Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 11, 2008

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $22.4900 (1.26%) ($22.1600 - $22.5500) on Mon. Aug. 11, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.25% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $22.4900(1.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(59%)    IWM(57%)    VWO(56%)    XLY(56%)    EEM(55%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-2%)    LQD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.625% (StdDev 1.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.02(2.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.77(3.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.43(4.95%)
To recent high   -4%
To recent low   11.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 2.47% (three month std-dev: 1.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080911

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_11_2008	22.06	21.43	21.77	22.02			22.49(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	-10000	16	100	0.01	49%	0	68.4	1.25%	0	2	65	0
2	Aug_8_2008	22.06	21.32	21.61	21.8			22.21(2.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	-10000	12	69	0.02	47%	0.05	56.6	1.24%	0	1.8	65	0
3	Aug_7_2008	22.05	21.23	21.51	21.8			21.61(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	0	48	0	44%	0	47.5	1.18%	0	0.8	57	0
4	Aug_6_2008	22.05	21.18	21.46	21.64			21.91(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-10000	5	49	0.02	45%	0	45.5	1.18%	0	1.6	63	0
5	Aug_5_2008	22.05	21.11	21.42	21.57			21.87(2.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	-10000	6	61	0	45%	0.05	40.9	1.18%	0	1.7	68	0

6	Aug_4_2008	22.04	21.07	21.35	21.49			21.38(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	25	-10000	8	77	0	41%	0	36.9	1.14%	0	0.8	70	0
7	Aug_1_2008	22.04	21.04	21.33	21.39			21.43(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10000	4	82	0	45%	0	26.2	1.14%	0	1	68	0
8	Jul_31_2008	22.04	21.01	21.3	21.34			21.59(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	-10000	7	95	0	45%	0	20	1.15%	0	1.5	68	0
9	Jul_30_2008	22.04	20.97	21.26	21.25			21.6(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	-10000	1	91	0.02	45%	-0.05	3.9	1.18%	0	1.7	64	0
10	Jul_29_2008	22.05	20.94	21.17	21.24			21.43(2.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	-10000	2	95	0.01	45%	0	-3	1.18%	0	1.4	61	0

11	Jul_28_2008	22.05	20.92	21.06	21.21			20.91(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	16	-10000	-3	74	0	41%	0	-11.7	1.14%	0	-0	47	0
12	Jul_25_2008	22.05	20.92	21.01	21.21			21.19(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	-10000	0	74	0.02	43%	-0.05	-16	1.13%	0	0.8	57	0
13	Jul_24_2008	22.06	20.93	20.94	21.25			21.11(-2.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	16	-10000	-1	67	0.01	43%	-0.05	-29.6	1.13%	0	0.5	53	0
14	Jul_23_2008	22.07	20.93	20.89	21.26			21.57(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	-10000	14	70	0.02	46%	-0.05	-28.5	1.11%	0	1.6	60	0
15	Jul_22_2008	22.08	20.95	20.79	21.1			21.27(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10000	19	41	0.01	43%	-0.05	-50.8	1.09%	0	0.8	52	0

16	Jul_21_2008	22.09	20.96	20.76	20.88			21.11(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	-10000	13	4	0.01	43%	-0.05	-70.4	1.1%	0	0.4	47	0
17	Jul_18_2008	22.1	20.98	20.72	20.73			21.2(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	4	-10000	14	-28	0.01	46%	-0.09	-83.3	1.1%	0	0.5	49	0
18	Jul_17_2008	22.12	21.03	20.68	20.57			21.16(2.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-7	-10000	10	-59	0.01	46%	-0.09	-79	1.12%	0	0.3	48	0
19	Jul_16_2008	22.14	21.07	20.64	20.46			20.74(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-25	-10000	1	-104	0.01	46%	-0.14	-78.5	1.09%	0	-0.6	31	0
20	Jul_15_2008	22.17	21.14	20.67	20.45			20.2(-0.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-43	-10000	-15	-128	0.01	41%	-0.09	-72.7	1.07%	0	-1.5	24	0

21	Jul_14_2008	22.19	21.25	20.77	20.62			20.33(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-33	-10000	-7	-112	0.01	41%	-0.14	-63.5	1.07%	0	-1.5	25	0
22	Jul_11_2008	22.22	21.36	20.85	20.7			20.44(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-34	-10000	-7	-116	0.01	39%	-0.09	-61.4	1.07%	0	-1.5	25	0
23	Jul_10_2008	22.24	21.44	20.92	20.78			20.6(-0.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-34	-10000	-4	-125	0.01	39%	-0.09	-69.6	1.09%	0	-1.4	21	0
24	Jul_9_2008	22.26	21.51	21.03	20.83			20.67(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	-10000	-7	-128	0.01	39%	-0.09	-77	1.1%	0	-1.4	26	0
25	Jul_8_2008	22.28	21.59	21.12	20.91			21.07(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-37	-10000	-3	-137	0.02	41%		-78.4	1.08%	0	-0.9	26	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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