Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 14, 2008

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $23.1500 (0.65%) ($23.0500 - $23.3100) on Wed. May. 14, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.29% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $23.1500(0.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(59%)    IWM(57%)    VWO(57%)    XLY(57%)    EEM(56%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(-3%)    LQD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.645% (StdDev 1.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.95(0.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.99(0.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.82(1.45%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   9.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 1.14% (three month std-dev: 1.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080614

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_14_2008	22.51	22.82	22.99	22.95			23.15(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	8	-10000	4	19	0.02	62%	0	99.1	1.29%	0	1.3	63	0
2	May_13_2008	22.51	22.78	22.94	22.89			23(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	3	-10000	-1	13	0.01	62%	-0.09	78.6	1.3%	0	0.7	67	0
3	May_12_2008	22.53	22.72	22.92	22.91			22.99(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	5	-10000	-1	24	0	62%	-0.04	62.5	1.31%	0	0.7	69	0
4	May_9_2008	22.54	22.66	22.92	22.92			22.83(0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-10000	-3	28	0.01	62%	-0.09	51	1.3%	0	0.4	55	0
5	May_8_2008	22.56	22.6	22.91	22.97			22.8(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-10000	-4	37	0.01	62%	-0.04	48.7	1.31%	0	0.4	54	0

6	May_7_2008	22.57	22.57	22.9	23.03			22.85(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	16	-10000	3	54	0.01	62%	-0.09	50	1.32%	0	0.6	63	0
7	May_6_2008	22.59	22.52	22.87	22.99			23.09(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	4	56	0	62%	-0.04	43.5	1.31%	0	1.2	71	0
8	May_5_2008	22.6	22.47	22.8	22.93			23.01(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	2	62	0.01	57%	-0.04	41.5	1.31%	0	1.2	77	0
9	May_2_2008	22.61	22.43	22.76	22.9			23.1(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10000	4	76	0.01	57%	-0.09	49	1.36%	0	1.6	80	0
10	May_1_2008	22.63	22.39	22.72	22.84			23.11(2.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	26	-10000	5	89	0.01	59%	-0.09	58.7	1.37%	0	1.8	77	0

11	Apr_30_2008	22.65	22.34	22.64	22.76			22.62(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	22	-10000	1	86	0.02	58%	-0.09	65.1	1.36%	0	0.8	61	0
12	Apr_29_2008	22.67	22.32	22.6	22.74			22.83(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	6	94	0.01	58%	-0.09	70.8	1.36%	0	1.4	68	0
13	Apr_28_2008	22.69	22.29	22.5	22.64			22.82(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	21	-10000	2	76	0.01	60%	-0.13	62.9	1.36%	0	1.4	60	0
14	Apr_25_2008	22.72	22.22	22.39	22.61			22.82(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	2	63	0	58%	-0.09	51.7	1.37%	0	1.5	59	0
15	Apr_24_2008	22.74	22.15	22.27	22.58			22.73(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	5	52	0.01	59%	-0.09	49.4	1.39%	0	1.5	58	0

16	Apr_23_2008	22.76	22.1	22.21	22.5			22.48(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	3	41	0.01	61%	-0.09	50.3	1.4%	0	1.1	55	0
17	Apr_22_2008	22.78	22.07	22.15	22.45			22.36(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	14	-10000	8	31	0.02	59%	-0.13	49.7	1.42%	0	0.8	51	0
18	Apr_21_2008	22.81	22.05	22.12	22.33			22.65(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	-10000	13	18	0.01	59%	-0.09	53.9	1.42%	0	1.8	56	0
19	Apr_18_2008	22.83	22.02	22.07	22.12			22.68(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	12	-10000	13	9	0.03	59%	-0.09	50.3	1.43%	0	2.1	70	0
20	Apr_17_2008	22.85	21.97	22.02	21.92			22.34(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	2	-10000	3	-2	0.01	54%	-0.09	35.6	1.42%	0	1.3	69	0

21	Apr_16_2008	22.87	21.92	22.02	21.87			22.23(2.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	4	-10000	4	2	0.01	54%	-0.09	24.8	1.47%	0	1	60	0
22	Apr_15_2008	22.89	21.9	22	21.8			21.73(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5	-10000	-6	-2	0.01	50%	-0.09	18.2	1.44%	0	-0.6	48	0
23	Apr_14_2008	22.91	21.87	22	21.89			21.62(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-10000	-8	10	0.01	50%	-0.13	21.2	1.46%	0	-0.8	43	0
24	Apr_11_2008	22.94	21.87	22.06	22.01			21.7(-1.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-2	-10000	-7	14	0.02	49%	-0.04	25.6	1.47%	0	-0.5	45	0
25	Apr_10_2008	22.95	21.86	22.04	22.12			22.09(0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-10000	-1	23	0.01	51%		33.1	1.46%	0	0.7	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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