Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 9, 2009

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $19.6600 (0.2%) ($19.5600 - $19.6800) on Fri. Oct. 9, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.07% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $19.6600(0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(46%)    SPY(46%)    VWO(45%)    EEM(44%)    XLY(44%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-5%)    GLD(-5%)    LQD(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.535% (StdDev 1.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.44(1.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.34(1.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.49(0.87%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   22.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 1.54% (three month std-dev: 1.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20091109

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_9_2009	18.03	19.49	19.34	19.44			19.66(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	-10000	17	1	0	68%	0.22	16.9	1.07%	0	0.6	47	0
2	Oct_8_2009	17.99	19.48	19.29	19.26			19.62(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-3	-10000	12	-47	0.01	68%	0.11	14.9	1.07%	0	0.5	44	0
3	Oct_7_2009	17.97	19.47	19.25	19.14			19.47(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-19	-10000	3	-86	0.01	68%	0.17	18.8	1.08%	0	0	41	0
4	Oct_6_2009	17.94	19.46	19.26	19.11			19.37(1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-28	-10000	-3	-103	0.02	68%	0.17	24.4	1.09%	0	-0.3	38	0
5	Oct_5_2009	17.91	19.46	19.3	19.14			19.07(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-10000	-10	-101	0	66%	0.17	28.5	1.08%	0	-1.2	39	0

6	Oct_2_2009	17.88	19.44	19.36	19.24			18.78(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-27	-10000	-8	-83	0.01	58%	0.11	32	1.08%	0	-1.9	36	0
7	Oct_1_2009	17.86	19.43	19.47	19.32			19.01(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-10000	-5	-57	0.01	61%	0.17	33	1.14%	0	-1.2	43	0
8	Sep_30_2009	17.83	19.41	19.56	19.37			19.34(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10000	-5	-42	0	64%	0.11	26.5	1.12%	0	-0.2	49	0
9	Sep_29_2009	17.81	19.38	19.62	19.42			19.5(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-9	-10000	-6	-17	0	64%	0.17	22.4	1.12%	0	0.3	60	0
10	Sep_28_2009	17.78	19.35	19.64	19.49			19.57(1.93%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	1	-10000	-3	11	0.01	64%	0.17	25.6	1.11%	0	0.5	66	0

11	Sep_25_2009	17.75	19.33	19.65	19.52			19.2(-0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-1	-10000	-12	32	0	66%	0.11	30.3	1.09%	0	-0.3	63	0
12	Sep_24_2009	17.73	19.31	19.68	19.65			19.26(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	10	-10000	-11	73	0	66%	0.11	41.2	1.15%	0	-0.1	71	0
13	Sep_23_2009	17.71	19.3	19.71	19.77			19.59(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	26	-10000	-7	123	0.01	70%	0.17	54.5	1.13%	0	0.6	81	0
14	Sep_22_2009	17.68	19.28	19.68	19.85			19.81(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	42	-10000	3	158	0	64%	0.23	67.6	1.13%	0	1.1	84	0
15	Sep_21_2009	17.64	19.23	19.6	19.82			19.73(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	41	-10000	3	155	0	64%	0.17	79.1	1.17%	0	1.1	68	0

16	Sep_18_2009	17.61	19.19	19.52	19.79			19.86(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	-10000	6	150	0	64%	0.23	84.7	1.17%	0	1.5	64	0
17	Sep_17_2009	17.57	19.12	19.39	19.72			19.87(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	-10000	7	134	0.01	64%	0.23	80.4	1.17%	0	1.7	68	0
18	Sep_16_2009	17.53	19.05	19.25	19.64			19.97(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	39	-10000	14	114	0	64%	0.23	75.9	1.17%	0	2.2	65	0
19	Sep_15_2009	17.49	18.97	19.11	19.48			19.68(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	-10000	12	78	0.02	58%	0.23	69.9	1.18%	0	1.8	60	0
20	Sep_14_2009	17.45	18.89	19.03	19.34			19.59(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	-10000	12	56	0	58%	0.23	53.8	1.22%	0	1.8	62	0

21	Sep_11_2009	17.41	18.83	18.97	19.2			19.47(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	23	-10000	16	44	0.01	58%	0.23	45.4	1.22%	0	1.7	61	0
22	Sep_10_2009	17.37	18.78	18.91	19.01			19.47(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	19	-10000	17	25	0	58%	0.23	39.8	1.22%	0	2	67	0
23	Sep_9_2009	17.33	18.74	18.86	18.81			19.2(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	10	-10000	11	8	0	56%	0.17	30	1.21%	0	1.5	66	0
24	Sep_8_2009	17.3	18.7	18.84	18.69			18.99(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	3	-10000	2	4	0	56%	0.35	16.8	1.21%	0	1	66	0
25	Sep_4_2009	17.24	18.67	18.83	18.67			18.87(1.78%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	2	-10000	-5	21	0	56%		18.6	1.2%	0	0.7	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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