_2010	20.33	20.38	20.66	20.86			20.9(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	47	-10000	3	177	0	39%	0.1	33.3	0.83%	0	1.4	83	0
5	Feb_24_2010	20.31	20.35	20.57	20.83			20.87(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	45	-10000	5	165	0	39%	0.1	23.2	0.83%	0	1.4	61	0

6	Feb_23_2010	20.29	20.32	20.48	20.79			20.72(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	40	-10000	6	142	0.01	39%	0.05	8.4	0.83%	0	1.2	53	0
7	Feb_22_2010	20.28	20.3	20.39	20.74			20.92(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	-10000	19	127	0.01	41%	0.1	-5.5	0.82%	0	1.9	63	0
8	Feb_19_2010	20.26	20.27	20.28	20.58			20.88(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	33	-10000	16	82	0	41%	0.1	-35.8	0.83%	0	2	64	0
9	Feb_18_2010	20.24	20.26	20.17	20.44			20.78(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	26	-10000	20	42	0.01	41%	0.1	-58.7	0.84%	0	1.8	59	0
10	Feb_17_2010	20.22	20.27	20.12	20.27			20.64(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	16	-10000	17	11	0.01	41%	0.05	-67.7	0.84%	0	1.2	57	0

11	Feb_16_2010	20.21	20.29	20.09	20.13			20.46(1.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	9	-10000	16	-14	0	44%	0.1	-66.1	0.83%	0	0.4	50	0
12	Feb_12_2010	20.19	20.32	20.09	20			20.15(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	-10000	8	-49	0.01	37%	0.05	-69.8	0.85%	0	-0.4	41	0
13	Feb_11_2010	20.18	20.38	20.07	19.93			20.16(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-12	-10000	7	-68	0	37%	0.05	-66.1	0.87%	0	-0.5	44	0
14	Feb_10_2010	20.17	20.43	20.08	19.87			19.96(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-32	-10000	-8	-102	0	34%	0	-64.4	0.86%	0	-0.9	29	0
15	Feb_9_2010	20.17	20.49	20.11	19.94			19.93(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-40	-10000	-14	-118	0	40%	0	-61	0.86%	0	-1.1	23	0

16	Feb_8_2010	20.17	20.55	20.15	20.06			19.79(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-37	-10000	-9	-121	0.01	40%	0	-51	0.89%	0	-1.5	17	0
17	Feb_5_2010	20.17	20.63	20.22	20.14			19.79(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-39	-10000	-9	-128	0.01	45%	0	-43.7	0.89%	0	-1.6	25	0
18	Feb_4_2010	20.17	20.7	20.27	20.22			19.86(-2.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-41	-10000	-9	-137	0	45%	0	-38.8	0.94%	0	-1.8	23	0
19	Feb_3_2010	20.17	20.76	20.36	20.31			20.33(-0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-35	-10000	2	-144	0	53%	0	-35.8	0.88%	0	-1	30	0
20	Feb_2_2010	20.17	20.8	20.43	20.29			20.51(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-35	-10000	2	-147	0	55%	0.05	-35.7	0.89%	0	-0.7	37	0

21	Feb_1_2010	20.16	20.82	20.51	20.27			20.23(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-44	-10000	-5	-159	0.01	52%	0.05	-38.1	0.88%	0	-1.4	26	0
22	Jan_29_2010	20.15	20.85	20.59	20.31			20.19(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-10000	-2	-146	0	51%	0.05	-37.6	0.94%	0	-1.6	30	0
23	Jan_28_2010	20.14	20.89	20.71	20.33			20.27(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-42	-10000	-10	-139	0.01	48%	0.05	-38.5	0.97%	0	-1.6	31	0
24	Jan_27_2010	20.13	20.92	20.81	20.43			20.27(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-43	-10000	-17	-120	0.01	48%	0.05	-31.7	1%	0	-1.9	36	0
25	Jan_26_2010	20.12	20.96	20.89	20.6			20.38(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-38	-10000	-18	-96	0	46%		-14.2	1%	0	-1.9	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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