Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 30, 2008

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $23.0600 (-0.17%) ($23.0500 - $23.1600) on Fri. May. 30, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.18% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $23.0600(-0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(59%)    IWM(57%)    VWO(57%)    XLY(57%)    EEM(56%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(-3%)    LQD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.59% (StdDev 1.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.89(0.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23(0.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.01(0.22%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 0.96% (three month std-dev: 1.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080630

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_30_2008	22.44		23	22.89			23.06(-0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-3	-10000	3	-20	0.01	61%	0	2.1	1.18%	0	0.2	56	0
2	May_29_2008	22.44	23.01	23	22.85			23.1(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-1	-10000	4	-14	0.01	56%	0	5.2	1.19%	0	0.4	58	0
3	May_28_2008	22.44	23.01	23.03	22.79			22.94(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-7	-10000	-3	-18	0.01	54%	0.04	0	1.23%	0	-0.2	53	0
4	May_27_2008	22.43	23.01	23.04	22.83			22.78(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10000	-9	-17	0.01	54%	-0.09	14.4	1.25%	0	-0.9	43	0
5	May_23_2008	22.45	22.99	23.06	22.96			22.56(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-9	-10000	-11	-4	0.01	58%	-0.04	33	1.29%	0	-1.9	41	0

6	May_22_2008	22.46	23.01	23.06	23.13			22.87(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-2	-10000	-7	13	0.01	60%	-0.04	60.4	1.29%	0	-0.6	44	0
7	May_21_2008	22.47	23	23.1	23.23			22.79(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.8	1	-10000	-5	19	0.03	60%	0	75	1.29%	0	-0.9	42	0
8	May_20_2008	22.47	22.99	23.11	23.3			23.17(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	10	-10000	2	35	0.01	64%	-0.04	79.5	1.28%	0	0.7	67	0
9	May_19_2008	22.48	22.95	23.1	23.27			23.39(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	5	38	0.01	64%	-0.04	84.4	1.29%	0	1.6	64	0
10	May_16_2008	22.49	22.92	23.06	23.19			23.43(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	-10000	8	34	0.01	64%	-0.04	101.8	1.29%	0	2	66	0

11	May_15_2008	22.5	22.88	23.02	23.07			23.37(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	13	-10000	8	26	0	64%	-0.04	106.1	1.3%	0	1.9	65	0
12	May_14_2008	22.51	22.82	22.99	22.95			23.15(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	8	-10000	4	19	0.02	62%	0	99.1	1.29%	0	1.3	63	0
13	May_13_2008	22.51	22.78	22.94	22.89			23(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	3	-10000	-1	13	0.01	62%	-0.09	78.6	1.3%	0	0.7	67	0
14	May_12_2008	22.53	22.72	22.92	22.91			22.99(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	5	-10000	-1	24	0	62%	-0.04	62.5	1.31%	0	0.7	69	0
15	May_9_2008	22.54	22.66	22.92	22.92			22.83(0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-10000	-3	28	0.01	62%	-0.09	51	1.3%	0	0.4	55	0

16	May_8_2008	22.56	22.6	22.91	22.97			22.8(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-10000	-4	37	0.01	62%	-0.04	48.7	1.31%	0	0.4	54	0
17	May_7_2008	22.57	22.57	22.9	23.03			22.85(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	16	-10000	3	54	0.01	62%	-0.09	50	1.32%	0	0.6	63	0
18	May_6_2008	22.59	22.52	22.87	22.99			23.09(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	4	56	0	62%	-0.04	43.5	1.31%	0	1.2	71	0
19	May_5_2008	22.6	22.47	22.8	22.93			23.01(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	2	62	0.01	57%	-0.04	41.5	1.31%	0	1.2	77	0
20	May_2_2008	22.61	22.43	22.76	22.9			23.1(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10000	4	76	0.01	57%	-0.09	49	1.36%	0	1.6	80	0

21	May_1_2008	22.63	22.39	22.72	22.84			23.11(2.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	26	-10000	5	89	0.01	59%	-0.09	58.7	1.37%	0	1.8	77	0
22	Apr_30_2008	22.65	22.34	22.64	22.76			22.62(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	22	-10000	1	86	0.02	58%	-0.09	65.1	1.36%	0	0.8	61	0
23	Apr_29_2008	22.67	22.32	22.6	22.74			22.83(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	6	94	0.01	58%	-0.09	70.8	1.36%	0	1.4	68	0
24	Apr_28_2008	22.69	22.29	22.5	22.64			22.82(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	21	-10000	2	76	0.01	60%	-0.13	62.9	1.36%	0	1.4	60	0
25	Apr_25_2008	22.72	22.22	22.39	22.61			22.82(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	2	63	0	58%		51.7	1.37%	0	1.5	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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